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Guys. I am going to take a vacation. I have seen these weeks before where nothing goes right. I am going to take a week off and relax. Sometimes you just need to unplug. Maybe take the wife to Montreal for a few days before the kids get home for the holidays.
Sorry for the disappointment. It's been a rough season thus far. I will be back eventually. Wish you guys all the best.
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GeneralSharp | 1204 |
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What the hell is going on in the NHL?
9-2 Nashville? 2-0 Dallas, than implode and are down 4-2... Barfalo dusts the Sharks again... 2-3 so far, with a Anaheim win (up 1-0 so far) will break even on singles but this season is wacky.
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GeneralSharp | 1204 |
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*Correction, 7 plays. 6 singles, 1 parlay
Good night gents.
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GeneralSharp | 1204 |
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Good night going 4-2. What the hell happened to NO in the 4th?! DAL -3.5 1.93 (-107) - WIN $193 ORL +4 1.96 (-104) - WIN $196 BOS +2 1.94 (-106) - LOSE $100 SAS -16.5 1.95 (-105) - WIN $195 NO +3 1.97 (-107) - LOSE $100 CHI +6 1.90 (-110) - WIN $190 Overall cost of bets: $600 Overall winnings: $774 Overall profit: +$174, +1.74 units 2014-2015 NBA Single Bet Spread Record 31W - 25L, 55.4% Starting Bankroll: $10,000 Current Bankroll: $10,259 Total Profit in $: +$259 Total Profit in Units: +2.59
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GeneralSharp | 106 |
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No plays Monday. Did go 4-2 in NBA, so doing ok there. Thread is: https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101988405&page=1 Re-worked NHL model and made some changes. Back tested with good results. 6 plays. 5 singles and 1 parlay. Flat bet $100 each. Good luck guys. STL ML 1.98 (-102) SJ PL -1.5 2.32 (+132) PIT ML 1.89 (-111) NAS@TOR OVER 5.5 2.11 (+111) DAL PL -1.5 2.77 (+177) ANA ML 1.85 (-117) Parlay: SJ PL 2.32 (+132) DAL PL -1.5 2.77 (+177) ANA ML 1.85 (-117) LAK ML 1.55 (-182) 17.71:1, +1671, Bet $100 to win $1771, $1671 profit |
GeneralSharp | 1204 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Learnersrealm: It's like your baseball season which started late and died. Stick to few SU's or you will crash and burn. Hey disgruntled loser. First off, I don't care what you think. I have read over your posts and see just how much of a loser you are. You like to go into peoples threads and attack them. It's too bad your life is so pathetic that's all you do. I see you have posted many losers. It's all over your posts and covers space record. No wonder you are so miserable. Your life is so empty and you are a broke loser. I pity you. If you find comfort coming in here, and you feel the need to attack me to distract you from your insecurities and shy away from your pathetic life, well...you can find refuge here. Welcome loser.
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GeneralSharp | 1204 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Learnersrealm: Getting SU's right is the key. Parlays are Vegas heaven. The fact you even suggested parlays to entice those geared for action is negligent and you should know that. People are going to do what they are going to do. I never encouraged people to bet parlays. I merely provided parlay picks as requested. I encourage people again and again to practice bankroll management. If you read over the thread, you will see I have said this many times and to even reduce the size of bet on the parlay. I have 15 parlay bets in this thread and 202 singles bets. It's pretty obvious that encourage people to bet singles. You should know that.
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GeneralSharp | 1204 |
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Quote Originally Posted by puckluck61: I'm sorry man... I've been keeping an eye on your proceedings and Its clear that you don't even know what "expected value" is. What is your expected value? How many parlays are you in reality going to hit? How many SU wins? Are you expecting to hit 60+% or 55+%? Beacuse the Ducks are playing the Panthers in no way is that automatically a +EV play. Advice lay off the puck Iine plays and worry about getting some SU wins going for you first. And ditch the parlays all together. GL This is all relative. We all have our own models, systems, betting methods. I don't believe one is better than the other. You may believe yours is +EV and mine is not. That's ok. I will be the first to admit even my betting methods are not the best they could be. However, what I do works. It works good enough for me. I win profit. I make enough money each year to support my current lifestyle. Everything could be more efficient. We should all strive to squeeze out every last bit of EV from a betting situation. I don't because I don't need to. I am happy winning what I win. Not this year, but overall each year. I expect there will be bad months, or even a bad year. If you strive to make as much money as you can, so you can have more money than you need, then all the power to you. Last night I believed the Ducks PL was a good bet. Not the ml, not the regulation bet. The puck line at +150. Perry was back. The team was healthier. They were rested, but... they laid an egg. It happens. I highly doubt anyone thought the Florida panthers, a much inferior team, coming off a east coast to west coast flight, were going to destroy the Ducks. It happens. That is sports. All the best to you. I will continue to do what I do and at the end of the season only than will I consider it a victory or defeat. Not over a 1 month sample size. |
GeneralSharp | 1204 |
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Today's Plays: Monday November 17th, 2014 - All lines are from Pinnacle Sports at the time of post.
6 plays. As always, flat bet 1 unit each. Good luck. DAL -3.5 1.93 (-107) ORL +4 1.96 (-104) BOS +2 1.94 (-106) SAS -16.5 1.95 (-105) NO +3 1.97 (-107) CHI +6 1.90 (-110) |
GeneralSharp | 106 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Dawgmashers: Houston game hurt get em back tonight Yeah was a tough loss. Few plays already this season losing last second to a meaningless foul. Not much we can do.
