Gary Woodland ov Jordan Spieth
Last week we said something was wrong with Spieths putting, and we were right. He couldn’t putt, and then Friday, his tee shots were all over the place. I don’t care that he won here last year, I know what my eyes see, and I see a golfer who is in a funk going up against a rejuvenated Gary Woodland. Woodland has a 7th, 12th, and a win in 2018, and he’s been better than Spieth in both tournaments they’ve played in together. Woodland played in this tournament last year, and finished 5th so he’s comfortable with this tournament…I’m going to keep fading Spieth, and at +160 I love the value.
*You can also take Rahm -120 ov Spieth.
Kevin Streelman ov Bubba Watson
Lost a bet against Bubba last week, but I’m going back to the well. Even though Bubba won his matchup last week, he wasn’t great. Only finished 40th. Bubba hasn’t finished ahead of Streelman in the last 3 tournaments they’ve played in. The other thing is Bubba didn’t play here last year, played 2 years ago and finished 70th, and didn’t play before that in 9 years. The last 2 years here Streelman has played and has finished 14th, and 17th.
Jason Kokrak ov Shane Lowry
Lowry has been terrible coming out of his big break in the off-season finishing with a missed cut at the Farmers, and a 65th place finish at the Waste Management. Kokrak has actually been a little sneaky underrated in 2018 47th at the Sony, 8th at the CareerBuilder, and 31st at the Waste Management. Last week Lowry didn’t have one round better than Kokrak, and was 9 shots worse over 4 rounds. I just think Lowry is not in good form right now, Kokrak decent finishes at this tournament so I’m not worried about that. Funny thing about Shane Lowry. He’s listed on PGATour.com as being 6 ft 1, and 216 pounds.
Brandon Harkins ov Graeme McDowell
McDowell has been terrible recently. In 2018 he has 2 straight missed cuts at the Omega Dubai Desert Classic, and the Abu Dhabi Championship. Not only that he hasn’t played this tournament in 5 years. Meanwhile, Harkins is part of the group of guys coming off the Web.com tour, and they’re having early success. Harkins missed the cut last week by 1 shot, but he’s been good leading up to last week. 25th at the Sony Open, 8th at the Career Builder, and 12th at the Farmers. It also says a lot that the books opened him up as the favorite. They know who the better golfer is in this matchup.
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