Posted:
#51
adding:
Cantlay to win (2.6-1 for $35)
List to win: (1.20-1 for $45)
Day to win (80-1 for $14)
Zalatoris to win (8-1 for $50)
1
Accventures Genesis picks thread
Posted:
#63
There were only 8 players within 7 shots of the lead. And Hideki is only 5 back from 2nd place. So the thinking is if the leader messes up and you are against the 2nd best player, can you make it up?
And Hideki is a top tier player at having 5+ shot gained rounds. He ranked 11th on my list, but of the 8 players in contention, he was 1 of 2.
Were the odds great? No, but at 150-1 or higher, and if you have several of the other top players, that is a good hedge.
Kicking myself because I parlayed Hideki with losers in NBA contests. I will wipe up my tears and move on to next week.
1
Posted:
#66
12-4-3 on match-ups
$3,631 coming into the week + $1,360 for this week
+$4,991 YTD
Few thoughts. I don't really want to say I've picked winners both of the last two weeks because the way I do this, I should have a winner most weeks. Obviously hitting long shot winners in back to back weeks does suggest I made alot more of a "not likely" play and hit. Where I can really crush it with this approach is to pick the winner before they tee off or after a round or so, then have them lead comfortably on Sunday because then I'd not have to hedge so aggressively on the weekend.
Week 1 was Pebble and I had a couple o guys who could have won if they had played round 4. I want to keep the match-up plays rolling because they allow me to be alot more aggressive on the "to win" plays. This week was a so-so match-up week, splitting and losing the juice.
1
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