Accventures Genesis picks thread

adding:

Cantlay to win (2.6-1 for $35)

List to win:  (1.20-1 for $45)

Day to win (80-1 for $14)

Zalatoris to win (8-1 for $50)

Adding:  Xander to win (30-1 for $30)

I have everyone at this point, just a matter of it being Cantlay and not net winning this week or breaking even and it being one of these other guys I've had for a day or more.  English, Maysuyama and Hadwin would be nice.

Adding:  Day to win (150-1 or $5)

Cantlay to win (4-1 for $20)

Adding:

Cantlay to win (4-1 for $20)

Zalatoris to win (3-1 for $30)

Xander to win (7-1 for $15)

Adding:

Cantlay to win (12-1 for $20)

Xander to win (36-1 for $10)

Pull this shit out Hideki!  Would be a nice little payout.  Lmao. 150-1 5 hours ago.

Zalatoris would mean a break even week give or take though I've not done the math yet.  Just a guess.

Adding:

List to win (14-1 for $15)

Glad you got this is. I missed it because I had it parlayed with a loser last night. 

Matsuyama to win (150-1 for $17)

Congratulations on Hideki. I wish i got on that play. . Always the bridesmaid me my picks

How did you even think about taking Hideki going into today? @accventures

From now on, i wont make any picks until i see who you take the  last day

There were only 8 players within 7 shots of the lead. And Hideki is only 5 back from 2nd place. So the thinking is if the leader messes up and you are against the 2nd best player, can you make it up? 

And Hideki is a top tier player at having 5+ shot gained rounds. He ranked 11th on my list, but of the 8 players in contention, he was 1 of 2. 

Were the odds great? No, but at 150-1 or higher, and if you have several of the other top players, that is a good hedge. 

Kicking myself because I parlayed Hideki with losers in NBA contests. I will wipe up my tears and move on to next week.

@accventures

Crushing it continued! 

$2,550 Hideki win........from today!  

Lost $1,190 +/- on all other plays.......if I'm off any, it isn't on purpose.  It's just becuase I'm ballparking and being a little lazy as I want to concentrate on the positive from this week!

Net:  + $1,360 for the week

12-4-3 on match-ups

$3,631 coming into the week + $1,360 for this week

+$4,991 YTD

Few thoughts.  I don't really want to say I've picked winners both of the last two weeks because the way I do this, I should have a winner most weeks.  Obviously hitting long shot winners in back to back weeks does suggest I made alot more of a "not likely" play and hit.  Where I can really crush it with this approach is to pick the winner before they tee off or after a round or so, then have them lead comfortably on Sunday because then I'd not have to hedge so aggressively on the weekend.

Week 1 was Pebble and I had a couple o guys who could have won if they had played round 4.   I want to keep the match-up plays rolling because they allow me to be alot more aggressive on the "to win" plays.  This week was a so-so match-up week, splitting and losing the juice.