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Quote Originally Posted by maika: Some might come here and auto bet your pick after reading your reasoning. But it ignores half of the game story. Luckily I have you to tell him the other side of the story. record: 1-1-0 balance: -15 units
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jaietxeap | 14 |
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just 8 games played. take a look to the past season stats:
with Islanders, just .881 saves percentage and .918 with the sabres. about GAA, 2.94 and 2.99 I am not worried about Neuvirth posting a shutout here
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jaietxeap | 14 |
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by the way, I forgot to say that both teams will be with their backup goalie. Berra will start for Colorado while Neuvirth will start for the Flyers
Good luck! |
jaietxeap | 14 |
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Anaheim is not over but I wanted to share with you this bet. I already took it so ... why not
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jaietxeap | 14 |
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Philadelphia Flyers vs Colorado Avalanche
I talked previous times about Colorado and Philadelphia. I think that both are great teams offensively but not that much deffensively. When you have players like Voracek, Giroud, Simmonds, Tanguay, Iginla, McKinnon... Flyers' offense was slept so far this season but we saw how they play, a very agressive team with big names in front that should finish the season with a lot of points. So far, the numbers are not impressive with just 28 goals scored but ... I trust them. Defensively as I said previously, we have here a non reliable team and that should help for the over. The past year the Flyers were one of the best teams playing powerplay and I think they have one of the best powerplay unit in the league so Colorado should be careful with the powerplay situations. Colorado has been one of the best team for the overs, averageing 5.5 goals per match. Their defense is not good at all, 42 goals against and they allowed 3 goals or more 9 times in 14 matches. Offensively, they always be there because they have potential to score, thats for sure. Their last two matchups finished with 7 goals and I am expecting something like that. Both teams know how to score and their defenses are shaky so I like this over.
Over 5.5 goals @2.24 (pinnacle) |
jaietxeap | 14 |
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Anaheim Ducks vs Arizona Coyotes
We already know that Smith is not going to be in the Coyotes' goalie, and that is perfect for me because I am taking the Ducks. For me, one of the best things that Arizona had so far this season was Smith and he is not playing so ... Arizona is a team that probably dissapears in few years. The franchise was close to be moved the past year and I think that is just about time. They were the worst team in the league with Buffalo the past season and I am expecting something like that for this year. Anyway, they started in a better way the season but I dont expect them playing at this level for the rest of the year. Anaheim with a lot of problems lately because they are unable to score goals. Getzlaf is still out and that is not good for them, but I really think that the team should wake up sooner or later because we are talking about one of the best rosters in the league. After a slow start, the Ducks seems to be back on track with 4 wins in a row while the Coyotes just won 1 of their last 4. The things are getting normal again. For me this should be for Anaheim but with their problems to score goals I like to take the ML instead the regular time win. Anaheim ML @1.53 (5dimes) Again, 100 units risked and this time to win 53. Good luck!
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jaietxeap | 14 |
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lucky way to win the RL
Lets put the numbers: jaietxeap NHL record: 1-0-0 +85 units (100 units per bet)
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jaietxeap | 14 |
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They are weaker, not a team to be considered a top one. At least I see it that way.
About Chicago scoring, I think that is not the problem since they scored 4 goals in 3 of their last 4 matches. At the beginning of the season they were a little bit slept in this aspect but now I think the problems scoring are over. Anyway, Keith is a big part of the offense even knowing that he is a defenseman ... Good luck mate
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jaietxeap | 14 |
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The Blackhawks striked first with two goals. The first one was just after the puck was dropped. Go Chicago!
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jaietxeap | 14 |
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Lets open a for my NHL picks:
Chicago Blackhawks vs Edmonton Oilers Chicago playing at home and with Crawford on net. I cannot imagine a better spot to take the Blackhawks than this one. Hossa is back for the home side but with the absence of Duncan Keith, the problems with the injuries are not over for them. Chicago is not having problems to score but their defense is not playing a his best level. Anyway, with them playing at home and with Crawford on net, facing a weak team like the Oilers ... I dont expect too many problems in this aspect. Connor McDavid broke his clavicle and now the Oilers are without their new star. That will be a big problem for them because he was being with Hall the best performer in their offense. The Oilers are a very young team with a big gap between the offense and the defense. Offensively they are very dangerous with very talented kids, but McDavis' absence will be hard to overcome after all the weight that this roster was putting on his shoulders. Deffensively, they suck. We have a team like Chicago that uses to have the puck a lot of time, playing against one of the weakest defenses in the league and knowing that the best kind in the Oilers franchise will be out ... I expect an easy match for the Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks to win in regulation @1.85 (pinnacle) You can take the ML @1.56 (5dimes) but I think that Chicago shouldnt have problems to win in regulation. It is your choice. I would take the -1.5 too, @2.62 (5dimes) Anyway, my picks is Chicago to win in regulation |
jaietxeap | 14 |
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well, over covered guys. lets see if the Grizzlies can give us another win tonight
Go Memphis!
