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Sat 9/29 NJPORKY's 2H NCAA System Plays

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Posted: #751
looking like a really really bad finish to the day. like really bad
 
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Posted: #752

Here are all the posted plays since I came home and took over thread at 6pm:


UNDER 23 2H NorthTexas/FAU LOSER
UNDER 24 2H FSU/S.Florida LOSER
BOISE ST 2H -9.5 LOSER
Arkansas St 2H +1
UNDER 27 2H Arkansas St/Western Kentucky
UNDER 28.5 2H Texas Tech/Iowa St
Kentucky 2H +10
Toledo 2H +2.5
UL Lafayette 2H -1
OVER 28 2H UL Lafayette/Florida Int
Texas San Antonio 2H +2.5

 
Prospect
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Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 21
Posted: #753
Quote Originally Posted by crazygambler2:

How do you get away with this. Actually making people believe you win? You are a joke.. I was 1-10 following you today. Where are you winning??

I thought were sitting out?  Liar.
 
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Posted: #754
 F...K    THE HATERS!!!   KEEP IT GOIN PORKY  
 
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Posted: #755
Gambler F off if you got a problem with Porkys system. You've got serious issues if you have nothing better to do on saturday night..

THANKS PORKY!
 
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Posted: #756
it might have something to do with your name
 
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Posted: #757
this stupid fker in arkansas state just cost us that bet
 
Prospect
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Posted: #758
Quote Originally Posted by BoozerCane:

Gambler F off if you got a problem with Porkys system. You've got serious issues if you have nothing better to do on saturday night..

THANKS PORKY!

He got sand in his vajajay cause he lost his whole $300 bankroll in 3 plays.
 
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Posted: #759

Wisconsin @ Nebraska
Full game odds were Nebraska -12 and 53
At the half, 20-10 Wisconsin
2H lines should be Nebraska -22 and 23
2H lines are Nebraska -10 and 26.5
Thus we have
Wisconsin +10 2H as a play
 
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Posted: #760
crazy, you are a trip..........do u have anything else to do?
 
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Posted: #761
Wow... Who was Whitlock even TRYING to throw that ball to??
 
Captain
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Posted: #762
Quote Originally Posted by astros148:

this stupid fker in arkansas state just cost us that bet


why hopefully they run it out and we can afford a FG.
 
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Posted: #763
Damnit! Got Wis at +8 but still a play!
 
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Posted: #764
i have +7.5 2h i guess no play for me
 
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Posted: #765
Quote Originally Posted by astros148:

this stupid fker in arkansas state just cost us that bet

saw that.. 3rd and 19 and they rush for 75
 
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Posted: #766
wisc line got hammered..got in @ +9.5
 
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Posted: #767
my book is wisc +8.........will have to pass.......2 pts could be very important.
 
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Posted: #768
Quote Originally Posted by NJPorky:


Wisconsin @ Nebraska
Full game odds were Nebraska -12 and 53
At the half, 20-10 Wisconsin
2H lines should be Nebraska -22 and 23
2H lines are Nebraska -10 and 26.5
Thus we have
Wisconsin +10 2H as a play

I love this play specially now that the line dropped to 8 and 7.5... They want us to pound Nebraska
 
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Posted: #769

i have Wisconsin +7.5

 

 
Prospect
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Posted: #770
Whoa Wisconsin got pounded, looks like I'll have to pass this.
 
Veteran
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Posted: #771

guys anything wisconsin is + less than 12 is a play...it opened at 10 and got pounded down to 7.5 in some places already

 

 
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Posted: #772
Quote Originally Posted by jeast:


I don't chime in to often on here, but I have been around long enough to see a few things.  This isn't Porky's first year, obviously. If the system he uses doesn't work, he wouldn't continue to use it.  He doesn't want to lose money just as much as we all don't. 

In regard to above, I don't know why this is considered a "middle system".  It's nothing of the sort.  The system says that, based on first half performance, follow that performance as an expected second half result.  The original line is where vegas wants you to think the end result will finish.  Regardless of what any of us want to think, the second half line is basically predetermined as very close to half of the opening line, with very minor adjustments.  When the first half performance differs drastically from that, assume that the second half performance will mirror that of the first.  That's why you look for a deviation of 10, to give enough value to pull the trigger.

Your explanation 2 fits exactly what I am saying.

The theory on the middles being over valued is as follows:
- even number of betters prior to the game on the dog and the favorite
- if the favorite is doing well, the favorite betters may dis-proportionally take the dog to guarantee a break even.  dog betters will lay off
- opposite is true if the dog is doing well

Porky's system goes opposite.  I have no idea if what I have above holds water in practice, but it's logical to me at least.
 
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Posted: #773
What is the play with Wisc +7.5???
 
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Posted: #774
guys not much difference between 7.5 and 9.5...odd either they both cover or they both lose very hard to land on 8 or 9...
 
 
Prospect
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Posts: 80
Posted: #775
Dude you are getting killed all day! You have cost people thousands of dollars. Just stop please!! You are a pathetic excuse for a gambler making everyone believe you can win. You just lost South Carolina for gods sake! His much more can you lose!
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