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Bradley +3
Auburn +5
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Baccaratpro1975 | 1 |
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Chicago -160
St. Louis -133
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Baccaratpro1975 | 2 |
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Loyola Marymount +13.5
SE Missouri St. +10 San Diego +1
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Baccaratpro1975 | 1 |
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US Trojans+2.5 to me for this tournament is a good play as they're team is back to normal while the Shockers have a few key questionables. Both teams are coming off wins with the Trojan with 2 days rest and the Shockers with 4 days. In my experience, teams coming off 2 days not taking a home stand play superiorly to teams with 4 or more days (unless at home) as their stamina stays constant for both half's as the other team quite often lyrics seems rusty in the first half. Look for US to win thus one SU by about 7.
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Baccaratpro1975 | 1 |
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UCF+22.5 {QB-Holman upgraded to probable}. The Knights blow this season and will get beat this game, but the odd makers finally overcompensated. USF historically having problems in Orlando, and the players are probably fired up to win this one :cause they usually do; I don't they'll win but too many points. I got USF winning by ten.
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Baccaratpro1975 | 4 |
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I'm notoriously bad at NFL on turkey day, so fade if you like.
Chicago Bears+8.5-110<Jeffrey is dressing out and will most likely play, and Forte is probable. I have the Packers winning by a FG.>
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Baccaratpro1975 | 2 |
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606 Tulsa Shock -12½ -110
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Baccaratpro1975 | 1 |
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951 Los Angeles Dodgers -187
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Baccaratpro1975 | 3 |
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Posting a little late but hopefully the Mariners can pull this one out. I need a win; I had such a bad beat 2 days ago.
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Baccaratpro1975 | 2 |
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MLB [1927] 1H SEA MARINERS +135 ( J HAPP -L / G RICHARDS -R )
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Baccaratpro1975 | 2 |
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955 Cincinnati Reds -120 for 1st 5 Innings
970 Baltimore Orioles -110 for 1st 5 Innings
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Baccaratpro1975 | 3 |
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IMO, in this game the Reds have the edge. Red's are running on all cylinders right now as the defense played horribly last night and still got the W. Starting and relief pitchers for the Reds give up 6 walks and come from behind to win the game. Just imagine a stellar performance from the defense, it would be a hard feat beat this team in this situation.
As I don't pay attention to ytd stats, but stats that have happened recently when it concerns batting or pitching; except for BP stats which I might have to dig a bit deeper. I have Cueto with a 0.71 ERA ADV over Snydergaard when concerning recent evening games. The Red's are averaging 4.84 more 'runs per game' a game the past 3 games including park factors. The Red's weaknesses are normally the end of their lineup and their bullpen, so I'm going to take the Red's on the 1st 5 innings most likely. The Mets have a slight situational advantage but not enough to make a difference. When comparing the BA, OPS, and HR's of each line-up's first six batters last 20-30 AB's, the Reds first. six batters have a 56.08% ADV over the Mets. I have their pitching and batting at about a 75% ADV. over the Mets in the first 5 innings along with the line-up ADV., I gave the Reds a 66.02% shot of having the lead in the first five innings. Mind you garbage does happen, I had the Reds on the first 5 last night and lost due to 3 UNEARNED RUNS: otherwise my pitcher gave up nothing at that point. GL on whomever you choose today!
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TopNotchKata | 11 |
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GL, Tin ! Especially like the O's today.
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tinfoils | 28 |
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605 Washington Mystics +1½ -115 for Game
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Baccaratpro1975 | 1 |
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Thanks, Tin. Another bad luck scenario the Reds fail to win in 5 due to 3 UNEARNED runs. Desciafiani was tight as expected, but how does one cap the defense every night(besides the pithcher). Sometimes the in and out-field are on point and sometimes they're not. There are stats for team defense but there is no good way to tell what is going to happen in every single game.
On a positive note, I still came way ahead today as I bet the Reds in 'live-play' when they were down 2-3 after the 5th. I got 3.2 to 1 odds and hit in OT so am up a couple units today on a scary bet. I was so pissed about the 5th inning line results, that I went on tilt and made that live-play. Normally I would lose in that situation, but I got lucky and won, so the sun is shining a little on my face. I think it's about time for my winning run of the season.
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Baccaratpro1975 | 3 |
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651 Phoenix Mercury -1 -115 for 1st Half
[651] PHOENIX MERCURY -3-110(played this for half the amount; the reason being is that the home team has a day extra rest and getting points. Normally in this situation the visiting team will start easing up in the 2nd half.) It's too hard not to wager on the Mercury for the whole game since I capped them win by double digits.
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Baccaratpro1975 | 1 |
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[1911] 1ST FIVE INNINGS CIN REDS +135 ( A DESCLAFANI -R / A BURNETT -R )
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Baccaratpro1975 | 3 |
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GL, Tin! Let's cash this Houston ticket!
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tinfoils | 26 |
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Update: Pitching change
[971] HOU ASTROS -106 ( L MCCULLERS -R / A HEANEY -L ) Still like this play. The Stros don't do as well against lefties in this situation, but Heaney hasn't started a game yet this season(not sure about relief piching). Heaney has a history of giving up lots of runs, especially in day games; which has him pitching about as bad as Shoemaker. Factoring in park factors in day game starts, Heaney has a 5.08 ERA. So unless something miraculous has happened between this season and last season, I don't see this guy pitching any better today. |
Baccaratpro1975 | 3 |
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960 Milwaukee Brewers -125
971 Houston Astros +105
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Baccaratpro1975 | 3 |
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