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This system is rockin! (sarcasm)
10-12-1 New mexico st +1.5 Nevada -13 UC Davis -2.5 Montana St -6 |
ajfricke | 19 |
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YTD 8-8-1
Wake Forest -13 James Madison -9.5 Houston -15 UAB -6 Oklahoma -13 SD State -6 |
ajfricke | 19 |
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Correction, Maryland -9.5.
So for today, Illinois -7.5 Maryland -9.5 Michigan +1.5 |
ajfricke | 19 |
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Two more additions
Maryland -10 Michigan +1.5 GL ALL |
ajfricke | 19 |
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YTD 7-6-1
Only one pick right now... Illinois -7.5 |
ajfricke | 19 |
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Illinois state line moved to -10.5 yesterday for a win, but I will take a push as I had a play at -12.
YTD not looking good. 5-6-1 system will come around in two weeks. Today's plays: Kansas -10 Providence -6 |
ajfricke | 19 |
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5-2 yesterday. Thank God we made a recovery from thursday night.
If you don't count the initial pick prior to the adjustments, we are now 5-5 from two nights. Two picks for today... Bradley +4.5 Illinois State -12 |
ajfricke | 19 |
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I haven't looked for line moves yet, but here is what I have based on the spreads I have...
Maryland +3.5 Missouri -15 Oklahoma -3 Butler -3 Temple -3 Pacific +1.5 Appalachian St +1.5 |
ajfricke | 19 |
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Ok, going to give this another shot. I believe we started to early comparing to what we did last year and made a few more changes. Here are the picks for today.
Clev St -1 N Mex St -8 ASU -1 |
ajfricke | 19 |
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Based on current lines, here is the only pick for tonight.
Butler -6
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ajfricke | 19 |
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Sorry, should have checked out the lines before posting. The lines I was working with were the open.
I will post again later today with what is a pick based on the lines at the time.
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ajfricke | 19 |
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No, nothing higher than -1.
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ajfricke | 19 |
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I have been working with a system for the past two years and am constantly adjusting the system. Last year we didn't begin playing it until mid January and it was about 58% successful. So now we have made a few more adjustments and just want to post the picks out there to validate our efforts for future reference.
At a high level the system ranks the teams on different categories and then we track how the system based on the ranks perform against the spread and how the team as a pick performs. Based on these trends we make our picks.
This is an extremely high level explanation and I will be honest in that part of my effort of date and time stamping the picks is to have some sort of proof so that if our system is successful again this year we will try to sell the picks next year. But for this year we are just posting everything out there for tracking purposes. If you chose to play them, good luck, but they come with a warning that the system is still being worked.
Picks for today would be:
Cleveland State -1
Butler -6
Houston would be another play if the line drops to -6.
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ajfricke | 19 |
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Now you have your head start bitch!
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marinersdave | 2 |
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