3BallBomber

MIA +5.5

MIA SU

It’s that time again for Miami who do their best work this time of yr. Spo, the strategist, providing masterclass in elite level adjustments. PO Jimmy activated. An offensively improved Bam & Herro hungry to redeem himself after early injury last yrs PO’s. Don’t let the seeding fool you again like last yr. 

MIA +5.5

MIA SU

It’s that time again for Miami who do their best work this time of yr. Spo, the strategist, providing masterclass in elite level adjustments. PO Jimmy activated. An offensively improved Bam & Herro hungry to redeem himself after early injury last yrs PO’s. Don’t let the seeding fool you again like last yr. 

@bobmaloogatimesfive

 Thanks bro. Pray for me 

GM5:

MIA ML ALL IN

MIA +9.5 ALL IN

MIA +13.5 ALL IN

MIA 2H ALL IN

JIMMY BUTLER OVER 26.5 ALL IN

MIAMI HEAT 2H

Adding:

JIMMY BUTLER OVER 26.5

Gm4

Plays:

MIA +3.5

MIA +2.5

MIA ML

Yes, they've been making things less obvious for about 5+ yrs now. There was a point where you cld follow the stats blindly & it was money. I made big runs during that time. Bit more tricky now but can still read things here & there if you follow what you think is there agenda. Hopefully we get on the right side of them tonight.

Foster: Home 8 - Road 6

Williams: Home 6 - Road 4

Kennedy: Home 7 - Road 4

= Home 21 - Road 14

Foster: MIA 2-1 - DEN 2-0

Williams: MIA 3-1 - DEN 1-1

Kennedy: MIA 1-1 - DEN 2-1

= MIA 6-3 - DEN 5-2

Foster/Kennedy ref'd gm3 LAL/DEN. DEN won on ROAD. That put DEN up 3-0.

If going by face value w/ the stats it's MIA @HOME. But we all are aware by now, these PO's especially, things are not easy & obvious as blindly following ref stats. We'd have a losing record if so. The public is also aware of the whole Foster Extender stuff. So do we fade the refs here?

We also have an understanding of league ratings & revenue. If Miami lose here they risk this ending in gm5 @Denver for a very anti-climatic finish. NBA love to fabricate drama. The shock & surprise element - when you think one team is down & out they rise form the ashes & win. Much like after gm1 everybody had Miami out, some took out their brooms only for Miami to have a better outing in gm2. What better theatrics for ratings than to have Denver losing gm4 & Have Miami even the series heading back to Denver w/ a tied series.

Plays coming momentarily.

Yeah mate, i don't waste energy on twits who post when you lose but nowhere in sight during streaks & runs.

Well was right w/ Brothers blowout, just on the wrong side. I mentioned, apart from just 2 series, teams that have won under Brothers takes the series. Denver eventually win? 

Heat were rolling early w/ Strus in redemption mode raining 3s on Denver. 2Q was when Brothers & his merry men put in the work - when Gabe Vincent was given 2 quick fouls almost within seconds of one another. 3 fouls total for Gabe in the 2Q. Gabe is an integral player for Heat was forced to sit longer than Spo wanted. 2h Heat had no shot w/ calls not going there way until it was garbage time.

Vry confident w/ the play. Unfortunately the league had other plans.

I smell The Extender looming. . .

Not over yet

Miami Heat 32-8 when they win gm3

Miami's gm3 a total contrast. They've been all blowout wins.

Vs Bucks: 121-99 .... 22pts

Vs NY: 105-86 .... 19pts

Vs BOS: 128-102 .... 26pts

= Ave 22.3pts

Add Brothers and it's looking to be a Heat Blowout win.

careful tonight mate

Brothers: Home 5 - Road 6

Tiven: Home 6 - Road 4

Scott: Home 4 - Road 2

= Home 15 - Road 12

Brothers: MIA 3-0 - DEN 1-1

Tiven: MIA 1-1 - DEN 2-1

Scott: MIA 2-0 - DEN -

= MIA 6-1 - DEN 3-2

Brothers & Scott ref'd gm6 of MEM/LA series. LA won @ HOME by massive 40pt blowout to close the series 4-2

Brothers & Scott ref'd gm3 of MIA/BOS series. MIA won @ HOME by 26pt blowout to put Miami up 3-0

This is what i wrote about Brothers & crew in gm3 Bos/Mia series:

"From what i see they're sent opposite to Foster extending series - These refs help end series for the team that's up. Home/Road stats aren't substantial perhaps because it's not about road/home for these refs but about ending the series for the fave team or team that's up wether they're on the road or home."

