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Match PLay And maybe some Meskin match ups

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Posted: #1
This is one event where too much confidence can hurt and you have to have killer instinct to put your foot on someones throat when u got them down. Look ahead and u lose.
To win 
Fowler +3500
Stricker +2400
Woods +1500

Stenson +170 over Westwood 1U Too much value here to pass up
KJ Ev over Goosen 1U
Moore +110 over MOlinari  1u  Take the guy who played well last week with +money
Fowler -135 over Hanson 2u Gritty kid usually has good match play record.
Oosthuizen -130 over Van Pelt 2U   BVP struggling right now but has the length to light it up here. May back this down. We will see.
Yang +160 over Quiros 1U Got a weird feeling about this one. 
Zach +110 over Rose  1U Rose playing better but Zach has that mental toughness I talked about above. Rose may look past. Plus its a real fishy line.
Scott -120 over Crane 2U  
Furyk -140 over Palmer 3U My big plays have been fade material but I love Furyk to really make head way hear. Heard that he "found something" on Sunday
Overton Ev over Els 1U   Another fishy line and I will go with the more compassionate player here.
 

Still looking over some plays   Kinda wanna lay the big number with Kaymer!!


 
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Posted: #2
Love the Moore and Stenson play..


 
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by QMICH:

WOW NW, YOU & I ARE NOT SEEING EYE TO EYE HEADING INTO THE MATCH PLAY!  I LIKE THE EUROS TO REALLY KICK SOME ASS THIS WEEK.  LIKE MOORE & FURYK 1ST ROUND 
I know thats ok. Playing some value here. I think Scott will be undervalued here as well as Furyk. 
 
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Posted: #4

.10 plays is too many bro..I like to see you come out firing but 10 plays is indeed a tough cover.

Who is the "more compassionate player" 

I like the Oothuizen and Moore plays for the value.But in general the books will get healthy with these lines I see almost no value in the offered lines as much as I hate to I may sit this out and let them have other peoples money this week. I am  still shopping but not finding much but scary high numbers.

 

Where are you Messikin plays?

 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by Bluefin:

.10 plays is too many bro..I like to see you come out firing but 10 plays is indeed a tough cover.

Who is the "more compassionate player" 

I like the Oothuizen and Moore plays for the value.But in general the books will get healthy with these lines I see almost no value in the offered lines as much as I hate to I may sit this out and let them have other peoples money this week. I am  still shopping but not finding much but scary high numbers.

 

Where are you Messikin plays?

Meskin match ups not out at my book. 

I agree with your analysis and thats why pretty small plays. I probbably should put it all on Casey and laid the big number.

You dont think there is a difference in lets say a Nicklaus and a Watson. I would say about the same in ability. Nicklaus will go down as the greatest player ever but Watson as a good player simply do to compassion and killer instinct. Tiger used to have that, thats why he has done so well in the past here. I dont think Westwood has it. Phil doesnt have it. I think the the guy who you will see this out of in the future, maybe not here, is McIlroy. ZJ does more with what he has than anyone out there.
 
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Posted: #6
Holmes and Villegas now has to be a -115 line???  Love Holmes. Surely cant bring him and make him a fave can they?
 
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Posted: #7
5 dimes up to -135 now! they don't want to just win your money, they want to STEAL it! Hating the books today bigtime!
 
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Posted: #8
The Meskin (PLease keep the Cartel away) Express Plays

Kelly -130 over Jacobsen 2U
Stadler +110 over Boo 1.5U
RS Johnson -130 over Romero 1U
Campbell -125 over Miller 2.5U (Taking a notable ball striker over a rook)
Durant -115 over Pernice 3U

.5U 

Levin +2100
Henry +1500
Stadler +4000


Added 4u on Holmes -135 over Villegas

 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by NoWorries21:

This is one event where too much confidence can hurt and you have to have killer instinct to put your foot on someones throat when u got them down. Look ahead and u lose.
To win 
Fowler +3500
Stricker +2400
Woods +1500

