Posted:
#151
i got no +7 on an open tease. i like no +3 and over 40 in another tease. im thinkin no and over parlay also. any thoughts on these plays. gl
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Minnesota at New Orleans (10/06/2008)
Posted:
#155
Quote Originally Posted by Nawfside:
I think Minnesota covers here. I know dencol doesn't like this, but most of the public is on New Orleans and the line hasn't budged. Seems like a red flag to me.
Vikings +3.5 (1/2 pt buy because I never leave it on a hook number)
What public is that???? and how do you know?????
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Posted:
#156
Hey if anyone wants my pick which i don't put on here alot but do read alot off here,,true record this year is 6-5-3
really like the saints -3 at home,, one good reason is that brees is pretty hot right now i think..and saints some reason are alittle better at home,for what it matters which isn't much my pick is the AINT'S AT -3 out hokie
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Public got robbed!
Posted:
#164
Here is what my thinking is boys and girls. MNF has trended on the over for two years running now. Admit it, like me, you usually take the over if playing the total on MNF. Now the #1 air attack in the league is at home against a 1-3 team on the road......with Gus throwing it for them
...........but wait a minute
.......Gus has 420 yards passing in two games now and those were games against Tenn and Car??? 
Meanwhile........"back at the Hall of Justice"........
NO is the 29th ranked team against the pass
and 19th(bottom half of the league) against the run
Give me a TO!!!! Mr. Peterson is coming to town tonight........and running the ball to Baton Rouge by the time it's done!!! 
...........but wait a minute.......Gus has 420 yards passing in two games now and those were games against Tenn and Car??? Meanwhile........"back at the Hall of Justice"........NO is the 29th ranked team against the pass and 19th(bottom half of the league) against the run Give me a TO!!!! Mr. Peterson is coming to town tonight........and running the ball to Baton Rouge by the time it's done!!! This awesome NO offense is 2-2 SU........they have racked up the increadible passing numbers against TB(22nd pass, 12 run d) Wash(21st pass, 9th run d) Den(30th pass, 25th run d) and SF( 20th pass, 22 run d). 
No team they have faced is higher than 20th in the league against the pass!!! Minn is a least right in the middle curve at 16th against the pass!! And that is after playing GB, Ind, Car, and Tenn!!! And after facing those teams, and leading Ind 15-0 in the mid 4th quarter.......and handing Car thier only lose of the season 20-10.........they are allowing only 20 points per game while ranked 2nd in the league against the run......which will equate to pressure on the QB.
Oh......and sad ol' Gus is at QB tonight right......old and helpless with no recievers..........against the 29th ranked pass D in the league!!!! 
Give me Minn and the defense and running game they will bring to town. And the old, worthless, washed up QB that has no recievers to throw to........but will throw for just enough yards and hand it off all night against that crap pass D and a defensive line that is missing both DT's tonight!!! I'm also taking the under because most people will be on the over, well.......and for everything I took the time to research and list above.
But if I was just doing my typical MNF routine........I would bang the Saints and the over........because the Saints are always the over bet!!! 
GL everyone!!! 
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Posted:
#165
Quote Originally Posted by dencol:
What public is that???? and how do you know?????
What public is that???? and how do you know?????
If the public was on the Saints, the line would go up. Vegas this, Vegas that.....The line moves with the money, pure and simple. What in the world makes some of these cats think that the books don't balance the sides by moving lines and increasing vigorish? If you spend one minute monitoring consensus picks, you're wasting your time. Sharp or square, the line is what it is. If you focus on handicapping the line instead of handicapping what you think the line should be, you'll be better off in the long run.
On to the game. The Vikes are in trouble. AP is a stud, but when you've got 8 defenders spying him and no QB to take advantage of the defensive scheme, you're in deep doo doo. The Saints can score and they will. Perhaps AP busts a run or two and if he does, you've got your over. Just my opinion on the game and I wish everyone good luck tonight. 
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Posted:
#166
Quote Originally Posted by rick3117:
dencol hes probably talking about the wagerline consensus being at 71% for New Orleans
John Q Public is right here!!!! All you have to do is read the thread and get a feel...This thread is 55% Saints. That tells you that the big money has been coming in on VIKES who are due, that is the reason the line is staying even (minus 3 pts for home field)... but how can you bet them....
I loved the Saints early, for all the reasons, but I keep hearing about the injuries on D and I am worried the AP gets off and they smash the Saints around and change tempo etc...
Saints should throw a million short passes to Bush et al. maybe catch an early lead
UNDER///// Small play SAINTS at half GLA
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Posted:
#168
Quote Originally Posted by Fish Naked:
Unloaded on the Saints -.5 +110 1st Qtr. Undecided on the Saints -1.5 at the half -115
Good week to change your avatar my brutha!! I was nervously gulping my gin thinking about my Cain backin friends pushing back hard in that game. I thought they were going to get it done at the begining of the 4th quarter. Now, it's my turn to go down to Carolina and get beat by those powder blue flakes next week.........Irish nation will be brought back down to Earth and given a healthy dose of "shut the f--- up!!!!!"
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Posted:
#175
Quote Originally Posted by yellowjacket:
hey bigdaddy, where is the guy who was talking so bad about hawaii. congrats on the win. this game scares me its hard to beat the saints at home on monday night. Ask the falcons when they had Vick and were supposed to run over the saints that monday night.
Like most idiots they never come back when they are wrong
Good luck
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