HossXXX

Why is the line only -150, with almost 78% or bets figured for WINN ML??

Shouldn't it be in the -200s

Just Goalies alone shows the mismatch. Talk me out of not taking WINN at decent odds

Lean- Utah/STL Over

A. SVECH- CAROLINA 3+

MATTHEWS- TOR 3+

TAVARES- TOR 2+

KONECNY- PHILLY 2+

GARLAND- SJS 2+

KYROU- STL 2+

FORSBURG- NASH 2+   JUICE OR PARLEY

JOSI- NASH 2+ JUICE OR PARLEY

These are all paying juice plays, I personally PAR/RR picks

Good Luck 

LA @ Tor- Under 6 * Plus Money* Buy up to 6.5 if you want to avoid the push

BOS @ COL- Over 6.5

Utah @ ANA- Under 6 *Plus Money* Buy up to 6.5 if you want to avoid push

* posted in another post, LA has went to OT in 2/3 games this season and 1 in preseason*

This may sound counter productive based on the Under, but bet as you wish

Good Luck

LA- 2 OT games out of 3 this season and 1 in preseason

When the word "experience" is used, does that mean post season, world series or years in the league??

Im posting this thread for insight and thoughts on: which teams are trying their damnest to make the playoffs, kill others hopes of making the playoffs, and teams that will be just laying down in the final days of the season.

NYM/ATL= When play resumes both these teams are going to be playing their hearts out.

MIL= do they have anything to play for besides keeping guys loose?? Don't see them getting a better seed

ARI- Should keep trying, based on not knowing how the NYM/ATL series will end

SD- See them playing the current series hard, but can they catch LAD

PHILLY- when do they quit and rest players???

NYY- keep playing to secure #1 seed

CLEV- Keep playing to try to get #1 seed

HOUSTON- When do they start to rest players??

BALT- Do they rest players if they win today??

DET- How hard will they play against CWS (next series)

KC- with win today do they rest?? See what MINN and SEA do

MINN/SEA- play hard till Sunday

Correct or input any thoughts or scenarios

Team with the most wins in base at this moment (90) has  a.604 win percentage

.591 (LAD), .580 (NYY), .577 (MIL), .573 (CLEV)- They all Lead Their divisions.

.567 (SD), .557 (ARI), .547 (KC), 

.544 (ATL) (NYM) and Houston who is leading their division

Point being, even the best teams loss 60+ games a year- majority of the listed teams are always favorites at a high percentage.

Meaning strategically, Underdogs can profit you a lot of money.

Chalk will cost you 

OUCH!!!!!!!!

KC- ANOTHER JUICED FAV- LOST

BOS- CANT WIN WITH 3 ERRORS AND GIVING UP 9 RUNS THAT EARLY IN A GAME (3-4 INNING)- WALKS, WALKS, ERRORS, ERRORS, 9 RUNS ON 9 HITS

PHILLY- CANT WIN, WHEN HARPER IS YOUR ONLY OFFENSE AND ONE OF THE TOP PITCHERS IN BASEBALL GIVES UP 9 HITS AND 4 RUNS IN 6 INNINGS

NYY- COLE GOT SLAUGHTERED 4 DINGERS

HOU- SCORED 5 IN THE FIRST AND NO RUNS AFTER??

LAA SHOWED OUT IN THE 4TH INNING (5 RUNS) TO KILL THE UNDER F5

WHAT A S*** DAY 

BASEBALL IS A STRANGE GAME

MIA @ KC: WINDS BLOWING OUT TO LEFT FIELD 10-20MPH, DONT THINK RAIN WIL BE A BIG FACTOR- BUT -200 IS STEEP: KC TT IS WORTH A LOOK OF KC RL

PHILLY @ DET: 2 STUD PITCHERS, I JUST THINK PHILLY ENDS UP WINNING AND AT -126- PHILLY ML @ -126

TOR @ BOS: WINDS BLOWING OUT TO RIGHT FIELD @5-10MPH/87 DEGREES- TEAMS JUST PLAYED ON 6/19 @ TORONTO, SAME PITCHERS, BOS WON 7-3 8YES BOSTON CAME BACK IN WON LAST NIGHT BUT ALSO GAVE UP 5 RUNS IN ONE INNING, 4 AFTER AN ERROR. BOS ML @ -124

OAK AT LAA: 2 DECENT PITCHERS/HOW MUCH DO YOU TRUST THE BULLPENS?? UNDER F5

NYY @ NYM: NICE WEATHER BLOWING OUT TO LEFT AT 10-15MPH/87 DEGREES, DO WE TRUST COLE?? 60 OR SO PITCH COUNT, OR DO WE SEE IN THE 70S, MAYBE 5 INNINGS. PETERSON SHOULD SEE 5-6 INNINGS- SO HOW ABOUT THE BULLPENS (NO DIAZ)! IM STTAYING AWAY BUT IF A GUN TO MY HEAD- NYY ML

COL @ HOU: TOO MUCH JUICE- SHOULD BE A NO-BRAINER, BUT COL HAS BEEN A DOG IN THESE BIG ODDS GAMES.