Stenson +170 over Westwood 1U Too much value here to pass up
KJ Ev over Goosen 1U
Moore +110 over MOlinari  1u  Take the guy who played well last week with +money
Fowler -135 over Hanson 2u Gritty kid usually has good match play record.
Oosthuizen -130 over Van Pelt 2U   BVP struggling right now but has the length to light it up here. May back this down. We will see.
Yang +160 over Quiros 1U Got a weird feeling about this one. 
Zach +110 over Rose  1U Rose playing better but Zach has that mental toughness I talked about above. Rose may look past. Plus its a real fishy line.
Scott -120 over Crane 2U  
Furyk -140 over Palmer 3U My big plays have been fade material but I love Furyk to really make head way hear. Heard that he "found something" on Sunday
Overton Ev over Els 1U   Another fishy line and I will go with the more compassionate player here.
 

Still looking over some plays   Kinda wanna lay the big number with Kaymer!!




Nice, I like Fowler too. Haven't given up on him yet. I am a bit worried about the euro's match play abilities, but i like Fowlers chances. He plays well in match play and has a good rep of tearing up zona courses. My line has him at 40-1.  GL

 
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Posted: #10
I got Fowler at 50 to 1, definitely worth a few pennies.

GL on your picks.
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by NoWorries21:

Meskin match ups not out at my book. 

I agree with your analysis and thats why pretty small plays. I probbably should put it all on Casey and laid the big number.

You dont think there is a difference in lets say a Nicklaus and a Watson. I would say about the same in ability. Nicklaus will go down as the greatest player ever but Watson as a good player simply do to compassion and killer instinct. Tiger used to have that, thats why he has done so well in the past here. I dont think Westwood has it. Phil doesnt have it. I think the the guy who you will see this out of in the future, maybe not here, is McIlroy. ZJ does more with what he has than anyone out there.

Agreed

 
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Posted: #12

Aren't you the same guy who bet on no touch downs in the pro bowl?

 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by DanielPlainview:

Aren't you the same guy who bet on no touch downs in the pro bowl?


Did you read the whole thread? It was pretty funny.  I am sure that has a lot to do with my golf capping ability.
 
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Posted: #14

Just kidding.

Good luck today, I like most of your plays.

 
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Posted: #15
Added MAhan over OHAir -150 for 2U  2 guys going different directions.
 
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Posted: #16
 2 winners with Holmes and Yang as +160 dog
 
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Posted: #17
Leans for tomo.

Molinari +???? over Donald
Schwartzel -130??? over Manassero
Moore +??? over Choi
Mahan -130??? over Karlson
McIlroy -140???? over Crane
Palmer +??? over Jimenez if the price is right
Holmes -110??? over Els
Casey -140??? over Day
Bubba -110??? over Wilson
Cink -140???? over Yang
Fisher +??? over McDowell


Obviously gonna pick and choose but just thought I would get some thoughts out there.

 
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Posted: #18
Add Rose over Kaymer to my lean list
 
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Posted: #19

fowler mickelson gonna be a good one

 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by morley_0989:

fowler mickelson gonna be a good one

No doubt. Unless there is an abundance of value in Fowler I will be watching rooting for Fowler.
 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by morley_0989:

fowler mickelson gonna be a good one

I hope Micks # is less than 150, so i can hit it hard
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by NoWorries21:

No doubt. Unless there is an abundance of value in Fowler I will be watching rooting for Fowler.

ya got a future on fowler hopefully he pulls off an upset

 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by dogfacedboy:

I hope Micks # is less than 150, so i can hit it hard

i think he will be more then -150

 
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Posted: #24
seeing mickelson-140
 
 
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Posted: #25
Round of 32

Watney -110 over Westwood 1.5U
Kuchar -140 over Van Pelt 2U
Rose +130 over Kaymer 2U
Molinari +135 over Donald 1U
Holmes -120 over Els 3U
Fisher +120 over McDowell   1U
Mahan -125 over Karlson   4U (May add)
Cink -140 over Yang 2U

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