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Denver at New England (11/24/2013)

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Posted: #1

Away:  Denver [6-3-1 ATS]
Home:  New England [5-5 ATS]

Game Time: 8:30 PM
Stadium: Gillette Stadium

Recent Meetings:
N/A

Team Leaders:

Denver:
Passing: Peyton Manning (3572)
Rushing: Knowshon Moreno (600)
Receiving: Demaryius Thomas (914)

New England:
Passing: Tom Brady (2552)
Rushing: Stevan Ridley (562)
Receiving: Julian Edelman (500)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

 
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Posted: #2
This is gonna be very tough for the pats to pull out even at home. Pats secondary is  and now they have to try to match up against the best receiving core in the nf. The hoodie has always had peytons number, but he has usually had better talent on the defensive side of the ball. I expect the broncos to run for well over 100 yards in this game also as there's absolutely no way they can play man to man against these receivers, and their d line is soft. 

Having said that i saw a reinvigorated patriots offense on monday night with vereen and gronk back  move the ball up and down the field most of the night against the best defense in the nfl . If not for very unpatriot like blow ups and personal fouls they likely score 30.  Denvers defense is certainly nothing special , and brady should put up huge numbers against it at home. 

Heavy lean on denver and over in this one, but waiting to see the weather report and the status of welker and julian thomas. If welker and or thomas don't play im not betting, that simple. 
 
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Posted: #3
This might be the first game of the season where Denver gets blown out. I doubt it though it should be close but you know how these prime time matchups usually go. I still think NE picks up a home win here though. Tom Brady does not normally lose at home, and they just got "Screwed" in that game against Carolina, so that should make this a classic matchup.
 
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Posted: #4

Is Denver the better team on paper? Yes. Is Peyton perhaps the best regular season QB ever? Yes. Will the Broncos win this Game? NO, the answer is no.

I still believe Belichick is in Peyton's head. The patriots are not happy right now after they got screwed on Mon night like MGM stated. The patriots are getting better n better and they WANT this game more then Denver does. I honestly believe that a couple of calls are going to go in favor of N.E. because of the exposure of fixation that went on Monday night.

U cant tell me at least one of those refs Had mad $$$ on the Panthers or the under. Im sure he'll be sharing a cell with Tim Donaghy in about 3 or 4 years when the feds get to the bottom of that one...

Anyway, the Pats are HOME DOGS and the public is heavy on Denver so far. You gotta love that. The Denver defense will have a hard time stopping Brady n company. Anybody who thinks outside the box, instead of looking at useless trends KNOWS that the Rich men in Suits behind closed doors would like to see a Pats win. It would restore order looking at the big picture, and just as important, Vegas would win. Im tellin ya right now, Pats + 1 at home IS THE PLAY. Go ahead, call me crazy.......

 
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Posted: #5
You're not crazy...the line is +1 for a reason. Just to keep more people on Denver. If Patriots were favs (as they should be in this spot) then the public would start to think a little more and it might sway there opinion.

I'm with you all the way here, I like the Patriots. You won't find the Patriots as home dogs very often.
 
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Posted: #6
The unders in this game 
 
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Posted: #7
This over seems to easy. Both d's are suspect and to hall of fame qb's. Watch the weather and jump on it
 
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Posted: #8

Don't overthink this.  Denver is the play.  Yes the Pats rarely lose two in a row but that doesn't mean it won't happen.  Broncos are the superior team in virtually every aspect and are only giving up one point.

With the exception playing at Seattle, I would play Denver -1 versus any team in the league.

GL to all

 
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Posted: #9
Yes overthink and filp and flop and flip and flop as u get more info and u will mk abetter choice closer to gm time. As of now I see brady winning. New England is the best at beating manning.
 
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Posted: #10

After watching Belichick's post game "interview" (or lack thereof) last week after getting screwed over - and Tommy Terrific's F-Bomb that got out over live T.V. (I heard it), I don't think I'd want to be on the receiving end of the next game - would you? Yes, we're talking about Prince Peyton, but he doesn't play defense or special teams.

Look to The Hoodie to make damn sure that this game doesn't come down to the last play.....

Pats in the pick 'em.....

 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by omb1:

Don't overthink this.  Denver is the play.  Yes the Pats rarely lose two in a row but that doesn't mean it won't happen.  Broncos are the superior team in virtually every aspect and are only giving up one point.

With the exception playing at Seattle, I would play Denver -1 versus any team in the league.

GL to all


Well Denver is not minus 1 they are -2.5 or -3, never go by what covers says. They use some random online site for their "best" spread. And most people don't have accounts with all of those sites. We should be going by the official game lines here. 

That being said, covers has Denver winning by 3. But what if Welker doesn't play? You still stickin with your Denver pick?
 
