I'm banking on the hangover effect, not so sure if he plays mediocre the whole tourny but I really like a bet on Fuyrk over Blixt in round 1.. One of those weeks I feel Fuyrk brings his A game for and Blixt might feel more confortable just shooting a safe round to start which may lead to more errors if he bogies an early hole.
I liked fading Day too , but he's the one guy this week I don't wana fuck with..insane final round last week makes me think he found what he was missing all year
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I'm banking on the hangover effect, not so sure if he plays mediocre the whole tourny but I really like a bet on Fuyrk over Blixt in round 1.. One of those weeks I feel Fuyrk brings his A game for and Blixt might feel more confortable just shooting a safe round to start which may lead to more errors if he bogies an early hole.
I liked fading Day too , but he's the one guy this week I don't wana fuck with..insane final round last week makes me think he found what he was missing all year
I don't have lines yet, but I'm looking at pinny and think the matches suck, I only found 2 that I like, and a third I'm on the fence on. Will be interesting to see what you guys think
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I don't have lines yet, but I'm looking at pinny and think the matches suck, I only found 2 that I like, and a third I'm on the fence on. Will be interesting to see what you guys think
my book is late putting up lines as well, hmmm. which 2 are you lookin at and why?
any changes in correlations? I did well the last 2 days using top 20 and bottom 20 scoring avg for that particular round mixed with GIR PAR4 performance and SGP and scrambling.
I weighted the round scoring average about 10%, par4, gir and sgp close to 25% and scrambling close to 10%. It is far from exact but when I found mismatches on 2/4 or 3/4 I went with it.
Davis led in all 4 stats over Stroud, Duke led in 3/4. summerhays led considerably in 4/4 over O'hern yet lost the uber close 1 shotter. same with curtis who had one of the best matchups of the day key stat wise. 1 shot loss.
english over chappel was 4/4 by a wide margin, hence the LARGE bet. and we all know how that 3 shot lead ended up.
Lunde over Cabrera was another 3/4 stat wise with a 1.5 shot 2nd round average advantage to boot. that was nice win.
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my book is late putting up lines as well, hmmm. which 2 are you lookin at and why?
any changes in correlations? I did well the last 2 days using top 20 and bottom 20 scoring avg for that particular round mixed with GIR PAR4 performance and SGP and scrambling.
I weighted the round scoring average about 10%, par4, gir and sgp close to 25% and scrambling close to 10%. It is far from exact but when I found mismatches on 2/4 or 3/4 I went with it.
Davis led in all 4 stats over Stroud, Duke led in 3/4. summerhays led considerably in 4/4 over O'hern yet lost the uber close 1 shotter. same with curtis who had one of the best matchups of the day key stat wise. 1 shot loss.
english over chappel was 4/4 by a wide margin, hence the LARGE bet. and we all know how that 3 shot lead ended up.
Lunde over Cabrera was another 3/4 stat wise with a 1.5 shot 2nd round average advantage to boot. that was nice win.
I believe that the key to winning consistently is identifying 4 or 5 key stats each week and just do head to head comparisons.
I would leave 30-40% for course and current form/motivation.
I few weeks back I proposed we have a weekly thread on key stats but it never materialized. I love it when you post your numbers because that gives me a great place to start after I do course+current form(only 5-6 weeks back for current form)
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I believe that the key to winning consistently is identifying 4 or 5 key stats each week and just do head to head comparisons.
I would leave 30-40% for course and current form/motivation.
I few weeks back I proposed we have a weekly thread on key stats but it never materialized. I love it when you post your numbers because that gives me a great place to start after I do course+current form(only 5-6 weeks back for current form)
So I just called my book and they said the reason the lines were not up
yet is because the lines were "unstable". I think what he meant to say
was oops we forgot.
went ahead and bet Furyk on the no study, -145 for 500. hope to see what u were looking at blairaj....
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So I just called my book and they said the reason the lines were not up
yet is because the lines were "unstable". I think what he meant to say
was oops we forgot.
went ahead and bet Furyk on the no study, -145 for 500. hope to see what u were looking at blairaj....
Duke is one of Mine, too. I like Trahan as a dog, I see you took Gay, but I also see it's your smallest play. The one I was on the fence was to take stenson (he's 5-0 h2h in rd3 over the last year), but I also see that's one of your small ones too.
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Duke is one of Mine, too. I like Trahan as a dog, I see you took Gay, but I also see it's your smallest play. The one I was on the fence was to take stenson (he's 5-0 h2h in rd3 over the last year), but I also see that's one of your small ones too.
Killin it bogie hell yea congrats. Want to bet furyk over Davis but I'm having second thoughts, for some reason I think love just has the knack to not give a shit and shoot as low as he can go..gona tail you onthe Cauley vs Toms bet and take the up and comer.. Time for me to go surf some barrels!
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Killin it bogie hell yea congrats. Want to bet furyk over Davis but I'm having second thoughts, for some reason I think love just has the knack to not give a shit and shoot as low as he can go..gona tail you onthe Cauley vs Toms bet and take the up and comer.. Time for me to go surf some barrels!
blairaj, the smaller plays are guys that have a better record this year on the few stats we have been talking about, but only a small lead. the larger plays are guys who clearly outperform in the key 3-4 stats.
surf some barrels? I must say I have never heard that term but after google I way say it is what I thought.
GL on your plays guys.
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blairaj, the smaller plays are guys that have a better record this year on the few stats we have been talking about, but only a small lead. the larger plays are guys who clearly outperform in the key 3-4 stats.
surf some barrels? I must say I have never heard that term but after google I way say it is what I thought.
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same with curtis who had one of the best matchups of the day key stat wise. 1 shot loss.
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