dpb123007

And shit, sense we are fking gambling on the eve's of New Year's Eve, do the Kings and Jazz cover the Over 238.5 while the Trailblazers cover the +3 (2nd half).

I like the Blazers more but Vegas is pegging the JAZZ/KINGS at 240 for the game at halftime with 123 as the 2nd half over (117 scored total 1st half for that mathematicians).

I dunno. maybe one of those fkin great $$$ dayzzzzz. Maybe not. Time always tells. GL to ya.

I knew it right after the Tigers converted their 2 point conversion attempt to pull within 7 point.

At that moment - 2nd half - Clemson led 11-7, 4 point margin. 2nd Half opening line Clemson -5.

Then that line made it's public and smart money move to Clemson -6 for those cattle/middlers out there.

The 2nd half line made sense like grilled cheese and tomato soup on a cloudy, cold day. Then I hit it again in-game (Volunteers -6.5 -122) for another dime and before I could type this out, Volunteers scored a TD to go up by 14 points. 

Even if they didn't score that TD, it all made sense on that 2 point conversion that I took the right side for 2nd half. I just was wondering why 5 and not 4.5. That was the ?.

BINGO BANGO. 

Leafs2019...

BYU wins by DD's like I thought they would and actually covered by even far more than expected - 31 Point W for the Cougars.

BYU -6.5 -120 = W = 

And a real good start for BYU backers 2nd Half as they score a TD in less than 1:30.

BYU 14-10.

Long way to go....BYU Cougars.  Raaaaaaauuuur

I like BYU to possibly win this by DD's still but I like the fact Vegas was juicing the 6.5 up instead of laying a 7 or 7.5 here. I guess they are aligning with the BYU teaser plays which fell right around BYU -3.5 to BYU -4.5 depending on when the wager was placed. I like BYU to demonstrate why a 6-6 team is favored by 12.5 on the open against a 7-5 team because I am hoping BYU will show me and others 2nd half.

BYU Cougars -6.5  2nd Half (win by 4 or more for the game)

GL to ya. 

Adding another large Over:

Ole Miss/ULM Over 76 -110

Points Pardeeezzz.

Arizona State +3 -120

Miami -13 -125

UCONN/Memphis Over 76

Miss State +4 -125

It's Hammer time to da Bookiezzz.

GL to ya

thekang......That's why I said what I did after that first TD by Toledo in the 2nd half. Both teams, with Miami's defensive injuries, are going to score at will on offense it seems from here on out so the 12 point line is going to be in question down to the wire. 

Ohh Toledo, thank you Rockets. They just kicked the FG instead of going for it on 4th down and 2 yards at the Miami 20. Interesting because the announcers were saying "the Rockets will obviously go for it here on 4th down, ohh wait they are bringing on the FG team". haha

Miami up 11 points in the 4th. Lots of time, Toledo needs a stop here. Would be and could be the game on the line during these next 2-3 drives for both Miami and Toledo. Who can score the TD and who has to settle for a FG when they are in the red zone.

Yeah. A real BIG ass whooping my the entire offense and offensive line on that drive. That's the Miami offense that was rolling all 1st half so when the sun came out, something weird happended in this game. Miami was finally stopped on Offense and the very next drive, Toledo scores the TD.

Question is now....1st is the sun going to be out for the rest of the day, need to check the forecast, haha. But who is going to score more on offense from here on out with Miami up 14 and the line closing at 12. I like the fact Miami looks a little banged up on defense but not sure how bad the injuries are for Miami as those 2 starters were on the bikes trying to keep warm and see if they can return. Right here it's Toledo's turn to move it on offense and they are moving again.....

And as the Defense excels, the Offense delivers. Toledo ends a 7 play, 81 yard drive with a TD and the score is now 21-14.

After a 21-0 start for Miami and the ease of moving the ball on offense all half, Toledo stops here and it could be a tie game as Miami is banged up on defense, their starting safety and tackle were sitting out the last drive, so need to hit the button...

After burnerZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ.

And the Rockets stopped Miami the very next set of downs after Miami was doing what they wanted on offense all 1st half. Momemtum starting to build for Toledo, they really need that score right now whether it be a TD or FG. Points are crucial to keep decreasing the deficit and keeping Miami's defense on the field for a while. The Hurricances were resting plenty on defense first half so it's time for this Rockets offense to take off. After bURNERZZZZZZZZ.

Rod  I saw him with my own 2 eyes. Hoosiers roll today.

kings   I swear it’s the truth. 

Doggie Day is here. Time to fire up some eggs and green. No green eggs and ham for me.

All games below noon EST.....

