Already week three guys and still in the black after some really bad luck last Thursday and Friday.
NFL was very good to me as i shouted from the rooftops that Cincinnati wins in Baltimore and any teaser, especially 4 team 13 points was a huge winner. I had some big dogs and played every teaser with cincy for a perfect week.
Only 5 of 30 sides did not cover in a 13 pt teaser.
I had the pack Thursday and on Sunday and Monday only four missed: kc, pats, rams, Giants.
4 teams I wanted no part of with minny graded my 3rd strongest play last week.
Okay on to a monster weekend of college.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Already week three guys and still in the black after some really bad luck last Thursday and Friday.
NFL was very good to me as i shouted from the rooftops that Cincinnati wins in Baltimore and any teaser, especially 4 team 13 points was a huge winner. I had some big dogs and played every teaser with cincy for a perfect week.
Only 5 of 30 sides did not cover in a 13 pt teaser.
I had the pack Thursday and on Sunday and Monday only four missed: kc, pats, rams, Giants.
4 teams I wanted no part of with minny graded my 3rd strongest play last week.
Arizona State: last Saturday I had big in 13 pt teaser New Mexico +39.5. I thought there would be a ton of running and without even trying the game would be shorten with the clock running. I considered this one of my safest bets of the day in a teaser after Clemson. While the outcome was rarely threatened in a teaser, i realized how lucky I was for a cover with Arizona St toying with them scoring 58 pts. They had 29 just 5 mins into the 2q. They racked up 1200 yards in two weeks. One can argue that Colorado is stiffer competition and it is a road conf tilt. Senior Taylor Kelly, QB for state, threw for 5 TD s two years ago on the road and
Won by almost 5 TD s last year at home. Sprinkle in a solid running game and fast defense and you have the makings of 1-0 in conf play. Colorado is just coming off a big come from behind win....at umass. Colorado played from behind almost the who game while giving up 400 yards and 38 points. The umass QB had a career day and had 3 TD s at the half. Let's put this in perspective: umass hasn't scored over 35 pts since 2011 and last year they scored 14 pts or less 9 times.
The balance attack heading to boulder will be an overwhelming task for a team with very little identity. Arizona St will be in the top 10 before they taste defeat.
Kelly throws for 400+ and we sit back and collect.
47-21.
Bought 1 pts to get it down to -14
$25,000 1h
$25,000 gm
They will be a zillion teasers -2.5 as well.
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Arizona State: last Saturday I had big in 13 pt teaser New Mexico +39.5. I thought there would be a ton of running and without even trying the game would be shorten with the clock running. I considered this one of my safest bets of the day in a teaser after Clemson. While the outcome was rarely threatened in a teaser, i realized how lucky I was for a cover with Arizona St toying with them scoring 58 pts. They had 29 just 5 mins into the 2q. They racked up 1200 yards in two weeks. One can argue that Colorado is stiffer competition and it is a road conf tilt. Senior Taylor Kelly, QB for state, threw for 5 TD s two years ago on the road and
Won by almost 5 TD s last year at home. Sprinkle in a solid running game and fast defense and you have the makings of 1-0 in conf play. Colorado is just coming off a big come from behind win....at umass. Colorado played from behind almost the who game while giving up 400 yards and 38 points. The umass QB had a career day and had 3 TD s at the half. Let's put this in perspective: umass hasn't scored over 35 pts since 2011 and last year they scored 14 pts or less 9 times.
The balance attack heading to boulder will be an overwhelming task for a team with very little identity. Arizona St will be in the top 10 before they taste defeat.
Kelly throws for 400+ and we sit back and collect.
I guess if we can't be adults about this I will no longer post dollar amounts, I thought we moved past that but I guess not.
On to Saturday.
