You wanted the doc you got it, Just performed some cpr to bail out crappy college sat. No tears.
The biggest bet is over. Den can puts up 20 or more on you quick. So can phillip rivers. That will get you there. Road underdogs following a road loss cover the spread two-thirds of the time. Line going back and forth. Peyton Manning rules as an underdog on Monday night. Dont put latest ATL game in there. The consensus usually gets crushed so your safe there. Besides, it wouldn't totally surprise me to see something go wrong for the Chargers.
I mean when your star QB is yelling at you for not punting when you should of...well Norm is an idiot. Bad coaching kills in this league...wade, reid, schottenheimer, that guy that said you play to win the game guy. DEN and OV for the large!!!!!!
In the last 3 years there have been 95 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite (San Diego in this case) by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like initial underdog (Denver) did better against the spread, going 50-43-2 (53.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.3 points.
Add this to the fact that Peyton's back is against the wall and you have it
DENVER +1 and leaning OVER
I've thought about this game for a while and I've decided the Chargers are the play, but I'm far from "all in" on them. The stakes are EXTREMELY HIGH for both of these teams as a win by the Bolts would further distance themselves into 1st place at 4-2 & would bring the Broncos to 2nd place at 2-4 (yes, the AFC West is that mediocre). A Broncos win puts them in a tie for 1st place at .500.
The Bronco's offense has definitely been upgraded with the addition of the Sheriff as they now rank 6th in the league in yards per game. I also think they're defense is still an above average unit even though they were totally unprepared for New England's extremely fast no-huddle offense last week. John Fox, in my opinon, is one of the better coaches in the league and I was really surprised they weren't more prepared. Willis Mcgahee will probably tell you he was the reason they lost last week (and deservedly so), but their rush defense was the main culprit as they allowed New England to run for 251 yards!! I look for the Broncos defense to have a sense of urgency tonight (as they won't want to be 2-4 going into the bye), but I'm just not sure it will be enough. The Chargers are also on the bye next week and are coming off a loss too, so I don't think its the upcoming bye weeks provide a tangible advantage for either side.
The Chargers, for some damn reason, have been like kryptonite for Peyton Manning. In his 7 career games against them with the Colts, he has a passer rating of 72.5, thrown 16 interceptions vs only 12 touchdowns. And I know the Chargers had Cromartie for a lot of those years (who has an unbelievable track record against Peyton), but Quentin Jammer has seen quite a bit of the Sheriff as well & he will not be easily fooled. The Chargers secondary was really embarassed on national television last week by Drew Brees, and I look for them to play a little better this week.
If Norv Turner is smart (for the record, I dont think he is), the Chargers will give the Broncos a heavy dose of Ryan Matthews, who looked really impressive against a very desperate Saints team going into the bye last week (84 yards on 12 carries). That being said, I don't trust the Chargers enough to make this a strong play.
But if I had to take it: CHARGERS and the UNDER.
Hope you guys have been following my picks this week. I swept the board with the Browns, Bucs, Jets, Giants, and Packers. I also said it looked too easy to take the Vikings, but didn't have the moxy to take the Skins yesterday.
Established in 1995,
for me.
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