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Tennessee at Denver (11/19/2007)

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Posted: #26
Looking at a teaser w/ Tenn +7.5 and Under 44.5. Still crunching this one but that's looking to be my play.
 
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Posted: #27
damn i hate to go against cocknocker, WiseGuy and danstyk but i gotta go with Denver -1.5 (2 units)
 
Titans vs. Broncos -1.5 (2 units) - Denver has been pretty luck so far in 3 of their wins with a late FG to win it, their offense hasn't shown too much either.  Jay Cutler will start despite his injury that knocked him out of last weeks game and killed my team total bet.  He should be healthy enough to play well against a Tenn defense that has dropped off lately.  LenDale White and Chris Brown really shouldn't scare a Broncos defense that isn't too good against the run, and they'll have a spy or two keeping an eye on Vince Young.  I think they'll try to make him beat them through the air, and he has never played in Mile High.  I see him throwing 2 picks and 1 TD tonight.  Anther injury note includes Albert Haynesworth who is questionable with a strained hammy.  If he doesn't play that spells trouble again for the Titan defense because Selvin Young is turning into a stud while filling in for Travis Henry.  LenDale White left last weeks game with a knee injury, and Chris Brown hasn't played in awhile with an ankle injury.  Both practiced this week and should play, but will they be effective?  I would also consider the under 38 here tonight, but its best that I lay off from a bad Sunday.
 
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Posted: #28
Im up $41,500 on NFL this year, and i say stayyyyyyyy away.  This one is like betting a coin toss.  Could go either way, and the Total is right on the number.  It could very well land on 38.
 
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Posted: #29

Haven't seen a ML for this game yet, if one comes up for Tennessee at +130 or better I would make a 1 unit play on that along with a 2 unit play on teasing Tennessee to +8 and the Over to 32.5 (hedge bet).  Tennessee has a good chance of winning this game and with the line so low, if a decent ML is available you might as well take it for a small bet since this game should be down to the wire.  Otherwise I like this tease because the 2 games that Denver won at home were within 3 points and 4 out of 5 games at home for them have gone over, averaging 43 pts/game at home.  Tenn:  14-4 ATS as underdog.  Denver:  1-10 ATS as a home fave.  Tennessee road #'s:  Points for 23, Points against 18.2  Denver home #'s:  16.8, points against 26.2. 

Day to day: Hainsworth, white, jones, brown. Vince Young new to Denver weather. 

Tennessee-19

Denver-20

 

 
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Posted: #30
 
I had a terrible NFL day. I apologize to those who followed.
 
I'm not even taking my chances like I did on Sunday to scramble for info and bang my head on this one.
 
Just came in here to apologize for the terrible NFL picks yesterday and to wish eveyone a
 
 
Happy Thanksgiving to you and your family
 
Staying away from this one good luck to all
 
 
 
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Posted: #31
I dont know what the hell to go with on this one.  Liking the over, and with Haynesworth banged up Selvin Young should have another good day at home, with Travis probably in suspension.  Like the over 38 I guess!!
 
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Posted: #32
everyone has a turn in the barrel BD
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by bigdaddyhpd:

 
I had a terrible NFL day. I apologize to those who followed.
 
I'm not even taking my chances like I did on Sunday to scramble for info and bang my head on this one.
 
Just came in here to apologize for the terrible NFL picks yesterday and to wish eveyone a
 
 
Happy Thanksgiving to you and your family
 
Staying away from this one good luck to all
 
 

You don't owe anyone an apology. We all win & lose, what can you do?

My play for MNF (that nobody will like) -

2.5 units
 
Denver -2
 
Still thinking about the total, but no hesitation on the Broncos here. VY is not passing the ball well, I think he is suffering from running QB syndrome - Fisher is doing things right by coaching to his teams strengths which are running and defense, but I think this has hurt the development of Young as a passer.
 
Denver is starting to get it together, Lynch is back and should be a big boost to the D. Half the field is not available with Champ at corner, this will hurt the Titans passing game even more. Haynesworth doesn't sound like a go to me, and even if he plays how effective will he be?
 
