dubsonly

YTD:10-4-1

Quick word on last night’s game: I am usually the last person to blame a loss on the refs or “the nba being rigged”, but the OKC game last night was ridiculous. Besides the fact that the ejected Melo for absolutely nothing, Portland got the calls ALL GAME. Zero doubt in my mind that we win that one if Melo doesn’t get ejected. Only reason I regret that wager is because it losses. I’d still make it 10 times out of 10. But anyways, on to the next one. 

PHO/BKN u 235

Last meeting’s total was 236, but I don’t see them getting the same offensive production this time around. Brooklyn is healthy in the post again and I think that will improve inside defense tremendously. Will obviously be a fast paced game so I expect it to go well over 200, but it’s gonna take 30 point games from both Booker and D’Angelo to get there. 

LETS GET THIS MONEY

YTD:10-3-1

OKC ML -130

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YTD:10-3-0

SAC +9

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Correction:

Last pick is actually TOR +1.5

even better 

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TOR -1.5

Utah doesn’t have the offensive firepower to keep up with Raps. Toronto bigs are finally healthy and the team is ready to rack up wins. Ibaka and Jonas will be huge in containing Gobert. 

LETS GET THIS MONEY

OKC -2 1Q

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YTD: 8-2-0

OKC -6.5

Boston has played to cupcakes in a row(yes, spurs are a joke right now) and they won’t be ready for OKC’s starting 5. Terrible matchups for Boston as well. Russ to neutralize Kyrie. Tatum has to guard PG13. Horford, who has been starting at the 4, somehow has to keep up with Melo around the perimeter. OKC could run away with it early. 

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YTD: 7-2-0

OKC -1.5

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YTD: 6-2-0

GS -6

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That’s brutal lol that Nuggets pick should have been a win. All you needed was 5/20 behind the three point line from a good shooting team. Keep your head up we’ll get em today. 

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YTD: 5-2

NYK -2

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BOS +4.5

LAC +2

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YTD: 2-2

DAL +8

    Dallas got their first win of the season against the Grizz last night, and did so by a solid 9 points. The matchup goes to Memphis tonight, but I am not sure that is enough to swing the result 17 points. Dallas, like last year, is taking some time getting in the groove of things, but are not nearly as bad as they initially looked. Memphis offense is decent at best, and it will be very difficult for them to pull away and win by double digits. Grizz win in a close one but Dallas covers. 

LETS GET THIS MONEY 

Initially I loved LAC tonight. In my opinion, they are actually a better team than they were last year, despite losing CP3 and Crawford. I will have my money on them often this season. However, after looking into Portland, I am not so confident. Portland is one of the best shooting teams in the league, but are coming off of an off shooting night. When dealing with numbers and statistics, it is important to remember the universal tendency to regress towards the mean. In other words, expect Portland to shoot the lights out pretty soon. Even if tonight is not the night Portland bounces back, I already expected the game to be close thanks to Portland’s improved D and LAC’s lack of a playmaker in the second unit due to Milos’ injury. I would stay away, but gun to my head, still taking Clips and the points. 

DAL +4 (bought a half)

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Great call, leaning that way as well. 

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YTD: 1-1-0

DEN -1.5

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LAC -4.5

IND TT Under 104.5

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I’m with you  BOL 

LETS GET THIS MONEY 

Jazz are gonna be a huge disappointment this year led by an overrated Rudy Gobert. They lost their core basically in George hill and Gordon. They will have little to no offense. No play for me