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jaietxeap | 4 |
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I want to share another pick with you but I dont want to open a new thread so here you have:
Orlando Magic vs Philadelphia 76ers Nikola Vucevic is out for this match, confirmed already, so the biggest weapon that the Sixers have, their game in the paint, will have an easier matchup today without Vucevic. Orlando is playing great, their shooters are hitting shots from everywhere and their pace is a little bit higher comparing with previous year. Philadelphia is a young team, and that usually means that they love to run. They have good shoters but sometimes they can handle the pressure. We can see that in their first halves that are always better than the second ones because they are playing pressure free. When the game is on the line, they always fail. I think that we are going to see a speedy first half with both teams shooting well and scoring, Orlando from beyond the arch and with mid range shots while the 76ers should take advantage in the paint with Okafor and Noel. Very low line when we saw both teams scoring this season better than previous years so, I like the over. Over 191 @1.95 (5dimes)
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jaietxeap | 4 |
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Marc Gasol (neck) will play on Saturday against the Jazz. Gasol still isn't 100 percent, but the Grizzlies haven't been playing well and really need a win tonight against a solid Jazz team. Gasol produced 15 points with five boards, three assists and two blocks in his previous outing, so his owners can comfortably activate him in lineups.
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jaietxeap | 4 |
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Memphis Grizzlies vs ?Utah Jazz ?The bookies are taking in consideration a lot of things here but I think that the most important one is that the Grizzlies didnt play well so far this season. I rate the Grizzlies as one of the 8 best teams in the league and for me Utah is not even close so this is a no brainer for me, lets take Memphis. We have here two of the best team deffensively in the league, probably the best two. Utah has Gobbert and Favors in their frouncourt while the Grizzlies have Marc Gasol and Randolph. Gasol is probable and I expect him playing. I cannot imagine Memphis playing in Utah without Marc knowing that Utah have a very powerful frontcourt. In the Jazz side, they are with Favors questionable. He has flu and in their last match he left the court in the second half to not play again. He should be playing but still not at his 100% Besides these two frontcourts, we have Hayward as the main weapon for the Jazz and Conley for Memphis. Hayward had great numbers in previous matchups against the Grizzlies and it is for sure the player to watch over. I really think that Allen and Green could stop Hayward and if they do that, Utah is in troubles. The biggest advantage that Memphis has over Utah is the depth in their roster. While Utah has Neto, Burks, Burke and Hood as "the other guys", Memphis has Allen, Lee, Barnes, Green, Wright, Udrih or even Carter. For me there is a big gap between both rosters in their favour (Memphis). I think that Memphis will take this one. You can take the ML or the short spread, but both should be good imo. Btw, their last meetings played in Utah were won by the Grizzlies, and they have almost the same roster than then. Memphis to win @2.20 (5dimes) Memphis +2.5 @1.91 (pinnacle) |
jaietxeap | 4 |
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and Lakers won. ML won and of course, the spread covered
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jaietxeap | 9 |
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awful start but now the Lakers are leading by 5 at HT
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jaietxeap | 9 |
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thanks guys!
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jaietxeap | 9 |
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good luck for us
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jaietxeap | 9 |
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Nets and Lakers are two of the worst teams in the league, but I see the Lakers as the team with a better near future. It is true that the Nets had a harder schedule so far but we saw nothing coming from them in all those matches. Nets plays at home but I was in NY watching them the past year and the ambient is very cold, distant. I do not think that the Nets playing at home improve their performance and thats why I dont care too much about the fact that they are playing at home. 5 losses and no wins so far this season with a tough schedule as I said before. Chicago and Milwaukee at home (they lost by 23 points combined), Atlanta Spurs and Memphis playing away (lost by 51 points combined). We have a very old team in Brooklyn where Joe Johnson is the superstar (let me laugh a little bit), Brook Lopez their only reliable player, Thadeus Young a very irregular player, Bogdanovic a very overated player (the same for Johnson and Young by the way) and the rest of them are pure trash. I dont like how they play and they lost their PG from the past year, Deron WIlliams, that was one of the few positive things that they had. One of the teams that plays worse in the league. Defensively a disaster and offensively a team full of shooters that is not the same that scorers. The biggest hope for the Nets is Lopez. I always say the same because I really think that. The problem here is that the Lakers has Hibbert that for me is deffensively good enough to stop Lopez a little bit. Of course the problem with Hibbert are always the personal fouls, but if he has not problems with that, I think that the Nets are in big problems because he can stop Lopez. Lakers 0 wins so far, the same than the Nets, with 4 losses. Dallas, Denver and Minnesota at home and Sacramento playing away. Their schedule was not that hard to be 0-4 but they are still winless. At least they fought in some of them, but they need to improve their game to be at least a little bit more competitive. Lakers with Kobe that tries to be the superstar that once was. I think that he still has basketball in his hands but he has to pass more the ball and that his not easy for him to understand. Hibbert, Kobe, Lou Williams Nick Young or Brandon Bass put the experience on the pitch, but they have very talented youngsters like DeAngelo Russel, Jordan Clarckson or Julius Randle. If you put everything together, you have a team that could be in the middle of the table but somehow it doesnt work like that. Kobe cant accept his new role, they have too many shooters and sometimes they need 3 balls at the same time to be happy with all of them shooting, Hibbert is not working ... Anyway, that should change with more games played and I rate them as a better team than the Nets. Take Lakers +3.5 @2.02 (SBO). Good luck!!! |
jaietxeap | 9 |
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easy money. tomorrow one more. see you!
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jaietxeap | 7 |
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