NOON 13 point Teasers part 1:
Virginia +19.5 : Historically Lou has been a different team
when playing on the road. Look at last
year….At uconn won by 21, at cincy won by 7; @ s florida won by 31 ; @ kentucky
won by 14. Chances are if you didn’t
play them in a teaser you didn’t cover the large number. I still can’t get out of my mind watching
that Vir / Ucla game two weeks ago. The
pressure they put on the QB Hundley for UCLA was very impressive. Hundley made poor choices, he was hurried,
knocked down and his scrambling ability was neutralized. UCLA only scored 7 offensive points and if it
wasn’t for THREE defenses TDs in one quarter they would have lost. Virginia isn’t flashy and they certainly
don’t overwhelm you with talent but you are confident they are good for 14-17
points against a nice Lou def, but nothing really special. Virginia isn’t going to win many games this
year but they won’t be involved in many shoot outs or blowouts. Lou is riding high with two impressive home
wins against Miami and Murray state, however in this spot I think it is decided
by less than 10 with a strong possibility of a straight up home win for
Virginia if they can put pressure on Lou’s QB.
Predict: 32-21.
W Virginia +16.5 : Raise your hand if you are aware this is
a BIG12 conference game. The
Mountaineers have really showed me something in just two games. One they won’t be bullied and roll over and
play dead when they play the likes of Bama and two they beat the teams they
should beat, convincingly. The main
reason for this confidence and swagger is the play of Clint Trickle. No INTs in two games and averages 350 yards
passing. Not to mention holding Bama to
33 points and making Bama one dimensional and lean on their running game. Not to mention holding Bama to 33 points and
making Bama one dimensional and lean on their running game. Maryland needed a 10 point rally to be south
florida on the road. They allowed 17
points turned the ball over 6 times. I
think the offense for W Virginia is going to surprise Maryland and they will be
back on their heels almost all of the game, never with more than a 7 pt lead
going into the final quarter. Predict
: 27-21.
Uconn +29.5: I attended the BYU tilt first game of the
season and had BYU. Hill absolutely
abused the Conn defense and they were high schoolers trying to defend him, it
was comical. They won in convincing
fashion and Uconn’s offense was listless.
The line opened against Stony brook this past week and 16 was just too
high as the line was pounded down heavily.
Stony brook backers (not me) enjoyed an easy wire to wire cover as Uconn
attended the BYU tilt first game of the season and had BYU. Hill absolutely abused the Conn defense and
they were high schoolers trying to defend him, it was comical. They won in convincing fashion and Uconn’s
offense was listless. The line opened
against Stony brook this past week and 16 was just too high as the line was
pounded down heavily. Stony brook
backers (not me) enjoyed an easy wire to wire cover as Uconn prevailed. Two things to note in this game: this isn’t
your normal high powered Boise state team and Uconn will not be shut out. Colorado state’s QB passed for 400+ yards and
had 24 points on the board. Boise almost
hit 700 yards of offense but only had 37 pts to show for it. Uconn’s D is not great but they aren’t giving
up 700 yards on Saturday. I went back 6
years and I can’t find a game where UCONN lost by 30 at home. They are good for 10-14 points on Saturday,
but I really think they keep 40 off the board against a Boise team that is
solid but isn’t going to blow anyone out on the road. You are probably wondering why I didn’t tease
Boise down……I was at the Michigan and Louisville game they didn’t cover the
spreads against last year, sans the teaser.
Predict: 38-17.
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I guess if we can't be adults about this I will no longer post dollar amounts, I thought we moved past that but I guess not.
On to Saturday.
NOON 13 point Teasers part 1:
Virginia +19.5 : Historically Lou has been a different team
when playing on the road. Look at last
year….At uconn won by 21, at cincy won by 7; @ s florida won by 31 ; @ kentucky
won by 14. Chances are if you didn’t
play them in a teaser you didn’t cover the large number. I still can’t get out of my mind watching
that Vir / Ucla game two weeks ago. The
pressure they put on the QB Hundley for UCLA was very impressive. Hundley made poor choices, he was hurried,
knocked down and his scrambling ability was neutralized. UCLA only scored 7 offensive points and if it
wasn’t for THREE defenses TDs in one quarter they would have lost. Virginia isn’t flashy and they certainly
don’t overwhelm you with talent but you are confident they are good for 14-17
points against a nice Lou def, but nothing really special. Virginia isn’t going to win many games this
year but they won’t be involved in many shoot outs or blowouts. Lou is riding high with two impressive home
wins against Miami and Murray state, however in this spot I think it is decided
by less than 10 with a strong possibility of a straight up home win for
Virginia if they can put pressure on Lou’s QB.
