bondjunkie

KDB and Schurrle left off; Dost in reserve

Looks like they are mailing this one in...

Backing all home sides today. I've gone over the forum, and while I think Sevilla is being a tad overvalued because of the Barca draw, the line has more to do with all of the suspensions for Zenit. Hulk included. Four starters out for AVB today.

Club Brugge        +110             2 units

Dynamo Kiev       +125            2 units

Sevilla                  -165             2 units

Wolfsburg             -135            2 units 

Well that was quite a sweat.

Arsenal/Monaco under 2.5 +110

Leverkusen/Atletico under 2.5 -155

Leverkusen/Atletico draw 1H +105

Arsenal/Monaco Under 2.5 +110  2 units

I just think Arsenal may be a little content with what they have already. They played three days prior, pretty much dominating West Ham at home and are in the middle of an amazing run in the Prem. They are semifinalists and prohibitive favorites in the FA Cup.  And to ask such a squad to sell out for a minimum 3-0 victory on the road at Monaco...who are absolute bears on defense wherever they play, and who will probably park the bus, rickshaw, limo, etc...just seems like too much. If Arsenal get an early one, it will be on. That is so much to ask though. I think value is on under.

Bayer Leverkusen/Atletico Madrid under 2.5 -155  2 units

Bayer Leverkusen/Atletico Madrid 1H Draw +105  2 units

Much more of a square play here, obv. I read in the preview that Atletico hasn't given up a goal at home in Euro competition in over a year. Bayer hasn't been scored up on in five straight overall.

16-9 overall (+10.575 units), 2 unit plays 4-0

There is no way Rick Barnes survives this. If there is a university which cares less about the performance of its basketball program than Texas, then I don't know about it. But even they cannot accept what happened last night. It was to my benefit yesterday, but that was easily the worst managed end to a game I've seen in quite some time. Two possessions where the point guard stood at half court for 25 seconds of the shot clock, and then winged some play afterward. And the final possession, where you get two bites at the apple in the last 45 seconds, and you still heave it up with 10 seconds left...even though you still have a timeout...I mean, wow. So, so bad.

All plays 1 unit unless otherwise noted.

Mich/Wisky over 123

Penn St  +5.5

UL Lafayette -5.5 (2 units)

Virginia -3

UL Monroe -6

UConn +2.5

Boise St    2 units

Penn St   

Sweating UCF...