I'm leaning over, but don't know if I can get the 13 or so contribution I need from the Titans to get there. I'll post my total (or lack of?) later.
 
Good luck
 
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Posted: #34
I am the over in this one. Yes, both have subpar offenses, but Denver can put up points at home when they need too, (w/ the exception of Packers, SD etc). THe fact that they are 9-1 over at home (and 7-3 O for the season)is enough for me though - and Selvin Young hopefully pulls another 100 yds.

Everyone says Vince Young's arm to pull the Titans - he has thrown 4 TD's and 10 interceptions this season. Yeah, he looks explosive on camera, Michael Vick-like arm, but in the game he is not very solid. Last week he threw 1 TD, but he has not thrown a TD since wk 3 against NO's crappy defense! Plus, look at their history of wins: Carolina, Oakland, Houston (w/o A.Johnson and injured Shaub/Rosenfel duo, who threw 3 interceptions), Atlanta, NO, Jags and GB. All w/ the exception of Jags and GB, the rest are garbage wins.

Lendale White - Yes, he had over 100 yards 7,8, and 9, but last week a measly 12 yds against Jags. Even if he comes back tonight, I highly doubt he'll be effective due to Knee injury (this includes Haynseworth's protection).

On most days i would take the under, but MNF and Denver at home w/ their win last week, and needing this to tie w/ SD in the division, gotta take the Broncos (Cutler does some weird shiet sometimes, I'm banking on his schizophrenic-like ability)

GLA






 
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Posted: #35
Tenn offense averages 23 points away, while the defense gives up 18.3 points to the home opponent.  Denver, meanwhile is averaging 16.8 points at home with the opponents avg 26.2 points.  I'm liking the over more and more, especially IF Haynesworth is out.  By the way, those hating on Vince Young...granted he is inconsistent and is still developing, but I do believe he threw for more yards last week than any game of his short career.  This could lead to even more points.
 
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Posted: #36
Young    Season (4 TD,10 Interceptions)
White, Haynseworth, Brown

Titans = No passing game AND no Running game (even if playing, effective? probably not)

Denver -2 =
Over 38 <---Not sure on this one yet


 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by bigdaddyhpd:

 
I had a terrible NFL day. I apologize to those who followed.
 
I'm not even taking my chances like I did on Sunday to scramble for info and bang my head on this one.
 
Just came in here to apologize for the terrible NFL picks yesterday and to wish eveyone a
 
 
Happy Thanksgiving to you and your family
 
Staying away from this one good luck to all
 
 

That's nonsense BigD. you've done too much for us. Good luck my friend and I hope to see more of your picks this week. I wouldn't mind get some thoughts on this game either haha.

Have a Great Turkey day to you and your family. Mine will be eating ducks instead

 
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Posted: #38
Young has a tendacy to play well in the spotlight. CLE and NE treated me well yesterday. I don't have any interest in giving it back. Sticking with my teaser.
 
TEN +7.5 and UN 44.5 1 unit
 
GL all
 
And how about them Buckeyes!!!
 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by 3rd_and_Long:

You don't owe anyone an apology. We all win & lose, what can you do?

My play for MNF (that nobody will like) -

2.5 units
 
Denver -2
 
Still thinking about the total, but no hesitation on the Broncos here. VY is not passing the ball well, I think he is suffering from running QB syndrome - Fisher is doing things right by coaching to his teams strengths which are running and defense, but I think this has hurt the development of Young as a passer.
 
Denver is starting to get it together, Lynch is back and should be a big boost to the D. Half the field is not available with Champ at corner, this will hurt the Titans passing game even more. Haynesworth doesn't sound like a go to me, and even if he plays how effective will he be?
 
I'm leaning over, but don't know if I can get the 13 or so contribution I need from the Titans to get there. I'll post my total (or lack of?) later.
 
Good luck

I know but just figured I would apologize before the haters flood in while I'm gone on vacation

Good Luck on this one bro

 
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Posted: #40
BigD- Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours. I'll be looking for your 1/2 time predictions for Thursday's games. Some interesting matchups to watch between feedings!
 
