DefeetRexRyan

Helping these guys get some exposure as it was founded by a friend of a friend.  They've been doing quite well this year with a 49-40-1 record - only one out of the four of them that makes picks has a losing record.  As always, take FWIW but personally I have been following The Skipper and Matt Presley on most of their picks.

There is massive disagreement this week with the two biggest games in Georgia vs. Florida and SMU vs. Memphis.  As a reminder, we do not consult with each other before making our picks.  Sometimes we agree, and sometimes we disagree.

TRF College Football overall betting record:  49-40-1

The Skipper (season record 16-10-1)

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Georgia @ Florida (+6.5)

This game opened up at Georgia -3.5 and got absolutely pounded by the sharps.  Now, it sits at +6.5 and that is just too many points for a Florida team with a good offensive line, some good RBs, and a decent QB.  Their defense is also pretty darn good and better than Georgia’s, especially in the secondary.  I think the opening line is much more in line with reality, so we’re going to roll with the Gators in this spot.

Virginia Tech @ Notre Dame (Under 58)

Winds are forecasted to be blowing at around 15 MPH in South Bend, forcing these teams to put it on the ground a little more than they would want to normally.  The Irish are only giving up a pretty modest 19.6 points a game (the Hokies 29.6) and I think this game is going to struggle making it above 50, especially once the Irish slow it down in the 4 quarter.

SMU @ Memphis (-6)

The records don’t necessarily reflect it but Memphis is clearly the better team here as they are better in just about every major category .  SMU head coach Sonny Dykes also just confirmed on ESPN’s College GameDay that the Mustangs’ best wide receiver Reggie Roberson Jr. did not make the trip to Memphis because of a foot injury.  The home crowd at the Liberty Bowl will be amped up and I expect the Tigers to cover this one.

Matt Presley (season record: 14-10-0)

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Oregon (-4) at USC

The Ducks got lucky and outlasted Washington State last week. USC on the other hand was able to complete a comeback against Colorado. Oregon will handle business and I don’t think it will be as other gamblers.

Georgia (-6) @ Florida

Football down south, the world’s largest outdoor cocktail party, and this year it’s a battle of top-10 teams. Neither of these two have been very good offensively lately so expect a low-scoring battle. I think the leadership of Georgia QB Jake Fromm is what leads the Bulldogs to victory in this one.

SMU (+6) @ Memphis

SMU has to feel disrespected as they are ranked 15 in the country but are and the underdog against the 24 ranked Tigers. Being from the Memphis area, I’ll tell you Bluff City will be hype with College GameDay coming into town, but I think SMU pulls out the bag of tricks and gets an upset win.

Casey Waldrip (season record: 2-7-0)

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TCU (+3.5) @ Iowa State

At the beginning of the season I had high hopes for Brock Purdy and the Cyclones, thinking they could compete for the Big 12 title and a longshot Heisman run for Purdy. They just haven’t seemed to get the momentum going that they ended the season with last year. TCU lost the iron skillet to a pretty good SMU team two weeks ago but had a big bounce back win against Kansas last week. I think they keep that momentum going this weekend in Ames. I think TCU wins this one outright but for now I’ll take the Frogs and the points.

Baylor @ Kansas State (Over 49)

Baylor is one of the teams that have emerged this year as possible contenders in the Big 12 but they haven’t played much competition as of yet. This week they have a pretty good matchup scheduled. Kansas State didn’t look too hot last week again against Oklahoma State only scoring 13 points, but I think they turn their offensive woes around this week. I believe this will be a Big 12 matchup of old and I will take the over in what I predict will be a shootout in the Little Apple.

Michigan State (+20) @ Ohio State

Justin Fields and the Buckeyes have looked like an absolute powerhouse through the first five weeks of the season and are looking like they will win the Big 10 again.  That being said, Michigan State fell into a trap game against Arizona State earlier in the year, but have looked good in every game since. I think the Buckeyes get a pretty convincing win this week, but I think Michigan State will cover the spread in a game that will not be as close as the score suggests.

Here are the picks from therightfield dot com which I've been following - up 5 units on the year.  Have been tracking all their picks.

Here's what we see in week six.  Noah Joseph has the week off.

The Right Field College Football overall record:  27-20-1 (+5 betting units profit)

The Skipper (season record: 8-6-1)

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Georgia @ Tennessee (+24.5)

Yes, the Vols suck, but I just don’t know that they suck enough to be getting 24.5 points at home in a conference match up.  I think this line is an overreaction and let’s not forget that Kirby Smart and Jeremy Pruitt are good friends, so I highly doubt Smart will run up the score to this extent.  This line opened at 25 and has been bet down slightly to 24.5 despite 78% of the public backing Georgia, telling me some sharps with deep pockets like Tennessee.  Grab the points here.

Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech (+10.5)

Just too much value on the Red Raiders as this line opened at 8.5 and is now at a key 10.5 at home.  Last year, Texas Tech beat OSU by 24 in Stillwater and I simply think the public has overvalued the Cowboys.  I even think Tech could win outright, but will stop short of laying money on it.  Take the points.

