Accventures Phoenix Pick Thread

Spieth to win (40-1 for $17)

Scotty to win (1.55-1 for $50)

Theegala to win (2.7-1 for $45)

3rd round match-ups finally over.....lmao........2-0-1 to fund some more long shots!

9-0-1 in matchups the last two weeks

Crushing it 

Adding Young to win (3.85-1 for $40)

Scotty to win (1.80-1 for $40)

@accventures

 To know if you are profitable, it is a simple formula. The average odds per golfer, and the number of golfers bet. If your average odds > number of golfers, it is a winning strategy. But if your average odds < number of golfers bet, it is a losing strategy. Of course this doesn't take into account skill / win probably, but if you assume your picks even-out on the ratio of odds/true odds, this is negligible. 

When you were going with 80-1, 100-1, 120-1 odds, it makes sense because you are betting less golfers.

But a 2-1 odds pick, when you are betting 30 golfers, is bad odds. 

Young to win (15.5-1 for $30)

Scotty to win (1.08-1 for $40)

Scotty to win (even for $125). better do it bigger while I can.

Scotty to win (1.20-1 for $90)

Theegala to win (7-1 for $20)

 Let’s go Hoffman 

Scotty to win (-110 for $60)

My only horse is Burns.

But I have some top T20/10/5s with Tom Kim, Scott, Ghim, and McNealy I would like to see hit!

Scotty to win (+110 for $45)

Scotty to win (3-1 for $25)

This is it.....Scotty to win (12-1 for $20)

A lot of hedging today.......

Nice job with the Hoffman pick! Hope it holds!

Hang on Hoff, hang on!

Going to be a big payday either way, How much bigger though.  I don't regret hedging because Scotty has us dead to right for much of the day and I just couldn't take the chance of not cashing at least some.

Need a damn calculator to add all these little bets up BUT.....there will officially be a BIG ASSED number to subtract from 

One last bullet to dodge.

Dude you’re legit at! Been following golf for a bit, like your betting style. I’m used to putting in 5-6 picks, but like the “insurance” picks throughout the tournament. 

-2502 on plays that didn't win...........now for the fun fucking part!!!!!