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New Orleans at Chicago (12/11/2008)

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Posted: #51
dencol, gonna have to find a new local after this!!!!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #52
Quote Originally Posted by kmaster:

I think the Bears secondary could possibly get torched in this one.  However, with the chillier weather expected, I don't see the New Orleans "DOME" Saints being as much of threat with the deep ball.  The Bears lead the league in takeaways and I see the Bears winning this one and staying in the hunt for the division and wild card at worst.  I think the Bears chances of winning out are much better than the Saints! 


the bears should win a close one here, so not really feeling a play.  the "dome" saints are 4-2 ats on grass this year, and 12-7 the last 3 years.  something to keep in mind. 
 
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Posted: #53
hmm - bears have played the over only 5 of 13 times this year, but 4 of their overs have been at home.  factor in the prime-time trend and 2 not so great defenses, and im kinda liking the over now.

bears give up 21ppg - saints 25ppg.

bears are awful vs the pass, giving up 234 ypg, and stout vs the run at 91ypg - saints may be in pass mode all night - as long as the wind isnt a huge factor, i like the over here more i think about it.

~over 44.5~
 
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Posted: #54
Agent0 what book do you use? mine still shows 45.5.
 
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Posted: #55
saints all the way bears suck bad fuck being at home . get fucking real
 
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Posted: #56
Over is my play , get it before it goes to 46'.
 30 Degrees and little to no wind is football weather, dome team or not. The players had to have played outside once or twice in they're life, no?
 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by bvent:

Agent0 what book do you use? mine still shows 45.5.


i actually bet with 2 locals - wont have my lines till tomorrow.

i was just using the current total here on this site.  i see it at 45 on scoresandodds.com
 
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Posted: #58
The Bears have covered their last four in December, and ten of their last 12 in week 15. They are 0-4 ATS following a straight up win, and 1-6-1 ATS after allowing fewer than 15 points in the previous game.

New Orleans has gone over in their last seven December games, in 10 of their last 12 games following a straight up win, and the over is 10-2-1 following an ATS win.

This game is kinda hard to cap the side on. I think the weather could help the Bears cover but I dont understand why alot of people hear 20 degrees and think its automatically going to be 7-3? Remember the Giants and Pac in the NFC Champ game last year ? 24-21 I think ? 10 below zero.
Just some info if you guys didnt see it . I hope it helps. BOL to all
 
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Posted: #59
Okay, thanks..I bet online with BetUs and they now have it 45 too. If it gets to 44.5, I may have to take the over. Thanks for your help.
 
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Posted: #60
bvent - being a prime time game, this total will likely go up tomorrow.  neither defense is very good, and if the weather is just *cold* - not going to affect the offenses.  i bet this total floats to 46 by kickoff.  anyone who likes the under, can likely wait for a better total.
 
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Posted: #61
Lots of post! Probably already been said:
NO is 1-5 on the road, with the lone win coming against KC . Not enough balance to beat that bears D. Saints finding themselves in a bad spot with this spread, they're 0-3 away when dogged 0-3 pts . Chi will get after Bree's n he'll have a bad game. Matt Forte over 120 yds.
Bears -3   27-17 Easy
 
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Posted: #62
They arent gonna be able to stop Bush.   Over large
 
                                                                BET           WIN
 
12/10/2008 11:22 PM     TOTAL     ALOT    SHITLOAD     Football - 302 DA Beras/Saints  OVER 45  

                    
 
                   

                     
 
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Posted: #63
saintsssssssssssssss big
 
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Posted: #64
Bears win this one. Last time Brees was playin in the cold was at purdue, and he didn't like it. Weather cold and should be windy. Mixed temp. range throughout the day. Bears + D vs. NO rush is np. Bears + Sp.T vs. NO again np. Bears Forte is the real deal, I am not saying bush is not a prime timer, but I believe in the "FORT" more. Bears will tackle, NO will not. There will be points from desperation and to's add another + for the Bears.
The Bears for me -3.         o/u to me is a coinflip
 
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Posted: #65
first this is a thursday game...so let's throw out everything we know about capping. road vs home record, weather,bears this...bears that...etc.  if bears are lock why only 3 points?  sounds like everyone and their grandmother will be taking the bears, except for insiders who know the saints play the NFC North really tough..no REALLY TOUGH lets look at a common opponent like the packers;

bears 3 packers 37
saints 51 packers 29

defence wins championships.  this is not a championship game so saints are going to run up the scoreboard!

SAINTS 41 BEARS 19

gl
 
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Posted: #66
Bears by 13 points...
 
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Posted: #67
Vikings beat Saints at their place, nuff said.  They are crappy!  History holds to form as Bearsd ruin Aints once again.   bank it!!!!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #68
Thursdays game have gone OVER in all of the games except for the Dallas vs Seattle game and maybe the Oakland vs SD game if you o/u line was 40.5(PUSH if it was at 41)
 
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Posted: #69
bears and the over...
 
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Posted: #70
As easy as this one looks and sounds with Bears having a better home record, saints road record not so hot, Bears defense and the weather all pointing in the direction of Bears + 3 and under 45. I took another look at their #s and this is what I saw. Although Saints away record is 1-5, they did not lose by much. For example: Denver 34 NO 32, TB 23 NO 20, with both games on grass, with pretty good run offense. 
       What this says to me is that, yes its cold, but not wet. Saints will come with their #1 ranked total yard offense and #1 ranked passing game againt's Bears #28th ranked pass defense, backed by good running roster, and just as good run defense.  The mentality of " There is no fucken way that we are going without a good fight to keep are season going" might just be the key to winning this game. Remember the weather effects both teams. Saints is the better team at this time no matter where and when these two play. I like the Saints -3, leaning towards the Over because of the possibilities for interception being ran back for touchdowns. All quarterbacks throws INTs. Its just when. 

       PS: Please correct me if I am wrong about the games they played @TB and DEN being on grass.
 
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Posted: #71
Quote Originally Posted by jmmychampion:

pick of the week here fellows will slap350 on saint -3 and parlay it for 150 with the under. would like some insight as something else to two team parlay it up with i like it that muchi think the line will b going up up up in this one you never know with the totals but amthinking bears suck and cant do squat on offensei see it 27 to13( laening toward washington -  wat cha all think tag yalls it6.5
ok final aswere after much toght and reasearch .first let me recant this as pick of week . like a couple of others beter. but the one is san diego -5 so as far as this one stil like the saints. seeing how im uo for the week 560 will start off here with250 saints -3 and a 100 parlaywith the over. feels gd i like saints one so much am adding another 2 teamer seams like money to me 150 parlay on san diego-k with saints plus three.                             now lets cash in     
 
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Posted: #72
Saints LT Jamaal Brown (ankle) has been ruled out for Thursday night's game against the Bears.
Zach Strief, who went to Northwestern and is used to the elements near Soldier Field, will start for Brown. Brown hadn't been playing particularly well, so it isn't a major concern for Drew Brees, Pierre Thomas, or Reggie Bush. Dec. 10 - 3:27 pm et
 
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Posted: #73
Weather will be a factor.  The Bears are a cold weather team, but can you really put your bank roll on Kyle Orton?
 
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Posted: #74
weather weather weather....that helped me alot when I took the packers last sunday vs Houston.
 
CHI did spank the JAGS from the sunshine state....
 
Short week, I will take the under.
 
 
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Posted: #75
Brees in Cold weather at Soldier field
 
674 passing yards 5TDs 3INT in last 2 games in the cold at Soldier field.
 
 
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