Predict: 32-21.
W Virginia +16.5 : Raise your hand if you are aware this is
a BIG12 conference game. The
Mountaineers have really showed me something in just two games. One they won’t be bullied and roll over and
play dead when they play the likes of Bama and two they beat the teams they
should beat, convincingly. The main
reason for this confidence and swagger is the play of Clint Trickle. No INTs in two games and averages 350 yards
passing. Not to mention holding Bama to
33 points and making Bama one dimensional and lean on their running game. Not to mention holding Bama to 33 points and
making Bama one dimensional and lean on their running game. Maryland needed a 10 point rally to be south
florida on the road. They allowed 17
points turned the ball over 6 times. I
think the offense for W Virginia is going to surprise Maryland and they will be
back on their heels almost all of the game, never with more than a 7 pt lead
going into the final quarter. Predict
: 27-21.
Uconn +29.5: I attended the BYU tilt first game of the
season and had BYU. Hill absolutely
abused the Conn defense and they were high schoolers trying to defend him, it
was comical. They won in convincing
fashion and Uconn’s offense was listless.
The line opened against Stony brook this past week and 16 was just too
high as the line was pounded down heavily.
Stony brook backers (not me) enjoyed an easy wire to wire cover as Uconn
attended the BYU tilt first game of the season and had BYU. Hill absolutely abused the Conn defense and
they were high schoolers trying to defend him, it was comical. They won in convincing fashion and Uconn’s
offense was listless. The line opened
against Stony brook this past week and 16 was just too high as the line was
pounded down heavily. Stony brook
backers (not me) enjoyed an easy wire to wire cover as Uconn prevailed. Two things to note in this game: this isn’t
your normal high powered Boise state team and Uconn will not be shut out. Colorado state’s QB passed for 400+ yards and
had 24 points on the board. Boise almost
hit 700 yards of offense but only had 37 pts to show for it. Uconn’s D is not great but they aren’t giving
up 700 yards on Saturday. I went back 6
years and I can’t find a game where UCONN lost by 30 at home. They are good for 10-14 points on Saturday,
but I really think they keep 40 off the board against a Boise team that is
solid but isn’t going to blow anyone out on the road. You are probably wondering why I didn’t tease
Boise down……I was at the Michigan and Louisville game they didn’t cover the
spreads against last year, sans the teaser.
Let's get get em buddy...contrary to what other morons are saying Pix, don't stop posting your actual wager because this tells me how much you like it!!
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Let's get get em buddy...contrary to what other morons are saying Pix, don't stop posting your actual wager because this tells me how much you like it!!
Let's pause from Sat's write ups and talk about tonight's game.
Teaser or straight up for that matter BYU will cover.
Houston is a complete mess......throwing for 200 yards against Grambling and kicking 4 FGs? Six turnovers in game 1 against San Antonio (Not the Spurs). What are they going to do for an encore....go down 49-0 at the half?
BYU is super dangerous and plays solid D.
I am debating teasing the over down to 46.5 but it dawns on me that Houston might be shut out they are that bad. I can see 31-3 just as easy as 45-20.
I had the over last time these teams met and am tempted to take the under in this one. I just don't see houston scoring much and byu holding the ball 2h.
Okay here it is:
-10 1h BYU $10,000
-17 gm BYU : $10,000
20 teasers, $1,000 each:
all 20 have BYU
10 also have under 72.5
remaining is OPEN 50 slots.
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Let's pause from Sat's write ups and talk about tonight's game.
Teaser or straight up for that matter BYU will cover.
Houston is a complete mess......throwing for 200 yards against Grambling and kicking 4 FGs? Six turnovers in game 1 against San Antonio (Not the Spurs). What are they going to do for an encore....go down 49-0 at the half?
BYU is super dangerous and plays solid D.
I am debating teasing the over down to 46.5 but it dawns on me that Houston might be shut out they are that bad. I can see 31-3 just as easy as 45-20.
I had the over last time these teams met and am tempted to take the under in this one. I just don't see houston scoring much and byu holding the ball 2h.
