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replied to Refs can't make it more obvious in Penalty Box The officiating is all over the place. The pacers are just getting all the right bounces for rebounds and outplaying the knicks. Pacers 2H +2 View Post \| View Thread	PUFFessor	16	May 14, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to one [WIN] a day, let's all help each other and get [PAID] in NBA Betting Appreciate all the wisdom you're providing the covers community with your thoughtful insight. It really helps, and having the right discipline will help to steer the thread in the right direction. Looking forward to completing this years playoffs with a huge profit. I believe GS takes game 4 at home in Oracle, they've shown time and time again that they're considerable contenders, and understand that this is pretty much a must-win game for them. The pressure was on the Spurs to take back home court advantage, and they've accomplished that feat. I understand that they won't stop at that, but I believe the cinderella story Warriors will have a great opener to try and seal the game. Tough pick, but if I'd have to play it I'd take GS +2. But of course, if Tony has taught us anything, it's to stay disciplined and be patient, so I'm a no play here. Although I understand your philosophy to avoid parlays and exotics bets, what I must say is that Half bets, Quarter bets, and player props aren't necessarily bad bets or unfavorable in a bettors odds. I believe that these bets actually allow a bettor to creatively analyze parts of the game which can actually be accurate more often than not. This is one of the reasons why the juice on the lines are usually much higher. Just like you mentioned, the odds makers job is to generate a line that creates a 50-50 split of funds based off of perception. While this can be achieved to as much accuracy as possible, the effort it takes to try and even out every single line, such as player props or quarter bets, can be overwhelming even for Vegas. Here's an example of what I mean, I believe the Spurs take the 4th quarter here. The line at 4th Quarter Spurs -.5 is a winner. Pretty simple explanation, the Warriors are a rookie team playing against the most veteran team in the league. There has already been great evidence of this in games 1-3. The young Warriors have already shown time and time again that they've blown leads late in the game, while this is one of the Spurs strong points. Also, in a majority of the games the Warriors have won, they were from games where they had huge 3rd quarters and usually, a nice lead into the 4th, where the other team starts to slowly creep back and you see the young Warriors start to struggle finding the right shot and taking it with confidence, while also making critical mistakes. This matchup IMHO is the perfect scenario for a Spurs 4th Quarter bet, especially with this line. Spurs -.5 4th Quarter! Just giving my 2 cents, hope this post isn't a nuisance. Best of luck to your choices and once again, looking forward to working with you and this community to get some winners and make a huge profit this playoffs! View Post \| View Thread	tony2toes	246	May 12, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA 2nd HALF 1-15-13 SOLID PLAYS !! Mostly Right, Sometimes Wrong !! in NBA Betting Just bad luck that when I decide to follow I ride losing picks. Now you're gonna hit everything else tonight View Post \| View Thread	Phodacbiet	178	January 16, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA 2nd HALF 1-15-13 SOLID PLAYS !! Mostly Right, Sometimes Wrong !! in NBA Betting I slammed on your double big play for the raps nets game and got burned. Hard View Post \| View Thread	Phodacbiet	178	January 15, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 6-0 posted plays... Reverse line moves in NBA Betting Quote Originally Posted by Puck_Off: where are you getting the information of number of tickets placed verses percentage of money bet on each side?. On scoresand odds.com the % only show how much $ is being bet on each side not how many wagers placed. I believe you're referring to the Money Line trend of % bettors. No where that I know of can you find the actual % of money being wagered on sides/totals/moneylines View Post \| View Thread	TriniMike	1212	January 15, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Who just got screwed in NFL Betting Baltimore let that fucking play happen.... Fuck Vegas and this rigged bull shit. Pounding ravens 2h View Post \| View Thread	RT3	9	January 06, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Fox's NFL Week 17 Picks and Analysis in NFL Betting Hey Fox, how do you feel about dallas/wash over 48? Seems like there's a lot of pressure on romo to perform and rg3 always brings a dynamic offense, and seem as if this game will be a great end to the season, so I'm thinking they go out swinging View Post \| View Thread	Jfox6546	80	December 30, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 21 DEC - Quarters & Halves in NBA Betting Quote Originally Posted by SWaTX731: 2H: SPURS TT O51 View Post \| View Thread	SWaTX731	90	December 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 21 DEC - Quarters & Halves in NBA Betting What about the Over 97.5 spurs hornets 2H? View Post \| View Thread	SWaTX731	90	December 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA 2nd HALF Friday & SOLID PLAYS !! Mostly Right, Sometimes Wrong !! 8-1 yesterday in NBA Betting Must have been a system play, cause it seems like its going over Nice pick though, I have mem-6.5 too so hopefully that will cover to offset my under bet. BTW pho, can you link me or direct me to where you explain how your system works? I'm really curious bro View Post \| View Thread	Phodacbiet	99	December 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA 2nd HALF Friday & SOLID PLAYS !! Mostly Right, Sometimes Wrong !! 8-1 yesterday in NBA Betting because I'm leaning under hard View Post \| View Thread	Phodacbiet	99	December 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 21 DEC - Quarters & Halves in NBA Betting Yeah the better play is the Under here. Nice pick View Post \| View Thread	SWaTX731	90	December 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA 2nd HALF Friday & SOLID PLAYS !! Mostly Right, Sometimes Wrong !! 8-1 yesterday in NBA Betting is that Over 94 a system play phodac? View Post \| View Thread	Phodacbiet	99	December 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 21 DEC - Quarters & Halves in NBA Betting Would you lean MEM? Cause I saw DAL catch up and looking at stats, looks like MEM gonna blow em out 2H View Post \| View Thread	SWaTX731	90	December 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 21 DEC - Quarters & Halves in NBA Betting Gotcha, yeah never said all the time, but what I meant is your gut tends to lead to that pick first, same way my gut leads me to unders first. I'm the same way, I took under for knicks/chicago game because of tempo, hot/cold, and theme of the game. By the way, I like Bucks 2H too View Post \| View Thread	SWaTX731	90	December 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 21 DEC - Quarters & Halves in NBA Betting It's similar to my tendency to want to bet under 2H on most games View Post \| View Thread	SWaTX731	90	December 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 21 DEC - Quarters & Halves in NBA Betting I noticed one of your tendencies when betting sides during 2H is to bet teams that are already ahead to win the game. Just saying View Post \| View Thread	SWaTX731	90	December 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Hello. I am new. Follow me and you will make money. No Gimmick. in Website Promotions Quote Originally Posted by SteelCash: Please refrain from the clogging the thread with nonsensical posts. Idiot.. He's disclaiming the validity of his story as to whether he's from MIT and graduated 6 months ago and now has the time to hop on the forum and start posting. Interesting how his location is Massachusetts as he graduated 6 months ago from MIT, and chances are his hometown isn't Massachusetts. But hey, I'm not gonna make any accusations. Anyway, welcome to the forum and I hope you get hot to begin your stay here. Although seeing that you're from MIT, you should have a lot of numbers and analysis to back up your picks unless you cap off of feel, which I don't think would be your strong point. Seeing that you're a recent graduate from such a prestigious college as MIT and all.. Good luck! View Post \| View Thread	MITkid	555	December 20, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to TUE 18 DEC - Quarters & Halfers in NBA Betting Killin me bro! Lol when I go against you I lose, when I go against you but don't bet I lose! Next time i'll find one where were on the same page View Post \| View Thread	SWaTX731	112	December 19, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to TUE 18 DEC - Quarters & Halfers in NBA Betting Well you were right about Chicago, so I won't go against you for the o/u View Post \| View Thread	SWaTX731	112	December 18, 2012 View Post \| View Thread

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