Auburn @ Florida (Under 48.5)

This line opened at 46.5 and, as usual, the public overreacts to what Auburn did last week and has bet it up to 48.5.  We will see some defense this week as Florida has a much better secondary than Mississippi State.  I expect this game to grind way more on the ground and bleed the clock.  Go under here.

Matt Presley (season record: 9-3-0)

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Auburn (-3) @ Florida

The Auburn Tigers will head down to the swamp and play the Florida Gators in a battle of top ten teams. I think the Tigers defense holds strong, forces enough turnovers and give freshmen phenom QB, Bo Nix, a chance to win the game late. I’m taking the Tigers due to them being a more well-rounded team.

Utah State @ LSU (-25)

LSU should dominate this week and continue to impress the voters. This is a lot of points but the Tigers have scored over 45 points every game this year. Utah State is coming into the bayou to collect a paycheck in what will be an easy win for the Tigers. Take LSU as my lock of the week in college football.

Kent State (+37) vs Wisconsin

If you thought 25 was a lot, take a look at this spread, as the Badgers are favored by 37 points. Last week Wisconsin had trouble with Northwestern, coming in as a 23 point favorite, and only won by nine. I believe Kent State comes out firing and does enough to cover, so take the Golden Flashes and the points.

FYI - this new sports outlet was founded by a friend of a friend.  They went 8-1 their first week last week and some of you wanted me to post their picks.  Take FWIW.

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Buffalo Bills (-2) vs New York Giants

This is more about how bad the Giants than it is about how good the Bills are.  The Bills offense can put up points thanks to Josh Allen’s new weapon, John Brown.  The Bills defense isn’t anything to scoff at either.  The Giants defense on the other hand, just got torched by Dak Prescott and deep passes and I believe the Bills will attack the same way.  It’s basically a pick’em at -2, and I think the Bills are just a better team.

Dallas Cowboys (-5) vs. Washington Redskins

Dallas is good and Washington isn’t—it’s that simple.  After losing running back Derrius Guice to a torn meniscus, the Skins will go back to old man Adrian Peterson.  Ezekiel Elliott will reintroduce himself to the NFL with a big game.  Meanwhile, Washington doesn’t have any wide receivers and the Cowboys defense is elite. The Cowboys will win and I’m saying they do so by 21 points.  Take America’s team and win you some money.

Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5) vs. Oakland Raiders (Over 53)

I’m giving you two picks in this game because both just seem so obvious. The Chiefs scored 40 points without their best WR, while also settling for four field goals. Neither team has a defense that makes you believe this will be a low scoring game. The Chiefs being favored by only 7.5 is an insult to Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce. Chiefs will win large but the Raiders will score points. Take the over and the Chiefs.

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Kansas City Chiefs (-7) @ Oakland Raiders

The Oakland Raiders were a nice story in week 1, overcoming the Antonio Brown drama to beat Denver.  Unfortunately for Raider Nation, this is week two.  Denver will show how bad they are this year and the Raiders took advantage early.  The Chiefs are banged up, but the offense will never be stopped.  Gruden’s offense will be able to squeak out some points, but the Chiefs defense can prevent enough scoring to let the offense do its thing.

Chicago Bears (-2.5) @ Denver Broncos

As mentioned in my prior pick, the Broncos are not a very good team.  Joe Flacco will face-off against an even better defense this week and expect Flacco to see the ground a lot.  The Bears had a dreadful first week offensively.  With more reps and a longer prep for the coaching staff, look to see Trubisky settle in with short completions and a run game.  This one will not have a lot of scoring, but the Bears will pull away for a touchdown lead early and maintain some field goals from the Broncos.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans (-8.5)

The Jaguars will look to start fresh with another new QB.  With Foles going down to injury, Gardner Minshew will be taking the snaps full time for the near future.  With not much of a passing game to begin with, the Jags will rely on Fournette to run the offense.  The Texans defense will load the box and force the Jags to win through the air.  This will undoubtedly cause turnovers in favor of Houston.  The offense for the Texans is explosive and will continue to be if Watson stays healthy.  If Watson can elude the Jags rush and stay on his feet, the Texans will win by at least two touchdowns.

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49ers @ Bengals (-1) 

I may be from Cincinnati but for those who don’t know, I am no Bengals fan, so no bias here.  I can count probably on one hand the amount of times I have ever bet on the hapless jungle kittens over the last ten years, but I happen to like them in this spot.  The 49ers have back-to-back east coast games (Tampa Bay last week) and while they won, I was more impressed with the way the Bengals played the Seahawks in Seattle—Andy Dalton threw for 418 yards for crying out loud.  I think this line should really be closer to -3, so I have to roll with the hometown team this time.

Vikings @ Packers (Under 43)

The Vikings showed a very different run-heavy approach last week in their thumping of the Falcons with Kirk Cousins passing only ten times.  The defense gave up a few garbage TDs at the end of the game playing a total prevent, but the game wasn’t as close as even the 28-12 score suggests as the Falcons didn’t score until the fourth quarter.  Green Bay’s defense was also lights-out against the Bears in the season opener.  I do not see this being the 29-29 shootout tie it was last year and with the Vikings committed to toting the rock a lot more and a much more impressive Packers defense, I see a 23-17 type of game.  Who wins?  I have no clue.  This is as tough a game to pick on spread/moneyline as you’ll see this week.

