bostoncapper

Nice call. It was crazy to see the line go to Ons -260 right before they started.

Interesting line as Ons is minus 200. They played four months ago and Marketa

was -175 and won 7-6, 6-4.  Everyone expects Ons to finally come through after her first

two Grand Slam finals losses.  I agree and hope she does it. But the line seems too high.

I was thinking maybe -140 not 200.

In her two Grand Slam losses, Ons has lost three sets by a 6-2 score.  Probably doesn't mean much but

it is there to look at.

The over 121.5 is enticing. But I will go with Marketa at +175.

I decided to wait until after first set to hedge my Potapova future.  I'll tale Mirra Andreeva to win the match risking $285 to win my initial $100 investment back.

Mirra will win multiple grand slams!!  And she just recently turned 16.  She is 25-3 in her last 28 matches at all levels.

Ok...it has been a couple of months since I placed my Potapova Wimbledon futures bet. $100 to win $20,000.  

The idea was to take advantage of what I saw as a line that was a bit out of whack.  I still feel that way.

The draw has come out favorable with Naef in the first round and Jovan or Betova in the second.  

I will let it ride in the first two rounds and then start hedging. I have a big cushion to play with if she can just

get through the first two rounds.

The big question....how serious is her shoulder injury that forced her to withdraw from Eastbourne???

It is legal.  Obviously, the opportunities are few and far between.  I usually find 2-3 opportunities a month using the six online sites

available in Massachusetts.

It is an arbitrage situation.  I dumbed it down so more people would understand. I'm an options trader so I know the difference between a middle

and an arbitrage. 

It is not often, but sometimes the money really is free.  Wish they were all this easy.

It is not exciting but there is a nice middle available for those who have accounts with

Wynn and Draftkings.

Draftkings has Celtics to win series at +150.

Wynn has Philly to win series at -135.

Potapova at 200-1

 If you look hard enough, you can find Potapova at 200-1  to win Wimbledon.

Potapova is a former Wimbledon junior champion who will be seeded.   She just beat Gauff twice in row and Gauff is 12-1 to win Wimbledon. In her last two matches vs Pegula, Potapova has lost three setters...7-5 in the 3rd then 7-6 in the third. Pegula is 20-1 to win Wimbleodn.

If Potapova wins a round or two, you can hedge your bet 

and get your initial investment back.  The line was 200-1 when it wasn't certain she would be allowed to play Wimbledon because she is Russian.

Some books have adjusted her to 40-1.  Others have left her at 200-1.  Worth a shot at the mispricing.

Rask in for Boston.....last minute switch

Been wanting to do this for a while.  I'm thinking MLB underdogs is the way to go.

So a few times a week, I'll pick an underdog out of the hat. 

Totally random using Westgate most recent line. I'll then keep a season tally to see if I can at least break even.

Today's Pick:   White Sox +110

 Season record:  40-65   -$756

Been wanting to do this for a while.  I'm thinking MLB underdogs is the way to go.

So a few times a week, I'll pick an underdog out of the hat.  Totally random using

Westgate most recent line. I'll then keep a season tally to see if I can at least break even.

Today's Pick:   Miami +145

Season record:  40-64   -$656

Been wanting to do this for a while.  I'm thinking MLB underdogs is the way to go.

So a few times a week, I'll pick an underdog out of the hat.  Totally random using

Westgate most recent line. I'll then keep a season tally to see if I can at least break even.

 Today's Pick:   Colorado +141

  Season record:  40-63   -$556

Been wanting to do this for a while.  I'm thinking MLB underdogs is the way to go.

 So a few times a week, I'll pick an underdog out of the hat.  Totally random using

 Westgate most recent line. I'll then keep a season tally to see if I can at least break even.

 Today's Pick:   Yankees +138

  Season record:  40-62   -$456

Been wanting to do this for a while.  I'm thinking MLB underdogs is the way to go.

 So a few times a week, I'll pick an underdog out of the hat.  Totally random using

 Westgate most recent line. I'll then keep a season tally to see if I can at least break even.

 Today's Pick:   Angels +260

  Season record:  40-61   -$356

Been wanting to do this for a while.  I'm thinking MLB underdogs is the way to go.

 So a few times a week, I'll pick an underdog out of the hat.  Totally random using

 Westgate most recent line. I'll then keep a season tally to see if I can at least break even.

 Today's Pick:   Cleveland +115

  Season record:  40-60   -$256

Been wanting to do this for a while.  I'm thinking MLB underdogs is the way to go.

 So a few times a week, I'll pick an underdog out of the hat.  Totally random using

 Westgate most recent line. I'll then keep a season tally to see if I can at least break even.

 Today's Pick:   Toronto +255

  Season record:  40-59   -$156

Been wanting to do this for a while.  I'm thinking MLB underdogs is the way to go.

 So a few times a week, I'll pick an underdog out of the hat.  Totally random using

 Westgate most recent line. I'll then keep a season tally to see if I can at least break even.

 Today's Pick:   Oakland +130

  Season record:  39-59   -$286

Been wanting to do this for a while.  I'm thinking MLB underdogs is the way to go.

 So a few times a week, I'll pick an underdog out of the hat.  Totally random using

 Westgate most recent line. I'll then keep a season tally to see if I can at least break even.

 Today's Pick:   Seattle +175

  Season record:  38-59   -$461

Been wanting to do this for a while.  I'm thinking MLB underdogs is the way to go.

 So a few times a week, I'll pick an underdog out of the hat.  Totally random using

 Westgate most recent line. I'll then keep a season tally to see if I can at least break even.

 Today's Pick:   Seattle +144

  Season record:  37-59   -$605