And as i stated above:

"If i can remember Brothers, these playoffs, has been sent to help either end series or win games for the team that eventually wins the series. Only 2 times these PO's did Brothers ref and the winner in that particular game did not win the series and that was in the PHX/DEN & LAL/GSW series where PHX & GSW won those games."

Apart from those 2 games mentioned Brothers has pretty much ref'd in every other series. & every other game the team that won when he ref'd won the series.

So if you take the ref stats by face value you'd take MIA @Home in a Blowout. We know that the league are not making things as obvious or blatant as they used to. And i've generally gone against these obvious plays. But i'm riding this one out simply because i believe Miami will win the series.

I just saw line move up a whole point. Love this movement. Everybody on Denver as predicted. And why wouldn't they. Public think no way Denver, the better, deeper, more talented team, would never lose 2 in a row, especially since they consider them to be road dogs. Sets up for public bloodbath.

Adding:

MIA +3.5

GM3

Play:

MIA +2.5

MIA ML

Big game. Winner wins it all. First game for Miami at home & first finals game since 2014. Miami were fortunate to take 1 game in Denver considering their bodies were still rejuvenating from the 7gm series. 2 days well needed rest is huge for the team. The crowd will be loud & Heat will feed off that energy. All pressure on Denver to answer back. They've never been tested so we get to see what they're made of. For me Miami are the more tougher and tested team. They have history & scars in the finals. Nuggets are newbies, have not gone through heartache, just doesn't bode well for them. They still gotta earn their right to hold that trophy. Miami has earned it. They've toppled the top two teams w/ what they have. Took a game in Denver already when nobody else has.

As we speak ref assignment just released and as predicted, yet again, Brothers is indeed assigned for this game. I've no time to do the stats now but as i mentioned Brothers helps end series for the team that eventually wins it all. Since i have Miami winning it i believe the right play here is Miami Heat.

Gm3 @MIN: 120-111 ..... 9pt win

Gm3 @PHX: 114-121 ..... 7pt loss

Gm3 @LAL: 119-108 ..... 11pt win

= GM3: Ave 10pt win

As we saw gm2 winning margin for Nuggets shrinks significantly. Losing outright to Miami & for the 1st time losing a gm2 these PO's.

Denver winning margin goes up frm gm2 by couple of pts for gm3.....then win or lose shrinks significantly to 4.3pts for gm4's. The only difference this time round is Denver isn't traveling on the road to a gm3 up 2-0. Series is tied w/ pressure on them to try & steal home court back. If Denver wins it's most likely by 10+pts seeing how dangerous Miami are in the 4Q's....anything less in Miami cld mean a Heat win.

Miami's gm3 a total contrast. They've been all blowout wins.

Vs Bucks: 121-99 .... 22pts

Vs NY: 105-86 .... 19pts

Vs BOS: 128-102 .... 26pts

= Ave 22.3pts

Heat sure do love being back home. First home games for Miami, that crowd's rockin'....Heat players get to rest, see their families, bone their wives, GF's & side pieces & eat some home cooking. Remember Miami have not been home since May 29th as they flew str8 to Denver from Boston. That's a week & 3 days away from home. Miami also didn’t get to play on their home court for Finals in the bubble, This will be the first home Finals match since 2014.

I'll be back in about 12hrs to do ref stats.

If Heat take this gm, considering how Denver lost it's sh*t after gm2 loss, It'll be interesting too see how they try to recover.

& we all saw who won that yr