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Augusta National GC

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Posted: #1
After the worst week in my sorry azz golf gambling "career"...I look forward to the Masters. My favorite of all the Majors and historically (fingers crossed) I do well this week. 

Not much to research as I'm looking for a vet to do well this week. I do not think a first timer will win. Although we might have a first timer in the mix on Sunday, I don't see him finishing it off. Too many nerves on a Sunday back 9 at Augusta to overcome. 

I like Dustin for sure. Don't let the WD from last week fool you. He's 2nd in distance, 3rd in GIR's, 19th SGP, 5th in scoring average, 1st in the all around and a stat which I think is important this week is Par 4 Performance....which he sits a nice 6th. He has the distance, the touch and a nice high ball flight which is a plus. 

Also like Scott, Rose, Day, Sergio and always a Sunday fixture...Cabrera!!


 
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Posted: #2
Going all out...Top 5's, Low AM, hole in one prop, etc....

 
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Posted: #3
Good Luck AJ!
 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by Sampsonite:

Good Luck AJ!

Thanks man...I certainly need it after last weeks debacle!!

 
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Posted: #5
Tournament matchup leans coming up. Lengthy list, but I have all week to widdle it down. 

Please feel free to comment...injuries, rumors, driving range talk, etc....

the more insight, the better....I need all the help I can get. 
 
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Posted: #6
Tournament Matchup LEANS:

Scott (-120) over McIlroy

Phil (Ev) over McIlroy

Scott (-130) over Phil

Kuchar (-110) over Day

Sergio (-150) over Stenson

Dustin (+110) over Day

Dustin (-140) over Zach

Bubba (-130) over Zach

Sergio (-140) over Zach

Rose (-125) over Keegan

Donald (+120) over Schwartzel

Mahan (Ev) over Keegan

Donald (-115) over Spieth

Donald (-110) over Westwood

Poulter (+105) over Dufner

Cabrera (+105) over McDowell

English (-115) over Walker

Fowler (-115) over Delaet

Matsuyama (-115) over Fowler

Furyk (-120) over Stricker

Haas (-105) over Stricker

Choi (-120) over Donaldson

Els (-120) over Every

Couples (-140) over Henley

Horschel (+115) over P. Hanson

Immelman (-115) over Manassero

Castano (-105) over Gallacher
 
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Posted: #7
Would not be betting against Day at the Masters, i personally think Aussie are a chance of going back to back, he is always in the mix there.

Like Fowler Top 20 as a nice price bet, playing well last week always helps and if can make some putts look out for him sunday, his ball striking has come a long way since the swing changes
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by QMICH:



LEANS I WOULD UNLEAN!  
BL THIS WEEK AJ

Thanks Q...I can certainly make an argument for your "unleans". 

 
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Posted: #9
1st Round Matchups

Fowler (Ev) over McDowell - 2*

Olazabal (+120) over Glover



little something to get started....more to follow! 

 
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Posted: #10
thoughts on 1st round leader coming from the early group?? Course should be soft Thursday morning and someone could take advantage of that....

Stadler, Yang, Boo, Senden, Stallings, Horschel to name a few...
 
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Posted: #11
Liking this one:

Top Scandinavian

Stenson   -225
Olesen    +500
Hanson    +500
Bjorn       +800
Blixt        +900

Liking Thor here....Stenson is trying to find his game. Olesen shot 10 under the last three rounds last year (tournament best)

thoughts??
 
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Posted: #12
Lotsa action on Cabrera . Normally a good play @ Augusta but he hasn't played for a while , delayed required shoulder surgery until next week just so he could play (make an appearance ) . just a tidbit .
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by Toros:

Lotsa action on Cabrera . Normally a good play @ Augusta but he hasn't played for a while , delayed required shoulder surgery until next week just so he could play (make an appearance ) . just a tidbit .

