goheels420

Yesssss nice win fellas

Let's go midget Altuve  all we need is a single

One more run please

Thanks Hugh.  Your probably right I remember reading some of the exchanges with others

I don't use locals so hopefully my book doesn't get shut down by the feds

But you are debating mathematics with anecdotal perceptions.

You GAVE AWAY money today to "hedge" or "bet" or whatever you want to call it.  You lost value.  You did not get as much for your position as you should have.

It is like saying "I found a baseball card in my attic, and sold it for 100 bucks!!  It was worth 200, but I didnt know I had it so I ensured myself a profit and took the first offer."  YOU DIDNT GET WHAT YOUR POSITION WAS WORTH.

So I am glad for you, understand your excitement, and wish you the best.  But you did do a dumb thing by betting this parlay, you should have done it differently, and Arka is right.  You could have bet it in a different way, and made possibly 24K instead of 18K with the exact same risk.  You lowered your payout for no reason, essentially selling the 200 baseball card for 100 because you were happy with the 100 at that moment.

Vanzack your analogy does not make sense to me.  Maybe I am beign dense but until Man U won this afternoon I had a $40 wager (baseball card) that ended up being worth 21K but it could have been worth nothing if Man U did not win.  In my opinion a more applicable analogy would be if you told me you were offering me a baseball card that could be worth 21K or could be worth nothing and giving me the option of instead chosing to pick betwen two baseball cards that were worth either 18K or 5K. 

Sure I could have bet the parlay differently but at the time I put it in I was obviously not banking on it hitting.  After all it was a $40 play.  Given the circumstances and my 3K bankroll going in to today I feel like I made the right play to maximize value of my pending wager. 

Cheers.  Enjoying some 1792 to get the evening started

Thanks fellas.  Gonna try to keep the good karma going with a pretty homer public big chalk parlay

Phillies ML

Texas ML

Cleveland ML

St. Louis ML

Rockies ML

1K to win 8.2

Ark I don't understand your point.  Of couse there is tremendous value on geting Man U to win at -175 and having the line now at -300 but why would not I not wager my current bankroll to guarantee profit especially considering it was a $40 wager?

Locking in my lines at +375 and +575 now.  Thanks again for the feedback gentlemen. 

Oh how much more confident I would be if this were Real and Barcelona playing their home opener....La Liga lock out

Thank you everyone for your input much appreciated.  Manu Draw is now at +325 and Tott at +525.  Tot plus >.5/1 is up to +125.

I have decided to deposit 1K to my bankroll to have 3K to guarantee profit (i am not hedging or trying to cancel my bet i'm just trying to make an educated wager to make at least 5K.  Obviously rooting for Man U. 

Going to wager :2000 on the draw (win 6500, 5500 profit)

Going to wager 1000 on Tot (win 5250 profit 4250)

I know I could just put 3000 on Tot +.5/1 (to win 3750) and potentially take back half the bet if Man U wins by 1 but I am not that risk averse  

I fully understand that parlays are inherently a bad idea and maybe I should have gone with the 10 teamer and not the 11, but thats why I don't do this for a living. 

Do you guys think the line will continue steaming in Man U's favor till 3PM?  Getting greedy with the amazing price increase which helps me maximize value out of draw and Tott but scares the shit out of me because now I have to be prepared for a public bloodbath

Thanks again everyone for the advice and encouraging words. 

Thanks for the input Bake.  The degen in me wants to lay 2K on the tie to win 5K but then it's not really a hedge  What are your thoughts about the match tomorrow and the chance that Tott could win outright? 

My book only offers .5/1....Oddsmaker is not the best book for wagering on soccer unfortunately.