JodyJo

haha, no. Los them all yesterday. 1st day was developing the way they were going  be capped. After that I decided to fade what system said. That worked until yesterday.

3-2 last night. If all plays would have been faded what the #s say then ytd would be 8-3. Below are todays actual plays.

Magic -1.5

Pistons -1.5

Raptors +3

Bucks -4

Nets +12

Pelicans +3.5

So if you played those you would have went 1-5. So going to take that small sample size, cap the same way but fade the plays. Below are tonights plays.

Wizards -2.5

Hawks - 2.5

Grizzlies -2.5

Clippers -7

Lakers +17

Trying a new way to cap games. I haven't been able to do any back testing but here are tonights plays. Thoughts if these should be played or should fade them?

Kings +4

Knicks +5

T-wolves -7.5

Pistons -2.5

Suns +9

Thunder +3.5

I'm staying away from this one today, but my lean towards the Panthers. I see the Panthers getting their first loss of the season on turkey day against the Cowboys. The boys find ways to win on thanksgiving no matter how bad they are, they are in must win situation every week, and should have Romo back given that Suh doesnt knock him out today.

Carolina is outstanding against the pass and leads the nfl in picks. Cousins is a completly different qb on the road and most likely will throw a couple today. Carolina is only so so against the run so Washington could get a couple tds today as long as they dont abort the run early.

On the other side Washington is aweful at stopping the run and the panthers can run on anybody. Washington are going to have a tough time with Cam as well bc of his running ability. DT T. Knighton is listed as questionable as well for the skins. Big guy in the middle.

Saints have actually done better away from the Superdome. Both teams are in need of a victory. I think it will be close either way.

side note: Sean Payton is 1-3 against the Redskins

Several things to look at here.

(1) Most of the Saints firepower on offense have come from passing. Though the skins haven't had the pass rush they still rank 10th in pass defense. They also have been forcing more turnovers recently.

(2) The Saints are terrible at stopping the run. Skins have been terrible at running the ball LATELY, but still have 2 great backs in A-Train Morris and rookie Jones. Also, the teams that have stopped Washington's ground game as of late are ranked 1,2, and 3 in rush defense. I look for 150 + yards on the ground,

(3) Saints have been bad at stopping the pass as well. Cousins hasn't been aweful and has some good targets if they can actually catch the ball. Washington could gather 400-500 yards of total offense today

I've been a diehard Skins fan my entire life and let me tell you its been tough. I have a rule where I never bet on the team I like, or against them (though I'd prob have my pockets lined betting against them).

However, my thoughts on this game. The skins should continue to have success on the ground and I feel like on the other side of the ball they should be able to contain ATLs run game. Having no true TE to throw to is going to cause Cousins to take a lot of sacks with an O-line that is not so great at pass protection (improved) but not great.

Washington is going to lose big time in the secondary. We have no one that can match up with any of ATLs receivers. Breeland may make some plays but he is going to get burnt more often than not. I see Matt Ryan having a field day on us.

Our special teams are real special. Will not surprise me if we give up another kickoff and/or punt return for a TD. Starting field position has been terrible for us over the last 2 years.

I am not overly concerned with us being on the road. Quite frankly because we seem to suck no matter where we play. However, ATL at home is way better than ATL on the road.

For any Skins backers I will say on the positive side that we do rarely seem to lose by more than 1 score against good teams. We just always lose. Getting a TD here may be just enough. I wouldn't bet big on it though. We seem to get blown out by teams that are just so-so.

Who has ATL beat? Terrible philly, beat up dallas, qbless Houston, and a game handed to them by the G-men.

80% of public on ATL and line going the other way...

ATL in New Orleans next week for a primetime game...

All cfb season I have been following a system for totals that I worked on. I have not posted any picks but my YTD record is 24-8. I don't care about you guys who just want to talk shit bc I haven't posted any but would like some of yalls thoughts.

YTD 24-8

Before last week the record was 18-2

Last 2weeks record has been 6-6

I have done a lot of systems over the years and it always seems systems are only good for just a few weeks at best. Should I continue to play the system or should I start fading the system?

I have looked at way of making it better but over the last 2weeks I don't see no common ground to gain anything.

Thoughts?