Patriots @ Dolphins (+18.5)

This is the third largest spread of this decade.  The Dolphins are terrible and tanking on purpose.  The Pats, as usual, are an excellent football team.  The Pats could very well destroy this team by 24+ points, but I have to go with history and playing the odds.  When a team loses at home the week prior and is an underdog the following week, they are 105-55 the last two years in covering the next week.  The Dolphins were embarrassed last week and I think will at least try and and play somewhat inspired.  As stated, the Pats could kill them today.  But play the dog in this spot 100 times and you will be in the money.  Period.

Temple Maryland under 66.5

Arizona State +14.5

Colorado -3.5

First guy’s picks did not come over:

Here is what we see in week three.  As a reminder, we do not consult with each other before making our picks so there is some overlap - sometimes we agree and sometimes we disagree. 

The Right Field college football 2019 overall record:  9-2-1

The Skipper (Season Record: 3-2-1)

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Arizona State @ Michigan State Over 41.5

The MSU offense will be much stronger with the health of QB, Brian Lewerke.  With solid depth at WR, the passing offense will be strong and mixed with passes out of the back field.  The Arizona State defense will improve this season, but still has its holes.  On the offensive side of the ball, the new QB will play a big part in how this offense runs.  The MSU defense will shut down the run, but Coach Edwards will be relentless with the passing attack.  This leads me to taking the not so high over.

Maryland (-7) @ Temple

The mighty Terps have been moving the ball and putting up points.  Josh Jackson and Jake Funk have led the way and will continue to do so in Philadelphia.  The first road game will not present much difficulty for this offense for Temple will provide difficulty on the Maryland defensive backs, but the Temple run game is nonexistent.  Both teams will put up points, but the Terrapins will win by two scores.

New Mexico @ Notre Dame (-34.5)

The Irish are coming off an early bye and looking to make a statement in front of the home crowd.  The offense will continue to click and put up big points early for the win.  New Mexico has no chance.

Matt Presley (Season Record: 3-0-0)

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Arkansas vs Colorado State (Over 57)

You have to assume Arkansas would be able to get their offense clicking under 2nd year head coach Chad Morris, but they have yet to do that this season. Colorado State, on the other hand, has averaged 34.5 points in their opening games of the season. I think this will be a high scoring game as both teams will throw a lot, saving clock for the over.

Oklahoma (-22.5) @ UCLA

Jalen Hurts was built for this offense, and under Oklahoma head coach Lincoln Riley, he has looked like the next great QB for OU.  Hurts has put up Heisman numbers throwing for 591 passing yards and six touchdowns, while also rushing for 223 yards and three touchdowns. I don’t think UCLA stands a chance and it could get ugly.

Texas @ Rice (Over 56)

Texas just lost a heart breaker to LSU and some would think that they would come out tired and worn out after that game. I think it will be the opposite.  Texas will come out and look to put up points in an attempt to remind AP Voters that they are an elite team. Rice might score a couple touchdowns as well to help get the over.

FYI just got another text and apparently the founder insists on "BEST THREE PLAYS" each week from each blogger who participates, forcing them to only give their best plays and not just throwing shit out at random.  Apparently the plan in the FUTURE is to prove this model and move toward a paid model much later.  Founder fully acknowledges they're new and have to prove themselves.

Thanks, guys, for coming in here and being reasonable.  Have no dog in the fight but this guy comes in here accusing me of "scamming" people when there is ZERO incentive for doing so.  This site isn't even primarily a betting site but they have some guys that get into it and share their picks.  Was just chatting with my buddy and he said "not surprised at all Covers forum would react that way."  Quickly corrected him that it was just one guy.

Anyway, this is a legit group and they OBVIOUSLY won't be hitting on this level forever but buddy told me two of these guys in particular are "really good."  They have over 100k social media followers in like 9 months so must not be complete idiots.  Again, take for what it's worth - was just trying to share some new info.

Hey, prick, I just got back into the game and was looking for some good people to follow and it's a friend of a friend.  I used to post a decent amount on here but took a long break.

I don't even know wtf an SSL certificate is but I sure as the hell have seen way shittier websites.  They posted the link to the picks BEFORE the games on FB and IG - I saw it.  They're not even asking for money or a subscription so your bullshit about people being "scammers" is absurd.  Wtf are they trying to "scam" you out of if they're not even asking for money?

Take the stick out of your ass and try not being so cynical next time...

I saw their plays the day they made them and so did a ton of other people.  I'm sure someone would call them out on doing something so shady, but again, I see these up before the games happened.

The Right Field Dot Com

A buddy of mine knows one of the founders of this new site.  You can go and look back at their picks for both college and NFL in first two weeks.  17-3-1 so far.  Obviously won't last forever and take FWIW but they've definitely got my attention...

https://therightfield.com/the-skipper-and-noah-josephs-nfl-week-1-best-bets/