Accventures The Players pick thread

nice work kid. Gonna keeo my. Eye in your matchups 

56-36-10 YTD match-up record now.  6-1 yesterday, 5-2 the day before, 7-2 Thursday.  Nothing like an 18-5 run to get the bankroll right.

Match-up success has made this a profitable week no matter what else happens now. Harman pulling this out is my best chance and I think he can do it.

+$520 yesterday.  Would have been 7-0 in match-ups until Hoge had an EIGHT on the last hole.  Damn.

Ok looks like if EVERY "to win" play I've made so far is a loser, I'd be up around $1,225 for the week at this point.  Harman is very much alive, maybe Montgomery and Poston can fire the round of their life to have a chance.  My thinking heading into Sunday is to not spend more than $600 hedging with plays on the guys on the leaderboard.  That would still make it a profitable week.  I'll be looking for guys to mess a hole up and their odds to get more attractive before I add them in.

Xander, Wyndam, Fitzpatrick, Scotty, Theegala, Maverick and Hideki are most likely the ones to worry about with really Scotty, Wyndam and Xander being the biggest threats obviously.

Start by rounding out a few guys that are "cheap":

Matsuyama to win (125-1 or $9)

Poston to win (250-1 for $6)

Montgomery to win (400-1 or $5)

Lashley to win (200-1 for $13)

Aberg to win (300-1 or $7)

Final round match-ups (all to win $150):

Nick Taylor (-110) over Noren

Hoge (even) over Sungjae Im

CT Pan (-110) over Dahmen

Matsuyama (even) over Aberg 

Harman (-120) over Theegala

Fitzpatrick (-127) over Ghim

Poston (+104) over Bezuidenhout 

Burns (even) over Si Woo Kim

Harman under 70.5 (+105)

Fitzpatrick under 70.5 (-105)

Scotty over 4.5 birdies (-115)

Harman over 4.5 birdies (-112)

Hole in One on #17 final round (12-1 for $60).......got 73 cracks at it so why not.

The hole in one play is on Bovada (says 9:00 so assume it will go off the board then, well before anyone gets to the island green.)

I'll take an ace today.

Me too.  Tough pin location and yesterday was the better day to do it but why not.

Tailing on your Clark under 70.5 (+105) 

13 match-up or score over/under plays today is a lot.  Really testing the roll I'm on there but riding it while I have superpower vision to predict the future 

BOL! 

Lowry and McCarthy just barely missed an ace at 17.  Tough pin placement for sure.

Sorry, just saw this.  I'd say anything with Harman in it, then expect Poston to play well.  Also the two under 70.5 plays.  Most of these may be off the board by now.

Ryder to win (400-1 for $9)

I saw Lowry and McCarthy inches away!!!

Someone is doing it today!

Xander to win (2.85-1 for $120)

Fricken Scottie and his putter. Damn 

What was Svottie's odds going into today

Theegala to win (100-1 for $17)

Maverick to win (100-1 for $17)

 Clark not able to hit it at straight off the tee/ too much pressure on the rest of his game. 

looks like Scottie again 

Clark to win (35-1 for $40.)

He's running out of holes