Ya, I heard that too. He's another guy, along with Phil, that knows how to "play" at Augusta. They could both miss 10 cuts before this week and I wouldn't bet against them. 

 
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Posted: #14
https://www.masters.com/en_US/discover/records.html

a lot of great stats here...career scoring averages, eagle/birdie leaders, etc....
 
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Posted: #15
most birdies for the tournament:

25, Phil Mickelson, 2001
24, Jose Maria Olazabal, 1991
24, Tiger Woods, 2005
23, Seve Ballesteros, 1980
23, Jason Day, 2011
23, Tommy Nakajima, 1991
23, Raymond Floyd, 1992
23, David Duval, 2001
23, Tiger Woods, 2001
22, Ben Hogan, 1953
22, Jack Nicklaus, 1965
22, Raymond Floyd, 1976
22, Nick Faldo, 1996
22, Tom Watson, 1997
22, Jim Furyk, 2001
22, Anthony Kim, 2009
22, Lee Westwood, 2010
22, Steve Stricker, 2011
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by Toros:

Lotsa action on Cabrera . Normally a good play @ Augusta but he hasn't played for a while , delayed required shoulder surgery until next week just so he could play (make an appearance ) . just a tidbit .

they changed his grips and or shafts to absorb more shock and he says he feels great in fact he has added more dates to his upcoming schedule
 
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Posted: #17
Good luck AJ..  Hope you have a BIG week! 
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by QMICH:



AJ, MY BOYS DOWN THERE ARE SAYING FIRM & FAST ALREADY.  GONNA BE SUNNY & BREEZY ALL WEEK WILL KEEP IT THAT WAY. 
AND SILLY HORSCHIT IS A DEFINITE NO PLAY!

That's good to know....watching the interviews last night, most were saying it will still be soft Thursday. Was thinking someone from the early groups could take advantage of that....

 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by vegasslim:


they changed his grips and or shafts to absorb more shock and he says he feels great in fact he has added more dates to his upcoming schedule

Good info. Slim...thanks!!  

Seen some movement away from Cabrera...public may be fading him because on injury worries...
 
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Posted: #20
Spent 3 hours watching range and 1hour walking the course not sure I would call it firm saw a lot of shots hit and stop within 5 feet but the place is the same every year greens are pristine
 
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Posted: #21
The way the course is looking faders of the ball are going to have their work cut out for them and you have to spin it with almost every shot into the greens regardless anyway
 
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Posted: #22
Top Debutant (1 unit)

English +700

Walker +700



(Spieth, Reed, English, Walker, Delaet, Dubuisson, Horschel, Kirk, Jones, Every, De Jonge, Stadler)
 
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Posted: #23

I think if being fast will play into experience and age. Guys like Cabrerra, even if hurt, it shortens the corse for him, couples, mickelson who has experience...

I can see bombers hitting it too far with a roll, or spin into the water not taking course into account. Early Thursday guys will get knocked out early...

I am going to add some of the more experinced guys, just to cover... I think the two guys I would really like to see win it are ELS or couples...

 
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Posted: #24
Long putters: A player using a long putter has won four of the last nine major championships, the last coming by Adam Scott at last year’s Masters. Adam Scott, Keegan Bradley, Tim Clark, Webb Simpson, Fred Couples, Kevin Stadler and Vijay Singh are among those who have used a long putter in recent tournament play.

Since 1985, only one eventual winner (Trevor Immelman, 2008) did not break par in the first round.

Defending champion Adam Scott is the only golfer to finish in the top 10 of the last three Masters.

Harris English has shot 28 rounds in the 60s this season, the most in the field.

Ernie Els, Jimmy Walker and Victor Dubuisson are the only three golfers in the field who have hit less than 50 percent of fairways this season.



 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by Bluefin:

Spent 3 hours watching range and 1hour walking the course not sure I would call it firm saw a lot of shots hit and stop within 5 feet but the place is the same every year greens are pristine

I still think it will be soft tomorrow for the early groups...
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