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Sat 9/29 NJPORKY's 2H NCAA System Plays

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Posted: #251
It would be wise to divide the plays between you. So that you already now know which games you should post. 
 
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Posted: #252
The spreadsheet says Colorado St. +7, again...
 
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Posted: #253
 

For the current people dying to figure out how we get to the conclusion, read my 2nd to last post.

You write down the opening lines. Then at halftime, you write down what the true 2H lines should be according to the opening lines. So tonight Chicago was +5.

Green bay is up 13-0 at half. So we must assume since chicago was predicted to lose by 5 points, that they will out score Green Bay by 8 points in the 2nd half. So we now know the TRUE 2H line should be Chicago -8.

The real lines came out and Green Bay was a -2 point favorite. So that's a 10 point swing from what the true line should be so you can make a play on Green Bay -2 because they were the favorite to begin the game and have been on pace to cover. Now you stick with the favorite in the 2H if there's a 10 point difference.

The same logic is used for the Over/Under numbers. Which tonight, the under hit in the 1H so now you stick with the under in the 2H because there's over a 10 point differential. Get it? Now relax LOL

 
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Posted: #254
Quote Originally Posted by ac_bum:

RUN THAT BY ME AGAIN

Bum hows it going brother
 
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Posted: #255

Quote Originally Posted by cisco:

  
You write down the opening lines. Then at halftime, you write down what the true 2H lines should be according to the opening lines. So tonight Chicago was +5.

Green bay is up 13-0 at half. So we must assume since chicago was predicted to lose by 5 points, that they will out score Green Bay by 8 points in the 2nd half. So we now know the TRUE 2H line should be Chicago -8.

The real lines came out and Green Bay was a -2 point favorite. So that's a 10 point swing from what the true line should be so you can make a play on Green Bay -2 because they were the favorite to begin the game and have been on pace to cover. Now you stick with the favorite in the 2H if there's a 10 point difference.

The same logic is used for the Over/Under numbers. Which tonight, the under hit in the 1H so now you stick with the under in the 2H because there's over a 10 point differential. Get it? Now relax LOL

Copied from an earlier thread. I forgot who posted it.

 
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Posted: #256
I can post the next one up...Tulsa @ UAB...and Marshall @ Purdue
 
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Posted: #257
Cisco....can someone please confirm whether or not the system uses CLOSING lines or OPENING lines.  I had thought that someone confirmed that it used CLOSING lines.  That can be a difference maker. THANKS!
 
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Posted: #258
Thanks Punkcash
 
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Posted: #259

Tulsa@UAB
Original game line was TUlsa -14 and 58
At the half, 35-21 Tulsa
2H should be Tulsa 0 and 4
2H lines are Miami 6 and 30
thus we have
Tulsa & UAB over 30
 
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Posted: #260

over uab

 
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Posted: #261
Tulsa UAB half
 
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Posted: #262
Tulsa @ UAB
Original game line was Tulsa -13.5 and 58
At the half, 35-21 Tulsa
2H should be Tulsa -0.5 and 2
2H lines are Tulsa -6.5 and 30.5

Odds diff 7
Total diff 28.5

thus we have

Play Tulsa/UAB OVER 30.5
 
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Posted: #263
using lines from covers.com

-playr101
 
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Posted: #264
thx guys

-playr101
 
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Posted: #265
shit is down to 28.5

good.. 

-playr101

 
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Posted: #266
no im using iodds app on iphone....i can use covers from now on but the Over still a play here.
 
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Posted: #267
Thanks guys. If the 3 of you are going to post with Porky I would decide now who is doing what for the wave of games that will be at the half in about a half hour. Again, thanks.
 
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Posted: #268
Damn...yeah my line just dropped 1 pt.
 
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Posted: #269
Yes. I appreciate all you guys are doing. If we could coordinate and split up some games that would be good. The name of the game is play them all. I know it's difficult and playr101 and puckcash are doing a great job
 
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Posted: #270
I got Marshall @ Purdue ready to go once 2H lines comes out....you guys can take split the others.
 
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Posted: #271
i can take
clem/bc
latech/va
ohio/mass
idaho/unc
 
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Posted: #272
Quote Originally Posted by scaracas51:


Bum hows it going brother
YOU KNOW BRO ON MY GRIND
 
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Posted: #273
Anyone keeping score?
 
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Posted: #274
I'll do Ohio State @ Michigan State also.
 
 
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Posted: #275
ok Jeff you got those you mention.
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