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Round 3 plays...post YOURS here....

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Posted: #1
Mine aren't available yet...
...but I'm lookin' to Fade Freddy.
Hope they juice won't be too steep.

jw11
 
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Posted: #2
McGirt opens +105 against Freddy on my book
 
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Posted: #3
My 3/R play

McGIRT +100 vs Freddy

I don't have all the stats to look at , but if my memory serves, Freddy lights up the board the first round or two in GA, then smolders.
Hey, he's old.
But gives it the ol' college try.

jw11

 
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Posted: #4
"McDirt" -105 best I have seen so far. gotta hand it to "Bamm-Bamm" though. hell of a tourney so far for a 57 year old "geezer"

LOT of "Spieth buzz" after his back side Friday. he is -110 vs Rory for Saturday and I saw an adjusted odds 8-1 "to win" on him. he has shot "bombers" at Augusta before
 
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Posted: #5
was very ,uh, shocked ... to see Freddy as a favorite
 
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Posted: #6
I've heard the Speith buzz too, but I can't bet on a guy that can implode on a single hole, as he has done two years in a row.
He has some crazy sh*t runnin' through his brainwaves at times.
 
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Posted: #7
Round 3
play#2

HAAS -130 vs Westwood

Haas a nice n steady 72 on Friday, while Westy imploded on the back 9 and shot 77.

Haas may go lower Saurday, then lower Sunday.
Loike his chances to sneak into the Top 10...but Lee, not so much.

jw11


 
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Posted: #8
Not sure there's a harder sport to handicap. Had Rory and Bubba today, laid two eggs. Yesterday barely won with Rory and lost with Speith. 1-3 and feeling lucky to be there.


I took Phil for the tourney against Thomas and that's the only thing looking bright. I'll skim around here and listen to ideas though because I'm a sicko.
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by jrgumpert:

Not sure there's a harder sport to handicap. Had Rory and Bubba today, laid two eggs. Yesterday barely won with Rory and lost with Speith. 1-3 and feeling lucky to be there.


I took Phil for the tourney against Thomas and that's the only thing looking bright. I'll skim around here and listen to ideas though because I'm a sicko.


NEED you selections for SATURDAY
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:



NEED you selections for SATURDAY





 
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Posted: #11
These have been my picks day 1 and 2:

[7111] PAUL CASEY (1ST RND) -170 
[7113] RICKIE FOWLER (1ST RND) -130 
[7119] PHIL MICKELSON (1ST RND) -150 
[7122] JUSTIN ROSE (1ST RND) -130 
[7141] SERGIO GARCIA (1ST RND) -160 
[7144] ALEXANDER NOREN (1ST RND) -110 
[7146] JON RAHM (1ST RND) +130 

[7217] C HOFFMAN (2ND RND) -160 
[7207] J DUFNER (2ND RND) -140 
[7224] J RAHM (2ND RND) +130 
[7241] R FOWLER (2ND RND) -140 
[7247] P MICKELSON (2ND RND) -170 


Round 3: 
[7335] R FOWLER (3RD RND) -120 
(R FOWLER (3RD RND) vrs J RAHM (3RD RND))
[7302] B SNEDEKER (3RD RND) -140 
(M FITZPATRICK (3RD RND) vrs B SNEDEKER (3RD RND))
[7339] S GARCIA (3RD RND) -150 
(S GARCIA (3RD RND) vrs T PIETERS (3RD RND))


Also got these for the tournament
[7014] RICKIE FOWLER -130 
(JASON DAY vrs RICKIE FOWLER)
[7025] PHIL MICKELSON -120 
(PHIL MICKELSON vrs HENRIK STENSON)
 
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Posted: #12
3-0

3rd round twosome.......bovada

Moore(-130) over McGirt

BOL
 
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Posted: #13
I like Grillo -110 over Kisner. Will probably tail you guys with McGirt. I have Rahm for the tournament win +900. BOL on moving day at The Masters.
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by Inyourlife16:

3-0

3rd round twosome.......bovada

Moore(-130) over McGirt

BOL

adding a 3rd round match. Taking Couples(-105) over McGirt. This will be the debutante's first moving day. The experience advantage for Freddy could be worth a stroke or two and McGirt is not a bomber. I feel that if you are going to fade Couples its best to do it on Sunday when his body will be tired. BOL
 
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Posted: #15
Did you really just put McGirt off the tee in the same ballpark as Couples? I have never really posted on the golf forum but McGirt is having a bad season in which he is normally a top 90 in DD and Couples is a senior, I trust couples much more with the irons but off the tee I would take McGirt 10/10 and I don't even know if I'll play this matchup
 
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Posted: #16
0-1-1 yesterday
Henley -135 over Steele
Leishman -130 over Walker

 
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Posted: #17
Louie ov Weisberger -120
Stricker ov Perez EV
Casey ov Koepka -125 - 3 units
Leishman ov Walker -125
 
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Posted: #18
Louie -130 v Weisberger
Louie has good history here and shot a nice -2 yesterday. His experience should help too
 
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Posted: #19
Correction Louis was -1 yesterday (didn't realize he bogeyed 18) 
I like Louie today
 
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Posted: #20
Phil for the win +2100     
 
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Posted: #21
sneds over chitpatrick -126

spieth over phil -175
 
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Posted: #22
The longest driving avg Thur was 287, yesterday was 312.  With clear weather and no wind today, maybe 330?  Thur/Fri a lot of 3 woods off the tee box to prevent trouble.

