Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Quote Originally Posted by Europa: In those five US House outstanding races not yet called by the Associated Press, I think Dems' candidates will win three, GOP wins two. If it is the case, new 2025 Congress' partisan makeups should look like Dems 215, GOP 220, i.e. Democrats pick up net two seats. Associated Press has called Dave Min (D) the winner of CA 47, Democrats won 213 seats as of now. CA 13, another toss up seat could also be called within couple of days. I think Adam Gray wins a nail biter in the end which will shrink Republicans House to a paper thin majority. Among those three remaining U.S. House open races, chances are Republicans will win Iowa-1 District, Democrats grab California-13 and California-45 District. In this case, Democrats will win 215 seats and Republicans win 220 seats.
@Europa
Interesting if it falls that way. Closer than before. Would likely mean any 3 republicans who disagree with Johnson/trump's racist/fascist policies can derail certain bills.
What do you think the odds are the Dems get 215?
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Quote Originally Posted by Europa:
Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Quote Originally Posted by Europa: In those five US House outstanding races not yet called by the Associated Press, I think Dems' candidates will win three, GOP wins two. If it is the case, new 2025 Congress' partisan makeups should look like Dems 215, GOP 220, i.e. Democrats pick up net two seats. Associated Press has called Dave Min (D) the winner of CA 47, Democrats won 213 seats as of now. CA 13, another toss up seat could also be called within couple of days. I think Adam Gray wins a nail biter in the end which will shrink Republicans House to a paper thin majority. Among those three remaining U.S. House open races, chances are Republicans will win Iowa-1 District, Democrats grab California-13 and California-45 District. In this case, Democrats will win 215 seats and Republicans win 220 seats.
@Europa
Interesting if it falls that way. Closer than before. Would likely mean any 3 republicans who disagree with Johnson/trump's racist/fascist policies can derail certain bills.
Among those three remaining U.S. House open races, chances are Republicans will win Iowa-1 District, Democrats grab California-13 and California-45 District. In this case, Democrats will win 215 seats and Republicans win 220 seats. @Europa Interesting if it falls that way. Closer than before. Would likely mean any 3 republicans who disagree with Johnson/trump's racist/fascist policies can derail certain bills. What do you think the odds are the Dems get 215?
Fubah, pretty good from my own perspective, late ballots tend to favor Democrat candidates in California. Both Dems Adam Gray and Derek Tran were way behind their opponents on Nov. 5, now Tran has taken the small lead and Gray is just about 351 votes behind Duarte (R) with 95-96% reporting. CA 47's Dave Min was thousands votes behind Scott Baugh at the election date, but Min has taken that seat.
Regarding Iowa-1 district, it has been entering into recount but I give it to GOP.
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Among those three remaining U.S. House open races, chances are Republicans will win Iowa-1 District, Democrats grab California-13 and California-45 District. In this case, Democrats will win 215 seats and Republicans win 220 seats. @Europa Interesting if it falls that way. Closer than before. Would likely mean any 3 republicans who disagree with Johnson/trump's racist/fascist policies can derail certain bills. What do you think the odds are the Dems get 215?
Fubah, pretty good from my own perspective, late ballots tend to favor Democrat candidates in California. Both Dems Adam Gray and Derek Tran were way behind their opponents on Nov. 5, now Tran has taken the small lead and Gray is just about 351 votes behind Duarte (R) with 95-96% reporting. CA 47's Dave Min was thousands votes behind Scott Baugh at the election date, but Min has taken that seat.
Regarding Iowa-1 district, it has been entering into recount but I give it to GOP.
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