The Obama campaign better be prepared for another Mccain desperado gambit.
Here is the scenario i foresee. A day before the VP debate,(or even early the day of) the Mccain campaign will pull the ole switcheroo. Palin will come out and give some stupid excuse (family affairs or something) and cry and moan about sexism and bla bla bla.
She will then say she has quit as mccains running mate.
She could also possibly do this on the very day of the scheduled debate.
3 hours after that bomb shell, Mccain will come out to announce his new running mate..Probably Rudy Guiliani (forget liberman, he completely lacks the fire brand that Mccain would need to pull this gambit off.)
He needs a dyed in the wool cold blooded mercenary. To be announced as close as possible to the debate hour and catch the Obama campaign .
The reason Libermann cant be the guy is that he is too mellow and despite being a back stabbing sob, he lacks the personal character of a sleek politician like Guliani is. He has this slow drawl about him that makes you wanna go to sleep even though the guy is in the middle of what should otherwise be a ruthless attack on some one else. A person with a whinny nasal tone simply cant pull off this gambit
Therefore it will be giuliani. If announced late enough the Obama campaign will be forced into a corner. Either decline to show up and look weak or show up unprepared without any notes or facts on the guiliani record and he will kick your butt.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
The Obama campaign better be prepared for another Mccain desperado gambit.
Here is the scenario i foresee. A day before the VP debate,(or even early the day of) the Mccain campaign will pull the ole switcheroo. Palin will come out and give some stupid excuse (family affairs or something) and cry and moan about sexism and bla bla bla.
She will then say she has quit as mccains running mate.
She could also possibly do this on the very day of the scheduled debate.
3 hours after that bomb shell, Mccain will come out to announce his new running mate..Probably Rudy Guiliani (forget liberman, he completely lacks the fire brand that Mccain would need to pull this gambit off.)
He needs a dyed in the wool cold blooded mercenary. To be announced as close as possible to the debate hour and catch the Obama campaign .
The reason Libermann cant be the guy is that he is too mellow and despite being a back stabbing sob, he lacks the personal character of a sleek politician like Guliani is. He has this slow drawl about him that makes you wanna go to sleep even though the guy is in the middle of what should otherwise be a ruthless attack on some one else. A person with a whinny nasal tone simply cant pull off this gambit
Therefore it will be giuliani. If announced late enough the Obama campaign will be forced into a corner. Either decline to show up and look weak or show up unprepared without any notes or facts on the guiliani record and he will kick your butt.
Well i predicted this while i was in the box, however it is a damned if you do, damned if you dont situation for McCain.
If she excuses herself this late in the game, the media will be all over it, and the public epinion will quickly be that McCain made a huge mistake when choosing her. Ultimately that will fall back to his "judgement".
If she does excuse herself, i can not see if being Rudi Guiliani. He is social liberal on the values .. well atleast he was.. i dont know if he is a born again right now out of political reasons.
Anyhow the evangelical base would be majorly upset if Palin withdraws and the replacement is a quasi liberal from New York. Furthermore Guiliani is supposedly good at foreign policy (i disagree on that, but some think he is)... and that is McCains forté as well.
If she is gone, there can only be one guy and that is Mitt Romney. He has some of the economic credentials that McCain desperately needs.
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Well i predicted this while i was in the box, however it is a damned if you do, damned if you dont situation for McCain.
If she excuses herself this late in the game, the media will be all over it, and the public epinion will quickly be that McCain made a huge mistake when choosing her. Ultimately that will fall back to his "judgement".
If she does excuse herself, i can not see if being Rudi Guiliani. He is social liberal on the values .. well atleast he was.. i dont know if he is a born again right now out of political reasons.
Anyhow the evangelical base would be majorly upset if Palin withdraws and the replacement is a quasi liberal from New York. Furthermore Guiliani is supposedly good at foreign policy (i disagree on that, but some think he is)... and that is McCains forté as well.
If she is gone, there can only be one guy and that is Mitt Romney. He has some of the economic credentials that McCain desperately needs.
I could see Palin getting the boot. Conservatives would be OK with Romney and he would definitely help McCain both with late fund raising and on the Economic Front. But the name of the game is Electoral Votes, and Obama is playing this game very well. McCain could try to steal Pennsylvania by tapping Tom Ridge.
~~~~~ZOSO~~~~~
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I could see Palin getting the boot. Conservatives would be OK with Romney and he would definitely help McCain both with late fund raising and on the Economic Front. But the name of the game is Electoral Votes, and Obama is playing this game very well. McCain could try to steal Pennsylvania by tapping Tom Ridge.
For this to work, it would have to be a loud brash tough talking fella, say Romney, Guiliani or even Huckabee. (those fellas tough enough to rile up the crowds.)
Reason i picked Guliani is because he is the one seen hob nobbing with Mccain as of now.
It simply cant be a dull run of the mill boring fella without character.
The whole point of doing this was to fool every one with a tough talking sleek politician..
Ps..Mikael99 Now you made me feel like i plagiarized your prediction. I thought i was smart coming up with that by myself.
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For this to work, it would have to be a loud brash tough talking fella, say Romney, Guiliani or even Huckabee. (those fellas tough enough to rile up the crowds.)
Reason i picked Guliani is because he is the one seen hob nobbing with Mccain as of now.
It simply cant be a dull run of the mill boring fella without character.
The whole point of doing this was to fool every one with a tough talking sleek politician..
Ps..Mikael99 Now you made me feel like i plagiarized your prediction. I thought i was smart coming up with that by myself.
Biden is seasoned and experienced in debates. Palin will look like a fish out of water on the same stage as Biden. This has all the makings of a complete blow-out.
~~~~~ZOSO~~~~~
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Biden is seasoned and experienced in debates. Palin will look like a fish out of water on the same stage as Biden. This has all the makings of a complete blow-out.
Each candidate gets two minutes to answer the question, and then it is followed up by 2 minutes of debate between the candidates.
Originally that was supposed to be 5 minutes debate between the candidates.. but the McCain team was clearly NOT interested in that.
Now my question is how forcefully will the PBS moderator lay down the rules. As we saw in the first presidential debate Lehrer had problems containing the candidates to 5 minutes.
It is a female moderator from PBS, cant remember her name, believe she ran the VP debate in 04.
One could suspect that the Obama campaign is banking on that the 2 minute debate time will extend into several more minutes as the exchanges goes back and forth.
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Well they have changed the formate.
In each topic:
Each candidate gets two minutes to answer the question, and then it is followed up by 2 minutes of debate between the candidates.
Originally that was supposed to be 5 minutes debate between the candidates.. but the McCain team was clearly NOT interested in that.
Now my question is how forcefully will the PBS moderator lay down the rules. As we saw in the first presidential debate Lehrer had problems containing the candidates to 5 minutes.
It is a female moderator from PBS, cant remember her name, believe she ran the VP debate in 04.
One could suspect that the Obama campaign is banking on that the 2 minute debate time will extend into several more minutes as the exchanges goes back and forth.
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