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=_^ gonna give it a go at a small line
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coversn00b | 1 |
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Where do you think the value is here? Over? -2 1/2 games?
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coversn00b | 1 |
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Thiem should want this win because of this head to head alone being so lopsided, Kevin is past his prime although he's climbed back up in the rankings there have been inconsistencies. I believe Thiem will outhit him in plain out winners with a higher 1 serve percentage. huge value here. 10 units
BOL |
coversn00b | 1 |
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Bol! everyone is fresh this week so hope they weren't hiding injuries or lost form!
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coversn00b | 4 |
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Add stefano napolitano
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coversn00b | 4 |
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Add Fernando Verdasco
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coversn00b | 4 |
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Parlay
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coversn00b | 4 |
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I agree. I'm not totally perfect but 75%hit rate in any sport although I like chalk is good, if you know when to pull the trigger. I made 2k from the over ao nadal and fed, 1k from nadal RG, and now 1k from Fed on Wimbledon. All of those were killer bets. The over was great for nadal, and fed, nadal demolished in his final, and fed comfortably won the first set with a still healthy cilic.
I usually make my diff plays on parlays like delbonis+Mayer who are playing soon, usually three teamers or four give me decent odds. And I hit often. But I'm careful to remember this is excess money, not like I've seen others that are devastated when they lose. |
coversn00b | 19 |
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spot on analysis pre-injury regardless. You're covering thanks to an injury and pride of him not retiring because otherwise he would have when he broke down in tears and said he would play on. You got lucky it's a final
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coversn00b | 19 |
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I took the line before it hit three. Keep hating, you make me relevant. everything I posted was true. And the best money is the surest, I won while cilic was hurt in the last set. He actually had a chance to break fed and was playing at a high level, but I bet on Feds abilities, not his. So thanks for coming into my thread once again. 18/20. Two losses. That's a 90% hit rate. Have a good one!
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coversn00b | 19 |
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He's crying. He had a mini panic attack. Those can be helpful if he isn't physically hurt I just don't see him losing. Like I posted, roger is 85-3 after the first set in Wimbledon. He's clinical as a front runner
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coversn00b | 19 |
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well it said darn, but i wrote f*** yourself :). Game set and match for me. 2.8 to make 1k, graded winner. Good luck to the rest of you, and the ones smart enough to follow.
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coversn00b | 19 |
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I have almost three thousand riding on this, go fuck yourself if you don't have anything to add.
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coversn00b | 19 |
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Packers, private message him. My thread is about my bet. Unless you're going to hate on it further go flame out somewhere else.
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coversn00b | 19 |
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Quote Originally Posted by PlowTheBook: Wagering on heavy favorites in the high 200's and beyond is just foolish. To me It's not "sharp" betting. Anyone can have an off day and there's no way I be wagering something like 900/300 on Fed tomorrow. I don't disagree, but gambling inherently carries a risk - you just skew the ratio. It might make sense to bet the house on a small -125 favorite and you lose anyway betting x amount of money, the same may be true of a large bet, but what matters is who gets paid out. Having said that, and having read Rogers stats in first sets in finals and Wimbledon esp, I'll happily lose my wager today. I'm +4400 roughly for a month now, took a hit from two wagers... I'll happily lose 2000 and try and make it back, if I didn't, I don't know why the fuck I would be wagering as a hobby. BOL either way! bombs away :) |
coversn00b | 19 |
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Quote Originally Posted by WOLFofBELFORT: I'd listen to packersbackers everyone. He has a lot of losing experience. He's the clown that put 80% of his bankroll on a player like Laura Robson to win a match Then he ran away for a couple of years because he ran out of money and "hated" gambling. Now he's back A true clown.... Gives my reasoning some backing, so he isn't all the shit he talks himself up to be. I really don't care, I just can't stand someone pretending to be someone their not. And Laura R? Lmfao. Okay, well, that is just idk. no comment. Sorry he lost his bankroll tho, I don't care for bs but I hate to see people lose money even if I don't like them. But I'm surprised he bet so much on such a mediocre wta player when I've seen his hit rate be better with the atp tour. Yikes. |
coversn00b | 19 |
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Line with my book with -285 for first set for those doing numbers, I wouldn't take the line anything higher than -340. It's been steadily rising as sharp bettors have been catching on.
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coversn00b | 19 |
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Ram should win
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finsterbaby | 24 |
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First set. His game is predicated on being a front runner, he's 85-3 when winning the first set at Wimbledon, and I don't believe even if it has to go there roger would want this to go to 5, which with 25+ aces cilic jus threw at avg 123 mph is nasty. I think roger will take the first set and if he doesn't I would fade cilic depending on how the second set goes. I'd give this wager a 9/10. I hope I don't lose this since I have every hater and their mother writing for them on here.
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coversn00b | 19 |
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I'm not really worried what you believe. Lmao. I think the intelligent people picked up on the planet joke and I wasn't picking anyone. I haven't really made a single straight wager out of 19 that I've posted on here on women. sorry haters. Back to the cray cray cynicism drawing board.
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coversn00b | 16 |
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