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Posted: #12
These could be the locks of the year, NE and the Under!
 
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Posted: #13
Thanks for using the L word. I feel better about my picks. GL
 
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Posted: #14
Using the L word means nothing. Unless you're crazy and you think it does. I have called games LOCKS before and they always come through when I do.  A LOCK simply means a SOLID behind PICK or a play that has virtually no chance of losing.

A good example of a LOCK was Carolina -3 the other night on MNF.
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:


Well Denver is not minus 1 they are -2.5 or -3, never go by what covers says. They use some random online site for their "best" spread. And most people don't have accounts with all of those sites. We should be going by the official game lines here. 

That being said, covers has Denver winning by 3. But what if Welker doesn't play? You still stickin with your Denver pick?

Already took it.  Fully anticipate the public pushing it to -2.5 or -3 so I grabbed it at -1 earlier in the week.  Tough to bet against the Patsies but I'm already ahead after Thursday night's under play so what the hell...if I'm wrong it must be fixed, right?

I'd probably take them at -3 anyway.

For the record:  All my plays for this year's NFL season are recorded under my user profile.  To date I am 47-24-1 (66.20%).  Feel free to look it up. 

Last season I went 90-67-6.  Year before that, posted a 94-77-2 record.  Profitable wagering without teasing anything.  How are you doing?  Oh yeah - not that good.

But maybe...just maybe...I'm a member of the Illuminati MMUUAAAHAHAHAHAHA...mgm you're an idiot.

 
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Posted: #16
Patriots plus 2. Favorite pick of the week by far. The perfect storm situationally. No way Manning leaves New England with a win.
 
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Posted: #17
lo mas logico seria pensar en un juego con muchos puntos, el ganador se decidira hasta el final, y a mi parecer ganara denver 
 
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Posted: #18
Over 71.5
 
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Posted: #19

Quote Originally Posted by Bleakhouse:

Over 71.5

WTF?  Hilarious

 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by omb1:

Already took it.  Fully anticipate the public pushing it to -2.5 or -3 so I grabbed it at -1 earlier in the week.  Tough to bet against the Patsies but I'm already ahead after Thursday night's under play so what the hell...if I'm wrong it must be fixed, right?

I'd probably take them at -3 anyway.

For the record:  All my plays for this year's NFL season are recorded under my user profile.  To date I am 47-24-1 (66.20%).  Feel free to look it up. 

Last season I went 90-67-6.  Year before that, posted a 94-77-2 record.  Profitable wagering without teasing anything.  How are you doing?  Oh yeah - not that good.

But maybe...just maybe...I'm a member of the Illuminati MMUUAAAHAHAHAHAHA...mgm you're an idiot.


I guarantee you haven't made as much profit as I have. According to "Steve" here at covers I'm 75%,  so I guess I got ya beat with that too. Sorry guys I gotta leave the site. I wanted to help, but the illuminati is forcing me outta here.
 
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Posted: #21
OMB I See you joined the site Sept 2001. I guess you are illuminati. 

lol
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by omb1:

Don't overthink this.  Denver is the play.  Yes the Pats rarely lose two in a row but that doesn't mean it won't happen.  Broncos are the superior team in virtually every aspect and are only giving up one point.

With the exception playing at Seattle, I would play Denver -1 versus any team in the league.

GL to all

I think you are right old wise one!
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by best_bets:

I think you are right old wise one!

Hey he's not one in the picture. That's Rodney Dangerfield.

Go check out that Ladybugs movie if you want a family flick.
If you want a better movie, check out Natural Born Killers. You must see it more than once because it gets better and better each time you watch it.

Now if you all want a more disturbing movie, check out "A Serbian Film Uncut". It's on youtube. I didn't find it disturbing, except the ending parts, but it's a great film none the less. Has a good ending too.
 
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Posted: #24
I watched the game last week and Brady was throwing the ball everywhere and nowhere near the WRs. People love to worship Brady, why? He got lucky against NO.

Brady last won the NFL Championship in 2005, 8 years ago soon to be 9, there's a reason for that. Some say his wife is a jinx, i think he just chokes when pressure is applied. Note every time he gets hit he looks at the ref for a flag.

Broncos-2.5
Good teams win games, Great teams cover the spread!
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:


I guarantee you haven't made as much profit as I have. According to "Steve" here at covers I'm 75%,  so I guess I got ya beat with that too. Sorry guys I gotta leave the site. I wanted to help, but the illuminati is forcing me outta here.

Who is "Steve" and I love how you just make declarative statements with absolutely no evidence to back anything up.  I've posted my numbers and they can be found on this site...please show me your brilliant 75% record.

If you're using the "75% if you fade me" theory, that's pathetic.

As long as we're making things up mgm, I also invented Toaster Strudle and run a three minute mile. 

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