I like 2 dogs to start the day off right (covering with the points) and public all cheery and feeling good about their Ball State plays as a 15.5 point underdog to lowly and sluggish IU,who only beat FIU by 10 on the road week one and then won a close game over UVA last Saturday by 4 points at home, not covering the 5 points+. Lots of folks know about the Cardinals close loss to ND last week on the road and are thinking Ball State. Short term memory is never a winning formula for this business so all day long it’s the Hoosiers -15.5. No need to buy points because it will be a 21+ victory. At least that’s what I was told from this guy at 7 eleven tonight while I was taking advantage of their late night chili dog and slurpie combo with cheese fries. Guy seemed pretty loaded but kept yelling out football players names until he pointed at the IU flag and said “winners” “they cover the 15.5 tomorrow.

IU -15.5....

Give me a WHo WHo Hoooooosiers!!!  

Toledo +12... 

Rockets will score a lot on Miami’s pass defense and put pressure on Miami to keep scoring points through the air. Points galore.

Troy +10.....One of my favs in a while.......introducing the Men of Troy  against a desperate Nebraska team with several injuries and banged up players after their season started out with a loss at home. Most think bounce back game here against “wait, who’s in town playing the Cornhuskers. Troy..is that the first name or last? Oh they will be just what the doctor ordered for the boys right now after that bad start last week”. Sorry not going to happen, Troy covers a close game....

if I go 3-0, will see you back in this thread for round two and my plays for the afternoon games. Have 3 more doggie dancers.

GL to ya....  Make some moola 

nba-capper. Nice W, congrats man.

Wow, that sequence of events that just occurred made the blood start flowing a little faster for me and I am sure many other Oakland backers. From GB driving right down the field with ease and thinking they were at least getting a field goal to the "almost" interception by Oakland on 3rd down which would have been an easy TD and then onto 4th down and the Packers punting only 27 yards, giving Da Raiders good field position. Really could use a long drive with TD now.

I am surprised the silver and black didn't control more of the 1st half since books really made some decent movement against all those MAJORITY picks from Packers Backers. I played Raiders ml so no harm no foul for 1st half and rolled it all into Oakland -2.5 2nd half. Yeah mon. Let's get these 2 dimes.

GL nba-capper 

Oh yeah, well I am at 100% of my wagers* so 80% just OK to me (*over last 2 wagers). For the 1,067 wagers before those 2 recent winners, I am 32% winner.  I must note that the 32% of winners were plays I made to myself in my head so they really don't count for bankroll and I only have other losing picks. Maybe I am 27% winners in my head because I get confused on who won sometimes and forget to check scores next day. I also like Vegas to smoke at blackjack tables for fun but no playing real money on table games. Just sports games because I lose slower and can't remember my losers which makes me feel like BIG winner. I only play table games from a distance and most times I can't tell if i win or lose money because I stand too far from table and can't see cards. plus they kick me out for staring at people and cheering from a distance. I am big winner last 2 times to Vegas and got many blackjacks from hallway near bathrooms at Wynn. But again, I don't play real money, just play money in my head against dealers and sometime I take money from other players and pretend to be dealer.

I hope I can get 6-7 runs out of Seattle and some solid home field pitching allows them to win this game. Gonzales also wants a little redemption for his team's recent 4-3 loss to Boyd and Detroit last week, even as a -144 ML favs. so I like Vegas backing Gonzales with this very high chalk. Seattle is one of my bigger plays this young MLB season so would like to have a few nice hits and cash out some decent crypto (love that word) currency if all goes well here. I am thinking $4-5k run if this one possibly can win and my winning streak stays alive over the next 2 days. My bets will remain stacked nice and tall if that's the case.

SEATTLE MARINERS ML -177  

(Took it late, right before 1st pitch - Mariners were as high as -188 earlier at some sharp books so a little drop at the end) 

GL to ya. 

Wager Type : Money Line
Wager Status : Pending

Pitchers : M. Boyd - L - Must Pitch / M. Gonzales - L - Must Pitch

I think the books would be exposing themselves to some pretty good sized middles on this play if they put it out too high for 2nd half. Right now, higher majority were on Over for game and moved line up to 152.5 from 150 so the fact they were offering up 168 or so 1st half - 152 = 16 point middle opportunity on this one. I think it will carry well into the 80's for both teams so 165 is solid in my thinking here. GL to ya.

Like this one to end up over 165 points as I like the flow and feel there will be much better FG percentage second half minus some of the sloppy turnovers. Had been tracking 1st half in-game Over/Under line and the books even had this line as high as 168 at one point. Then it pretty much stayed close to 164-165 the rest of the 1st half until the very end. Now you are getting a little better with the 160 total, as 79 points were scored 1st half.

2nd Half Over 81 points USC/WKU 

GL to ya.