Eagles on par 5s and a LOT more birdies coming up.  The 270 bangers who are straight and steady and make their pars who have been hanging around the top with -1/E/+1/+2 gonna fade quickly.

Some ideas:

Leishman 36 holes  -  2 birdies
Moore 36 holes - 4 birdies
Hadwin - 4
Thomas - 4
Berger - 4
Day - 4
Kjeldsen - 5

Players who may have adjusted their putting

Wiesberger -  0 birdies Thur / 5  Fri
Matsuyama - 1 Thur / 5 Fri
Rahm - 2 Thur / 4 Fri
Schwartzel - 2 Thur / 5 Fri
Garcia - 1 Thur / 6 Fri
Couples - 2 Thur / 6 Fri
Spieth - 3 Thu / 5 Fri
Scott - 3 Thu / 7 Fri

Top Birdie Leaders Thru 36

Hoffman  11
Scott 10
Holmes 10
Pieters 9
Westwood 9
Rose 9

Players with 8 birdies

Speith
Mickelson
Dufner
Fowler
Couples

Players struggling with Putts/GIR

Justin Thomas
Hahn
Paul Casey  (5 - 3 putts)
Pampling
Holmes (inconsistent high birdies bad putting 4 - 3 putts)
Snedeker

Players putting well

McGirt (not many birdies but no 3 putts)
Fowler
Walker
Pieters
Oosthuizen
Hoffman (inconsistent)
Day
Mickelson
Garcia (0 3 putts, one of only a few to achieve this)

Its more complicated than this of course but maybe a foundation to start from.  Good luck.























 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by JBone_Texas:

The longest driving avg Thur was 287, yesterday was 312.  With clear weather and no wind today, maybe 330?  Thur/Fri a lot of 3 woods off the tee box to prevent trouble.

Eagles on par 5s and a LOT more birdies coming up.  The 270 bangers who are straight and steady and make their pars who have been hanging around the top with -1/E/+1/+2 gonna fade quickly.

Some ideas:

Leishman 36 holes  -  2 birdies
Moore 36 holes - 4 birdies
Hadwin - 4
Thomas - 4
Berger - 4
Day - 4
Kjeldsen - 5

Players who may have adjusted their putting

Wiesberger -  0 birdies Thur / 5  Fri
Matsuyama - 1 Thur / 5 Fri
Rahm - 2 Thur / 4 Fri
Schwartzel - 2 Thur / 5 Fri
Garcia - 1 Thur / 6 Fri
Couples - 2 Thur / 6 Fri
Spieth - 3 Thu / 5 Fri
Scott - 3 Thu / 7 Fri

Top Birdie Leaders Thru 36

Hoffman  11
Scott 10
Holmes 10
Pieters 9
Westwood 9
Rose 9

Players with 8 birdies

Speith
Mickelson
Dufner
Fowler
Couples

Players struggling with Putts/GIR

Justin Thomas
Hahn
Paul Casey  (5 - 3 putts)
Pampling
Holmes (inconsistent high birdies bad putting 4 - 3 putts)
Snedeker

Players putting well

McGirt (not many birdies but no 3 putts)
Fowler
Walker
Pieters
Oosthuizen
Hoffman (inconsistent)
Day
Mickelson
Garcia (0 3 putts, one of only a few to achieve this)

Its more complicated than this of course but maybe a foundation to start from.  Good luck.
























GREAT INFO TY

I WILL ADD THOMAS DOESNT PUTT WELL ON FAST GREENS but I DONT LIKE THE MATCHUP WITH HADWIN SO WILL PASS
 
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Posted: #24
Yeah, I'm having trouble finding mis-matches with the matchups that my book is giving me.

Taking a shot with Walker +1/2 -125 over Leishman and Schwartzel -120 over Kjeldsen so far.
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by JBone_Texas:

The longest driving avg Thur was 287, yesterday was 312.  With clear weather and no wind today, maybe 330?  Thur/Fri a lot of 3 woods off the tee box to prevent trouble.

Eagles on par 5s and a LOT more birdies coming up.  The 270 bangers who are straight and steady and make their pars who have been hanging around the top with -1/E/+1/+2 gonna fade quickly.

Some ideas:

Leishman 36 holes  -  2 birdies
Moore 36 holes - 4 birdies
Hadwin - 4
Thomas - 4
Berger - 4
Day - 4
Kjeldsen - 5

Players who may have adjusted their putting

Wiesberger -  0 birdies Thur / 5  Fri
Matsuyama - 1 Thur / 5 Fri
Rahm - 2 Thur / 4 Fri
Schwartzel - 2 Thur / 5 Fri
Garcia - 1 Thur / 6 Fri
Couples - 2 Thur / 6 Fri
Spieth - 3 Thu / 5 Fri
Scott - 3 Thu / 7 Fri

Top Birdie Leaders Thru 36

Hoffman  11
Scott 10
Holmes 10
Pieters 9
Westwood 9
Rose 9

Players with 8 birdies

Speith
Mickelson
Dufner
Fowler
Couples

Players struggling with Putts/GIR

Justin Thomas
Hahn
Paul Casey  (5 - 3 putts)
Pampling
Holmes (inconsistent high birdies bad putting 4 - 3 putts)
Snedeker

Players putting well

McGirt (not many birdies but no 3 putts)
Fowler
Walker
Pieters
Oosthuizen
Hoffman (inconsistent)
Day
Mickelson
Garcia (0 3 putts, one of only a few to achieve this)

Its more complicated than this of course but maybe a foundation to start from.  Good luck.























Good info. Thanks for the post. 
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