PROP BET: MAZUR (SD) OVER WALKS

GIVE ME: 

PHILL ML -126

BOS ML- 124

PHILLY/BOS  2 TEAMER +224

PHILLY/BOS/KC  3 TEAMER +386

PHILLY/BOS/KC/HOU 4 TEAMER +563

@packersbackers

 Just stop, passive/aggressive questions may work with some, but not with me. It is a counterpoint of your own perspective, regarding professional athletes are human beings, anything programmed can fail, including robots. Back to square-one, your the same guy talking about human beings, yet you use professions to "jab" at those, whom you view as lower than you. Pick one end of the spectrum, because your stance is horrible. You literally are giving posters ammunition to use against you. 

From a clinical standpoint, you are seeking attention. At this point I am giving you, exactly what you want, as are the other posters, your seeking a rebuttal war.

As my last post stated- The whole Dallas team was exposed- 1. Dak horrible numbers (1 professional athlete) 2. #4 Defense exposed (More professional Athletes) 3. Dallas Road Record (3-4) 7-0 @ Home

These are all facts, neither You nor I can change. You are arguing facts!

The flipping burger remark was not based on the poster, you were aiming at, but you referenced as an attempt at a insulting jab. Which seems like you take a monetary view at a certain career and flipping burgers are a low. Plenty of people have started flipping burgers as a career and now are extremely wealthy

Back to the point of the writeup- Professional athletes, should not have that "deer in headlights look" when down by 14. You exactly pointed out the subject of this write up, yet you are still against the grain, towards  the rest of the posters on this write-up

So, whos trolling?? You have a rebuttal response everyone on this post- You Vs Everyone

Dak, stunk it up last night and Dallas D was exposed AWAY from home, along with their road record, these are facts

@packersbackers

 Dallas ranks #4 on defense vs Bills #16 

Both teams played in the same weather

Situational? For Buff or Dallas? Why would Dallas not want to win

Other factors? James Cook, had more rushing yards than Dak had for passing/rushing yards combines, and his total yards were almost 2x that of Dak passing. 

31-10 with an effortless Td for Dallas, Buffalo didn't care about that TD

Dallas is 7-0 at home vs 3-4 on the road, you cant deviate the fact, they have problems on the road. Road wins, NYG/Charges/Panthers

And the "JAB" about flipping hamburgers, and want to speak about "REALITY"

True Covers Style!!

So tonight we have two teams battling it out, that put up big points last week. But, does this continue? These two teams putting up big numbers, is not consistent(Bears 18.8 PPG/ Wash 22.3) 41.3 AVG between the teams. 

We have the Bears currently sitting at O/U 19.5 Total Points- Based on the Common scoring increments of 3/7. It will take 3 TDs, 2 TDS/2FG or 1 TD/5 FG to complete the over for Team Total

Same goes for WASH. Your looking at 3+TD, 3TD/2FG, 2TD/4FG to reach their Team Total.

I feel this will be a run heavy game. Bears D is not up to par, and I feel WASH will get penetration on the Bears O-line, resulting in Fields running!!!!

On a predicted "run heavy" game and a WASH defense, that can keep CHI from moving the chains, unless its Fields. I do not see these teams putting up, 4/5 TDS combined.

Think a lot of betters will jump on last weeks numbers and predict a high scoring game.

I'm on the:

Under 44.5

Fields Over Rushing Yards (he will be forced to run)

Bears TT- Under 19.5

Good Luck

Dimensions

L-330, Center-392, R-330

Bush Stadium

L-336, Center-400, R-335

Now this game is being played indoors. How does that affect the distance of batted balls. To get the over, I believe dingers are a must

How is this total so high??

