Jamie Lovemark ov Zach Johnson
Classic case of who do you like more…the golfer with better recent form, or the golfer with better course history…I’ll take the golfer with better recent form, and that’s Jamie Lovemark. The last three tournaments they’ve played in together, Zach hasn’t beat Lovemark in any of them head to head. Zach has one top 25 finish in his last 11 tournaments, and 3 missed cuts in that span. Lovemark 4 top 25 finishes in his last 11 tournaments. Zach has really good course history here. 5 top 3 finishes in a row from 2011-2015, but last year he finished 34th, and so did Lovemark. So I went back and looked at Zachs form coming into the tournaments. In 2015, he was coming off of several top 5 finishes into this tournament. 2014, only two missed cuts the entire year before this tournament, 2013 he was playing good as well. 2017 Zach isn’t the Zach of old, his game is fading, Lovemark’s is on the upswing…I’ll take Lovemark at +120 in this matchup as the big underdog.
Charles Howell ov Ryan Moore
Ryan Moore the last 4 tournaments he’s played in, The Players, Byron Nelson, Dean & Deluca, and The Memorial is a total of +26. He was playing really good before that, but he’s been terrible recently. He won here last year, but he was coming off of made cuts in the US Open, The British, and a 17th at the PGA Championship, so he was playing good. Howell has no missed cuts this year, has looked solid since he came back, and I’m expecting him to be near the top of the leaderboard in a weak field.
Ben Martin ov Bubba Watson
Betting against Bubba has been a cash cow this season, and I see no reason to get away from it this week. I go over these stats with Bubba every week, but since I’m betting real money against him I’ll go over them again. Bubba actually made the cut last week, and still finished 70th. He has 2 PGA tourneys in 2017 that he’s finished under par, only one since January. Ben Martin has been playing really solid lately, 7 straight made cuts, last week he finished ahead of Bubba by 7 shots. Bubba hasn’t played here in 7 years, and when he did he missed the cut.
Michael Kim ov Maverick McNealy
Michael Kim is a professional golfer. He finished 29th last week, and 35th the week before. He has one missed cut in the last 8 tournaments. Maverick McNealy just graduated from college. Two months ago he was beating other college guys. He somehow got exemptions to the US and British Opens by winning the McCormack Medal. In the US Open, he missed the cut, Michael Kim made the cut here last year, so I’ll take the professional golfer over the college golfer this week.