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GeneralSharp | 106 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Rushao: I searched on every page of this thread and i guess u didnt say the average that u did on last years in nba... u talked about the hours u spend preparing the games but i think u missed that. Can u say +/- ur average on nba in the last seasons? I gave win rates before and because I had a bad month in NHL and only made 3+ units profit in singles I got people crying and bitching. I am sure you are a good guy and not a troll but I am really tired of all the covers bs from degenerate. Listen, whatever I say, there is no way to prove it. Just watch the thread and the picks. After half a season you should be able to estimate a reasonable win rate.
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GeneralSharp | 106 |
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MIL +5 1,93 (-107) - WIN $193 HOU -5 1.92 (-108) - LOSE $100 LAL +8 1.93 (-107) - LOSE $100 Overall cost of bets: $300 Overall winnings: $193 Overall profit: -$107 2014-2015 NBA Single Bet Spread Record 27W - 24L, 52.9% Starting Bankroll: $10,000 Current Bankroll: $10,085 Total Profit in $: +$85 Total Profit in Units: +0.85
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GeneralSharp | 106 |
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2-4. Close on the MTL@DET game. Ducks... WPG@NAS UNDER 5 1.88 (-113) - LOSE $100 SJ ML 1.80 (-125) - WIN $180 DAL@CHI OVER 5.5 2.00 (+100) - WIN $200 MTL@DET OVER 5.5 2.31 (+131) - LOSE $100 ANA PL -1.5 2.52 (+152) - LOSE $100 ARI@EDM OVER 5.5 2.05 (+105) - LOSE $100 Parlay: 1 unit SJ ML 1.80 (-125) - WIN DAL@CHI OVER 5.5 2.00 (+100) - WIN ANA PL -1.5 2.52 (+152) - LOSE 9.07:1, +807, $100 to win $907, $807 profit - LOSE $100 Overall cost of bets: $600 Overall profit: $380 Overall profit: -$220, -2.20 units 2014-2015 NHL Season Single Record to Date: 88W - 109L Method: Flat betting Single picks 1 Unit ($100) Starting Bankroll: $10,000 Current Bankroll: $10,383 Total Single Bet Profit in $: +$383 Total Single Bet Profit in Units: +3.83 units Thus far in the 2014-2015 NHL season, overall Single bet profit is +3.83 Units, or $383 flat betting $100 per pick Parlay Record is 0W-15L, -$1500, -15.00 Units Strongest Play of the Day Record: 1W-1L, -$20, -0.20 Units Just one game tomorrow. I will be back Tuesday. I am going to go over the entire season so far and find out what is going on. 3.83 units profit thus far is not acceptable to me. Even though its been only 6 weeks, I should have far better results. Have a good night gentlemen. |
GeneralSharp | 1204 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Rushao: Hey general. I fallow ur nhl picks and i know ur goals for the season and ur past results in the last years and i would like to know if u have better results in nba or nhl? and whats is ur average units profit in the last years on nba? Read over the threads. I answered this many times.
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GeneralSharp | 106 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Rushao: General i couldnt understand also what u said about betting on certain picks u post here. Can u explain it better? -Every single bet, meaning singles (not parlays) posted here I personally bet -I don't bet every parlay posted -Every play I personally make isn't posted here, some days I post on the fly and I don't have time to log in on covers and tell everyone |
GeneralSharp | 1204 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Rack_Em1: This guy is a joke. He starts the thread claiming he's never had a losing season and begins posting plays. Any logical person would assume those are the ones he plays. Then when he starts losing he comes and says he doesn't take everything he posts. What a joke. You're life is a joke. You can't even read.
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GeneralSharp | 1204 |
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Today's Plays: Sunday Nov 16, 2014 - All lines are from Pinnacle Sports at the time of post.
3 plays. Good luck guys. MIL +5 1,93 (-107) HOU -5 1.92 (-108) LAL +8 1.93 (-107)
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GeneralSharp | 106 |
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Today's Plays: Sunday November 16th, 2014 - All lines are from Pinnacle Sports at the time of post
WPG@NAS UNDER 5 1.88 (-113) SJ ML 1.80 (-125) DAL@CHI OVER 5.5 2.00 (+100) MTL@DET OVER 5.5 2.31 (+131) ANA PL -1.5 2.52 (+152) ARI@EDM OVER 5.5 2.05 (+105) Parlay: 1 unit SJ ML 1.80 (-125) DAL@CHI OVER 5.5 2.00 (+100) ANA PL -1.5 2.52 (+152) 9.07:1, +807, $100 to win $907, $807 profit 6 plays, 1 parlay 7 units total. As always, flat bet $100 each. Good luck |
GeneralSharp | 1204 |
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*bad week, not weak tiring day...
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GeneralSharp | 1204 |
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Just to be clear, every pick I post here is a pick I would bet. I would never post plays I think are -EV. Some days I just can't get bets in time. Others I play actually more. Some days I will take a parlay. It all really depends on the flow. When I have a bad weak, I am in research mode. I look into why plays failed. I re-evaluate and try to optimize. If some internet loser comes in and calls me a losing player after 2 months of posting, he is an idiot. A 2 month sample size is a drop in the bucket. Any logical intelligent person would understand it is about the long run, it's about managing your money and betting +EV plays. And just for the record, I have posted a profit overall in NBA, MLB, and NHL singles despite this idiots claims. It may not be much yet, but at least I am not a losing player. There can be months of winning streaks, losing streaks, and voids breaking even. I am not here to provide picks to get people rich. I am here to talk to the betters, have some good constructive conversation, and give my advice. Will post NHL plays in 10 minutes. Sorry to cut it close but my wife hosted a baby shower and I had to run around picking up food and supplies all day.
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GeneralSharp | 1204 |
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