Both Cincy/Balt game and Pitt/Clev game got out of hand early and there were some crazy pts scored 2h.....I have to think this is going to be a tight game.......
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Both Cincy/Balt game and Pitt/Clev game got out of hand early and there were some crazy pts scored 2h.....I have to think this is going to be a tight game.......
even getting an extra point with the under (line moved up from 60 to 60.5) both these teams can score 40 pts in the 2h pretty easily if BYU doesn't control the run game.
I am also one Big Ben dumb mistake away from blowing those teasers....hope Balt sits on the ball in the 4th.
Any thoughts on BYU 2h?
Curious to see what BYU ML is 2h, I would risk 5 to win 1 that they play them even at worst.
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even getting an extra point with the under (line moved up from 60 to 60.5) both these teams can score 40 pts in the 2h pretty easily if BYU doesn't control the run game.
I am also one Big Ben dumb mistake away from blowing those teasers....hope Balt sits on the ball in the 4th.
Any thoughts on BYU 2h?
Curious to see what BYU ML is 2h, I would risk 5 to win 1 that they play them even at worst.
Well, I was 3 seconds away from going 2-0 in one of the most bizzarre endings to a half in a long time.
I honestly have had worse beats than that.....my main concern is it is creeping closer to going over.
-7 BYU 2h 15,000
ML BYU 2h 10,000
Still hope they cover the game line of -17.
......and there is the nail in the Steelers coffin......just like last week......packers fumbled the game away late to a blowout....now it is Pitt's turn.
Unreal.
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Well, I was 3 seconds away from going 2-0 in one of the most bizzarre endings to a half in a long time.
I honestly have had worse beats than that.....my main concern is it is creeping closer to going over.
-7 BYU 2h 15,000
ML BYU 2h 10,000
Still hope they cover the game line of -17.
......and there is the nail in the Steelers coffin......just like last week......packers fumbled the game away late to a blowout....now it is Pitt's turn.
Umass +29.5 : Glad I
don’t have tickets to this snooze fest.
Talk about can’t get out of their own way, these two teams are as inept
as it gets. I am leaning heavily on the
one that actually shows a pulse, especially with FOUR TDs for the margin of
error. With the total set at 46, I
can’t even recommend teasing down the line to 33.5 because I just don’t know
who is going to score in this one. With
the total set at 46, I can’t even recommend teasing down the line to 33.5
because I just don’t know who is going to score in this one. Last week UMASS exploded offensively and
score the most points they have scored in YEARS. They were at home as a 17 pt dog, led most of
the game and almost won outright. The
way that Vandy was absolutely abused by Temple in the 2h of their first game of
the season is why I feel so strongly about this pick: Vandy couldn’t come back
from a double digit deficit, let alone score while UMASS never gave up and
showed ability to move the ball. I am
sold. Predict : 21-18.
Umass Under 59.5 : Vandy is averaging 5 pts per game and
Umass in the last dozen games has scored 14 points just 3 times. Look for a barn burner and offensive
fireworks…….NOT. Predict : 21-18
Pitt -12.5: Down 3-7
to BC on the road Voytik and his wrecking crew in the backfield promptly
outscored BC 20-0 and prevailed by 10 due to a late TD on a meaningless
drive. Voytik has not been asked to
carry the team since they have rushed for 700 yards in their first two games of
the season. This game will not be any
different. FUI struggled and LOST to
Bethune-Cookman as they could only muster 4 FGs in the game and came back to
whip a psedo-division one team in Wagner.
I think the run opens up the passing game and they air the ball out in
this one. I see tons of yards for Conner
and even a bigger day for the Pitt receiving corp. predict: 37-13
Mizzu +2.5 : Not a good spot for UCF. Coming off a home loss to Penn state where
they surrendered 500 yards of offense Mizzu +2.5 : Not a good spot for
UCF. Coming off a home loss to Penn
state where they surrendered 500 yards of offense and haven’t played in two
weeks. Mizzu is coming off an impressive
lathering of Toledo on the road where Mauk Qb for Mizzu threw for 5 TDs. Coming home with a strong defense and
confidence throwing the ball (in week 1 UCF gave up 450 through the air) and
now ranked #20, this should be a solid home win. Predict:
33-20.
