Hideki Matsuyama ov Henrik Stenson
Matsuyama is coming back off the wrist injury, but he’s got two tournaments under his belt, plus an extra week of rest, so I think he should be ready for this week. Last three years here he’s finished 11, 5th, and 7th. Henrik Stenson, for whatever reason, is not good at The Masters. He’s played here the last 12 years, No top 10 finishes, and only 1 top 15. Last year he missed the cut. I can’t explain it, but he just isn’t good here, the course doesn’t set up well for him, I’m not sure. But I’m happy to bet against Stenson this week.
Paul Casey ov Jon Rahm
I think Jon Rahm is one of the most talented and fun golfers on tour…I don’t think he’s mature enough to compete and win a major yet. He gets upset, and lets his emotions effect his next shot and you can’t do that at Augusta. Rahm hasn’t been great recently since his win at the CareerBuilder, in fact he has no top 10 finishes since then, and he got smoked at the match play. We’ve gone over at nauseum about how match play isn’t tourney play, but to get steam rolled like that in your last tourney isn’t great. He also was playing good here last year, but folded and ended up 27th. Paul Casey, meanwhile, just steady and steady. Actually won a tournament this year, and has 5 finishes inside the top 17 in 6 tournaments so far, and my favorite part about this bet is Casey’s course history. The last 3 tournaments here he’s finished 4th, 6th, and 4th.
Adam Hadwin ov Gary Woodland
Gary Woodlands best finish since he won the Waste Management in March has been…49th. He’s been bad. He missed the cut last year with his family issues going on, meanwhile Hadwin has been sneaky sneaky good recently. Here are his last 4 finishes in 2018. 17th, 12th, 6th, 6th, and he hasn’t missed the cut since the Northern Trust in August of 2017. Hadwin finished 36th last year at the Masters, I think Hadwin is pretty underrated coming into this tournament.
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