Rough go at The Players, gave a bit back. On to another tough venue at The Honda.
Keegan Bradley (-101) over Rickie Fowler
- The Fowler fade train continues. Another MC last week and despite a solid track record here, not too concerned once again until he shows some semblance of a game. Keegan playing well with 4 straight made cuts and 10th-29th L2. Mixed bag at PGA National, some good results early in his career, but a current form play here.
Lucas Glover (-105) over Henrik Norlander
- Norlander has cooled off after a strong start to 2021, going MC-71-MC in his last 3 starts. His first start at the Honda last year resulted in a 75-81. Glover pretty steady, made 5 of last 6 cuts and has two top 5's at PGA National.
Chase Seiffert (-136) over Henrik Stenson
- About as much chalk as I am willing to lay, but think it is worth it here. Stenson is pretty lost right now after going +15 in 2 rounds at Sawgrass and missing the cut at Bay Hill prior to that. Seiffert not exactly a world beater, but comes in off a 15th at Puerto Rico and finished 12th at the American Express earlier this year. More a pure fade on Stenson.
More to come.
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Rough go at The Players, gave a bit back. On to another tough venue at The Honda.
Keegan Bradley (-101) over Rickie Fowler
- The Fowler fade train continues. Another MC last week and despite a solid track record here, not too concerned once again until he shows some semblance of a game. Keegan playing well with 4 straight made cuts and 10th-29th L2. Mixed bag at PGA National, some good results early in his career, but a current form play here.
Lucas Glover (-105) over Henrik Norlander
- Norlander has cooled off after a strong start to 2021, going MC-71-MC in his last 3 starts. His first start at the Honda last year resulted in a 75-81. Glover pretty steady, made 5 of last 6 cuts and has two top 5's at PGA National.
Chase Seiffert (-136) over Henrik Stenson
- About as much chalk as I am willing to lay, but think it is worth it here. Stenson is pretty lost right now after going +15 in 2 rounds at Sawgrass and missing the cut at Bay Hill prior to that. Seiffert not exactly a world beater, but comes in off a 15th at Puerto Rico and finished 12th at the American Express earlier this year. More a pure fade on Stenson.
- Outside of a Saturday 67 at the Players, Long hasn't done much of anything in the new year - with 4 MC's and a 69th before finishing 22nd at Sawgrass. Outside of an opening round 76 at Bay Hill, Jones has been very consistent in 2021, having made the cut in 11 of his last 12 starts. I'll take my chances on the short price here.
Jhonattan Vegas (-115) over James Hahn
- Vegas has 8 starts here and only 1 missed cut, whereas Hahn went MC-MC in 2013 and 2014 and hasn't teed it up at PGA National since. Guessing it isn't his favorite track in the world. The AM-PM draw favors Vegas as the wind is supposed to pick up Thursday afternoon and chance of thunderstorms Friday morning. PM-AM draw for Hahn.
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Matt Jones (-122) over Adam Long
- Outside of a Saturday 67 at the Players, Long hasn't done much of anything in the new year - with 4 MC's and a 69th before finishing 22nd at Sawgrass. Outside of an opening round 76 at Bay Hill, Jones has been very consistent in 2021, having made the cut in 11 of his last 12 starts. I'll take my chances on the short price here.
Jhonattan Vegas (-115) over James Hahn
- Vegas has 8 starts here and only 1 missed cut, whereas Hahn went MC-MC in 2013 and 2014 and hasn't teed it up at PGA National since. Guessing it isn't his favorite track in the world. The AM-PM draw favors Vegas as the wind is supposed to pick up Thursday afternoon and chance of thunderstorms Friday morning. PM-AM draw for Hahn.
Panther like the plays. and thanks for the good writeups
I too have been riding the anti Fowler train and the anti Stenson train. Seems it’s a lot easier to play consistently lousy then it is to play consistently good. books have caught up to Stenson matching him up against Seiffert but they are still giving us decent matchups with Fowler and Bradley seems to always play well on the Florida swing.
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Panther like the plays. and thanks for the good writeups
I too have been riding the anti Fowler train and the anti Stenson train. Seems it’s a lot easier to play consistently lousy then it is to play consistently good. books have caught up to Stenson matching him up against Seiffert but they are still giving us decent matchups with Fowler and Bradley seems to always play well on the Florida swing.
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