Georgia Southern +31.5 : I am using the same philosophy in
this game that I used with New mexico last week. The difference is Taylor Kelly is not GT’s
QB. In fact against Tulane Georgia Tech
throw for a whopping 15 yards. Geo
Southern has over 700+ yards rushing in two weeks and GT hates to throw the
ball. I really feel 4+ TDs is going to
be enough with one or both teams not picking up huge chunk of yardage to move
the sticks. There might be 800+ yards
rushing between the two teams……I think if G southern gets 17 it is a winner, GT
gave up 19 to Wofford. Predict : 37-17
Georgia Southern Over 43.5 : Both these teams are not that great and will find
ways to put points on the board. It
might be a slow go like the Wofford game against Gtech (9 to 10 at the half)
and then it will pick up with the Ds getting tired (final was 57 pts). Predict : 37-17
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Umass +29.5 : Glad I
don’t have tickets to this snooze fest.
Talk about can’t get out of their own way, these two teams are as inept
as it gets. I am leaning heavily on the
one that actually shows a pulse, especially with FOUR TDs for the margin of
error. With the total set at 46, I
can’t even recommend teasing down the line to 33.5 because I just don’t know
who is going to score in this one. With
the total set at 46, I can’t even recommend teasing down the line to 33.5
because I just don’t know who is going to score in this one. Last week UMASS exploded offensively and
score the most points they have scored in YEARS. They were at home as a 17 pt dog, led most of
the game and almost won outright. The
way that Vandy was absolutely abused by Temple in the 2h of their first game of
the season is why I feel so strongly about this pick: Vandy couldn’t come back
from a double digit deficit, let alone score while UMASS never gave up and
showed ability to move the ball. I am
sold. Predict : 21-18.
Umass Under 59.5 : Vandy is averaging 5 pts per game and
Umass in the last dozen games has scored 14 points just 3 times. Look for a barn burner and offensive
fireworks…….NOT. Predict : 21-18
Pitt -12.5: Down 3-7
to BC on the road Voytik and his wrecking crew in the backfield promptly
outscored BC 20-0 and prevailed by 10 due to a late TD on a meaningless
drive. Voytik has not been asked to
carry the team since they have rushed for 700 yards in their first two games of
the season. This game will not be any
different. FUI struggled and LOST to
Bethune-Cookman as they could only muster 4 FGs in the game and came back to
whip a psedo-division one team in Wagner.
I think the run opens up the passing game and they air the ball out in
this one. I see tons of yards for Conner
and even a bigger day for the Pitt receiving corp. predict: 37-13
Mizzu +2.5 : Not a good spot for UCF. Coming off a home loss to Penn state where
they surrendered 500 yards of offense Mizzu +2.5 : Not a good spot for
UCF. Coming off a home loss to Penn
state where they surrendered 500 yards of offense and haven’t played in two
weeks. Mizzu is coming off an impressive
lathering of Toledo on the road where Mauk Qb for Mizzu threw for 5 TDs. Coming home with a strong defense and
confidence throwing the ball (in week 1 UCF gave up 450 through the air) and
now ranked #20, this should be a solid home win. Predict:
33-20.
Georgia Southern +31.5 : I am using the same philosophy in
this game that I used with New mexico last week. The difference is Taylor Kelly is not GT’s
QB. In fact against Tulane Georgia Tech
throw for a whopping 15 yards. Geo
Southern has over 700+ yards rushing in two weeks and GT hates to throw the
ball. I really feel 4+ TDs is going to
be enough with one or both teams not picking up huge chunk of yardage to move
the sticks. There might be 800+ yards
rushing between the two teams……I think if G southern gets 17 it is a winner, GT
gave up 19 to Wofford. Predict : 37-17
Georgia Southern Over 43.5 : Both these teams are not that great and will find
ways to put points on the board. It
might be a slow go like the Wofford game against Gtech (9 to 10 at the half)
and then it will pick up with the Ds getting tired (final was 57 pts). Predict : 37-17
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