Steele had been solid

Wainwright, so/so

Yes, bullpens are horrible, but will they give up that many runs? STL has been relying on the long ball to score. CHC had been winning and putting up runs, but the team is better vs LHP ( most of their recent success) 

TOTAL O/U 13.5 your thoughts

6/9/2023

KC @ BALT- CUT AND DRY, KC IS A FADE FOR ME, BALT CAN PUT UP RUNS, @ HOME, WITH A DECENT PITCHER ON THE MOUND= ML/-1/-1.5 or O8.5 (if KC can put up 3 runs, i believe it hits, like a 6/7-3 game) *50% chance of rain*

MIA @ CWS- MIA IS A HIDDEN GEM AS OF LATELY (8-2 L10), THIS TEAM IS CLICKING. AND TODAY WE GET THEM AT PLUS MONEY, AGAINST A TEAM LIKE CWS= MIA ML/-1/-1.5, WITH FULL POTENTIAL OF A O8 IN A HITTERS PARK

CINCY @ STL- I DONT SEE HOW CINCY IS A +145 DOG??? (PUBLIC) STL RELIES ON THE HR BALL, WAYYYYY TO MUCH- GIVE ME THE PLUS MONEY! CINCY ML/-1

WAS @ ATL- ATL IS ATL, PUTTING UP RUNS! IM FADING THE OVER BASED ON, WASHINGTON BATS. -190 IS HUGE SO TAKE THE -1/-1.5/-2 LINES

*YOU WILL SEE I HAVE SEVERAL SQUARE NEGATIVE NUMBERS (-1/-2)- I DO THIS TO HELP THE ODDS, IF THEY WIN BY THAT EXACT NUMBER, I TAKE THE PUSH

GOOD LUCK

Raining in my area, leads to post. 5 plays, do as you wish

DET @ CLEV- got this line at 8.5, line has since went to 7.5- was comfortable with the UNDER 8.5, still would sprinkle some on the 7.5 Under. 

*Det has put up some runs during the last week, but i think that regresses today vs a decent pitcher, kid has pitched 11 innings, throwing 13K 3R/10Hits

OAK @ NYY- Huge Fav -200, Feel they need to win these games at home, while players are sidelined!

STL @ CHC- Stroman (CHC) is a great groundball pitcher, and STL just can find a groove (disregard 12 runs yesterday (3hr by Goldy)

CHW @ KC- Opening line was 9, now its 8.5- CHW has been on a roll, putting up runs. CHW TT, Over 8.5, or CHW ML

HOU @ LAA- Opening line was 8.5, now 9, neither team has been putting up runs- UNDER 9

Good luck! OVER/UNDER are risky, NOTE* I play all ML -1, to help with the juice (NYY/CHC/CHW)

@KevinSingNgo22

 Looking for insight.

I believe Balt. is throwing a BP game?

S.F. Giants- I think the Giants get the win here. These teams played a DHeader yesterday, BPs seen some use. Both teams are starting solid pitchers today. If both pitchers can last 6/7 innings, i feel this game goes under (Current 7 runs) would like to get it at U7.5... IF both pitchers dont last O5 innings, BP might make the Total a nailbitter. SF is a Under team and Mets have not been juggernauts yet. Two solid pitchers, that know they have to pitch deep. However, SF is a much more patient team at the plate (maybe increase Bassitt Pitch Count).

LEAN- S.F. ML or U7.5

TOR- I think TOR gets the win here, the over is set at 9.5. Hitters field, hitter teams, 2 pitches that have not pitched that well this season, BOS B.P. that pitched 5 innings last night...The Over looks tempting, Im hoping BERRIOS can redeem, from his first 2 starts.

LEAN- TOR ML/ Over 9.5 (These seems too simple (so beware), the starters alone, are avg. close to an 8 ERA)

SEA- Bluntly, I have been making money all season and end the of last season, with this team. This team is an under the radar team, they do not get the Public view, like the KNOWN teams. This keeps the ML at reasonable odds *RISING AS I TYPE*.

LEAN- SEA ML/RL

GOOD LUCK!

S.F. Giants- I think the Giants get the win here. These teams played a DHeader yesterday, BPs seen some use. Both teams are starting solid pitchers today. If both pitchers can last 6/7 innings, i feel this game goes under (Current 7 runs) would like to get it at U7.5... IF both pitchers dont last O5 innings, BP might make the Total a nailbitter. SF is a Under team and Mets have not been juggernauts yet. Two solid pitchers, that know they have to pitch deep. However, SF is a much more patient team at the plate (maybe increase Bassitt Pitch Count).

LEAN- S.F. ML or U7.5

TOR- I think TOR gets the win here, the over is set at 9.5. Hitters field, hitter teams, 2 pitches that have not pitched that well this season, BOS B.P. that pitched 5 innings last night...The Over looks tempting, Im hoping BERRIOS can redeem, from his first 2 starts.

LEAN- TOR ML/ Over 9.5 (These seems too simple (so beware), the starters alone, are avg. close to an 8 ERA)

SEA- Bluntly, I have been making money all season and end the of last season, with this team. This team is an under the radar team, they do not get the Public view, like the KNOWN teams. This keeps the ML at reasonable odds *RISING AS I TYPE*.

LEAN- SEA ML/RL

GOOD LUCK!