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Cleveland at Washington (04/24/2008)

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Posted: #26
I am going against the crowd here... I really think the cavs pull off an upset tonight..(although i dont really see this being an upset), they will win, and i will win.  Plus i really hope they get up 3-0 in this series for my sake.  That 250 is waiting in the balance of this series.  Goodluck to you all.
 
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Posted: #27
86% of the bettors are on Cleveland and the side, and 83% on the moneyline. As i indicated, the line is now Washington-4.5 on some books. I'm still looking for the line of -3.5. If i can get that line with a late break just prior to gametime, I will take it and buy the hook off and make my spread Washington-3, which is a steal in this situation, (a season split 2-2 ats and with Washington having spreads as the favorite that were higher in average (6.5) than Cleveland's spreads as a favorite (4), which means that Washington is the superior team in the linemakers eyes) With all of that good money on Cleveland in this matchup, I have to get on the side of the books (14% on the money, 17% on the spread) and stay there until I get the number that i want  
 
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Posted: #28
the play here is the over in the game...
13-3 in the last 16 games in wash has been over..wash as a fav. the over is 16-5 
the last 8 wash and cavs have played in wash has went over 6 out of 8
 strong play on the over
unless someone can change mt mind???
nightridah and stylistic thanks for your info you put on here
 
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Posted: #29
my over and under is 189 half in this game..
my ?? is do you think it will go up and i should bet it know??
stylistic and nightridah what do ya'll think???
 can you help me and tell me what you think if it will go up or down??
 
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Posted: #30
like cle points/love over 181.CLE/OVER PARLAY
 
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Posted: #31
MEANT OVER 190
 
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Posted: #32
Cavs by 3
 
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Posted: #33
Styles is right on this one. Wait for the line to drop to 3.5 and load up on the Wiz. They aren't going to roll over at home.
 
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Posted: #34
Hey style thanks again for the info...i bought the line at +5cle,do u think was can cover this one?? and what do u think in the line at hou@uta? i bought it at +9hou....nid ur help.
 
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Posted: #35
As much as i love the Cavs I think that the Wizards are going to cover at home here. 

Cavs First half
Wizards for the game
 
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Posted: #36
However if Haywood is suspended Im putting my money on the cavs.
 
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Posted: #37
CAVS plus the .pts.
 
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Posted: #38
letzer_roi,
 
Do you mean that you teased Cleveland to +10? I don't think that Houston is going to win a game in that series, so I can't let my money ride with them even if it's +13 at this point. With no low post scoring, they are in trouble. At the same time, T-Mac is very capable of carrying his team when he is driving to the bucket instead of settling for jumpers. Without Yao's threat of low post scoring, the Utah defenders are staying at home and not leaving the 3 point shooters wide open. Good luck you, I'm not touching that game at all!
 
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Posted: #39
Wowwwww Stylistic said it perfect!!! I have been following im start posting more now we can make a really nice profit together!!!!! haha take it easy girl dont think to much on the numbers on this one...... WASH!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #40
CLEVELAND HALF, GAME & OVER
 
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Posted: #41
I agree with Style's analysis on Hou & TMac. Even if TMac starts to drive to the basket, Utah will foul him rather than let him score since he is only a 62% free throw shooter this season. Over the last 2 games, Utah keeps bringing fresh bodies to wear TMac down, and his stats were 0pt in 4Q game 1, and 1pt in 4Q game 2. Utah will sweep Hou in 4 games, and I am taking Utah in this game (maybe tease it down to -4.5 along with TOR and WAS
 
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Posted: #42
hmmm..  do I see reverse line movement, or is it my imagination?

and if so, what does reverse line movement usually mean?
 
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Posted: #43
I'll take the over in this game as well.  It should have covered in game 1, however the Wiz couldn't score in the last 5 minutes.  Game 2 the over covered with out much grey hair and I expect the same tonight.  I grabbed it early at 189, but I would still take it at 190 or so.  The wizards are not as bad as they have looked in the last two games.  Look for them to continue to play tough and foul LeBron when they can, but I think they now realize it's time to play ball.  Arenas has had some time to heal with the wrist injury and there is no way that Gilly, Caron, and Jammison will all keep kept in check for two in a row.  Should be a great game.  I like the Wiz to win and the over.  Go get'em
 
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Posted: #44
Washington will put up tonight...go wizards!
 
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Posted: #45
Cavs +5 (5 units) vs. Wizards - personally I think Cleveland will sweep the series, and they can only thank DeShawn Stevenson and Arenas because of it.  They definitely ignited something under the butt of King James when they announced they would rather play the Cavs more than anyone in the first round.  Frustration showed last game with Haywood and his intentional flagrant foul, and Arenas' lack of minutes.
 
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Posted: #46
BuyU - posts saying he is buying 3 points to -2. You gotta be kidding me? -2 -170? I have no clue what's worse - buying that many points or publicly admitting it. MORON! Why not just play the M/L - might as well. I can't believe people are that stupid to buy 3 points. Then again BuyU isn't putting real money on the game just posting the pick here as an anonymous person so easy for him to do this. If BuyU really is playing Wiz -2 -170 I want him playing at my book if I open one.
 
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Posted: #47
my line just moved from cle +5 to cle +5.5 with 67% of the money on cle... started at cle +4.5.. that is officially reverse movement.
 
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Posted: #48

[Quote: Originally Posted by wasabitobiko] hmmm..  do I see reverse line movement, or is it my imagination?

and if so, what does reverse line movement usually mean?

Notting>>>>>to many variables, ask and Vegas Pro they will tell you the same thing. Hunch bets, gut feelings, you name it. There may be contrary opinions on this thread allways is.

 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by mrknowitall2007:

BuyU - posts saying he is buying 3 points to -2. You gotta be kidding me? -2 -170? I have no clue what's worse - buying that many points or publicly admitting it. MORON! Why not just play the M/L - might as well. I can't believe people are that stupid to buy 3 points. Then again BuyU isn't putting real money on the game just posting the pick here as an anonymous person so easy for him to do this. If BuyU really is playing Wiz -2 -170 I want him playing at my book if I open one.
Save yourself grief & no buy pts. Go figure.
 
 
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Posted: #50
STYLES,
 
Love your pick for team total over 97pts for WASH.. Here are some key stats in your favor:
 
WASH last 11 home games over 97pts 9-2.. The two times they missed it was 95 and 96..
 
CLEV road defense last 11 games they gave up more that 97pts on 9 of 11 games..
 
Riding the WASH OVER team total BIG!!
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