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Posted: #41

I am not a big fan of trends but the fact that Tennessee is 4-1 ATS as a dog this year and Denver is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games throws up a red flag for me.

Denvers run D is not good and their starting Running back Travis Henry is banged up and questionable.

Vince Young has a tendency to play great on nationally televised games.

Titans +2

 

 
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Posted: #42

I am not a big fan of trends but the fact that Tennessee is 4-1 ATS as a dog this year and Denver is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games throws up a red flag for me.

Denvers run D is not good and their starting Running back Travis Henry is banged up and questionable.

Vince Young has a tendency to play great on nationally televised games.

Titans +2

 

 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by drJ:

everyone has a turn in the barrel BD

I got a double barrel shotgun on that one my friend.

Doubled up on the Wash/Dallas under while I was out and got in the 4th qtr.

Called in NE at the half to chop my losses but still for Sunday.

Good luck tonight

 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by Hunted466:

BigD- Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours. I'll be looking for your 1/2 time predictions for Thursday's games. Some interesting matchups to watch between feedings!

I'll try to come on during the week but don't want to rush into my picks like I did on Sunday.

Good Luck my friend  

 
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Posted: #45
I've all but cut my ties with the NFL for the year. College b-ball and football is where it's at for this week and untill April. Good luck on this game it really is a coin toss.
 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by bigdaddyhpd:

 
I had a terrible NFL day. I apologize to those who followed.
 
I'm not even taking my chances like I did on Sunday to scramble for info and bang my head on this one.
 
Just came in here to apologize for the terrible NFL picks yesterday and to wish eveyone a
 
 
Happy Thanksgiving to you and your family
 
Staying away from this one good luck to all
 
 

Bruddah BigD, absolutely NO reason for apologies....we all in dis together so win/lose, we still one ohana!

We all know you stay thinking about that "paradise" vacation to Honolulu. LOL Or is it the Boise game....line came out at Hawaii -4.5.....wat you tink?

Either way, hope to see some of your picks while on vacation but, no worry if no can....we all grown ups here (we'll most of us). And for the haters....F'um....no need worry wat does mutha's tink!

Have a good one my bruddah and hope to see you on the Islands somewhere....maybe Rainbows in Kapahulu. Aloha!

 
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Posted: #47
This one seems too hard to call.  It could go either way and may just come down to the last 30 seconds.  I'm considering just staying away from this one, there are plenty of games to come.  Might just stick to putting my money on some basketball and watching them instead.

We will see....

GL!!
 
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Posted: #48
Gonna take denver and the under here
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by Sandys:

Bruddah BigD, absolutely NO reason for apologies....we all in dis together so win/lose, we still one ohana!

We all know you stay thinking about that "paradise" vacation to Honolulu. LOL Or is it the Boise game....line came out at Hawaii -4.5.....wat you tink?

Either way, hope to see some of your picks while on vacation but, no worry if no can....we all grown ups here (we'll most of us). And for the haters....F'um....no need worry wat does mutha's tink!

Have a good one my bruddah and hope to see you on the Islands somewhere....maybe Rainbows in Kapahulu. Aloha!

 

I like that line in the UH game but we expecting rain for that game.So I'll wait.

I actually set some time this week to try to attend the Warriors practice this week. Come down if you can maybe I'll get to meet you there.

BTW I sent you an invite for my friends list so I can post things in your playbook. Click accept if you like in your space.

Happy Thanksgiving to you and the family bro  

 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by bigdaddyhpd:

 
I had a terrible NFL day. I apologize to those who followed.
 
I'm not even taking my chances like I did on Sunday to scramble for info and bang my head on this one.
 
Just came in here to apologize for the terrible NFL picks yesterday and to wish eveyone a
 
 
Happy Thanksgiving to you and your family
 
Staying away from this one good luck to all
 
 

 

 

 

No Apoligies needed. We cleaned up Saturday and gave some back Sunday. I would take ur pics all over again. Like I sid before BD...You d a lot of good on here and I am sure evryone would vouch for that.

 

 

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