JSmolls1

JSmolls1
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Posts: 335
Member Since: April 2007
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replied to How does Vegas do it???
in College Basketball
I think the total is originally calculated from the scoring avg. of each team plus what the opponents avg. points they give up divided.  Then the total moves based off of action placed.

For Ex: Team A points scored avg.80 points, Team B against avg.80
          Team B points scored avg. 80 points, Team A against avg.80

O/U would be set at 160 and move based off action.  That's my theory, but it is absurd how close it always is when it comes down to the wire.
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CaliPicks 22
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replied to Dalton or Manzeil???? I mean who is buying this shizzzzz
in NFL Betting
Big divisional game, Dalton sucks on the road.  I think it's CLE or no play.  Johnny 8ball shocks the world and the dawg pound wins on Sun.

GL
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Gavinnick 13
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replied to Sunday
in NFL Betting
AMD- I don't post often, but I've been keeping tabs on your posts for a while now.  Congrats on a phenomenal season so far by the way.  I appreciate all the work that you do and share with the Covers peeps. 

I'm in agreement with all your picks this week besides ATL.  Was hoping you could provide some insight on that one? 

I know the public perception is last week the falcons D can't stop a nose bleed, but that was on the road vs.a potent Pack offense and somehow kept up and they kept it close.  Pit on the other hand went into Cinci and took care of business.  Outside of that road win last wk all Pit has for a notable win on the road this yr is @ Car in wk 3 which is questionable at best. Is Pit usually sucking on the road your angle?  With Julio looking doubtful I don't like the birds chances.  This looks like the kind of game where whoever has the ball last wins.  Thoughts?

Cheers
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amd 97
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created a topic Dead Presidents-WK 10
in NFL Betting
YTD Posted Record: (0-0)

KC pk

PIT -3.5

NO -5

GL
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JSmolls1 2
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created a topic Fri MLB Action
in MLB Betting
YTD Posted Record: (41-36) (+3.6 units)
2013 Posted Record: (179-165) (+18.3 units)

Went 1-2 last time out.  

WAS (-110)
SEA RL (-110)

1 unit each. GL 


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JSmolls1 2
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created a topic Tues. MLB Action
in MLB Betting
YTD Posted Record: (40-34) (+4.8 units)
2013 Posted Record: (179-165) (+18.3 units)

Went 3-1 last time out.  

SF (-120)
MIA (-120)
TEX (even)

1 unit each. GL 
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JSmolls1 2
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replied to Thurs MLB Action
in MLB Betting
Adding:

MIN (+140)

1 unit. 
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JSmolls1 2
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created a topic Thurs MLB Action
in MLB Betting
YTD Posted Record: (37-33) (+2.8 units)
2013 Posted Record: (179-165) (+18.3 units)

Swept the board yesterday going 5-0.  

Day Plays:

CIN (-120)
STL (-140)
CLE (-130)

1 unit each. GL 
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JSmolls1 2
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replied to Wed MLB Action
in MLB Betting
Night Plays: 

CIN (even)
BAL (-110)
WAS (-120)
LAD RL (+150)

1 unit each. GL 
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JSmolls1 2
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created a topic Wed MLB Action
in MLB Betting
YTD Posted Record: (32-33) (-2.7 units)
2013 Posted Record: (179-165) (+18.3 units)

Took a few days off, went 4-2 last time out.

Day Play:

SF (even)

1 unit. GL 
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JSmolls1 2
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replied to Fri MLB Action
in MLB Betting
Night Plays:

WASH (-110)
NYY (-110)
SD (-110)
LAA (even)
MIN/KC Under 7.5 (-110)
SEA/MIA Under 7.5 (even)

1 unit each. GL
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JSmolls1 3
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created a topic Fri MLB Action
in MLB Betting
YTD Posted Record: (28-31) (-4.6 units)
2013 Posted Record: (179-165) (+18.3 units)

Split again yesterday going 1-1.  Tonight's leans so far are LAA, NYY, WAS, SD, and OAK RL. 

Day Play:

CHC (-110)

1 unit. GL  
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JSmolls1 3
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replied to Thurs MLB Action
in MLB Betting
Night Play:

KC/HOU under 7.5 (even)

1 unit. GL
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JSmolls1 2
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created a topic Thurs MLB Action
in MLB Betting
YTD Posted Record: (27-30) (-4.6 units)
2013 Posted Record: (179-165) (+18.3 units)

Split yesterday going 1-1. 

Day Play:

SEA (even)

1 unit. GL
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JSmolls1 2
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created a topic Wed MLB Action
in MLB Betting

YTD Posted Record: (26-29) (-4.5 units)
2013 Posted Record: (179-165) (+18.3 units)

Went 1-2 yesterday, have a couple day plays for today...

Day Plays:

CIN (-120)

TB (-110)

1 unit each. GL

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JSmolls1 1
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replied to Tues. MLB Action
in MLB Betting
Adding:

LAD/SF Over 8 (even)

1 unit. GL
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JSmolls1 6
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replied to Tues. MLB Action
in MLB Betting

Plays:

BOS (-140)

TEX RL (+140)

1 unit each. GL

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JSmolls1 6
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replied to Tues. MLB Action
in MLB Betting
Thank bud. You too
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JSmolls1 6
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created a topic Tues. MLB Action
in MLB Betting

YTD Posted Record: (25-27) (-3.5 units)
2013 Posted Record: (179-165) (+18.3 units)

Went 3-2 last night.  So far just two leans for tonight BOS and TEX.

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JSmolls1 6
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replied to Mon MLB Action
in MLB Betting
Adding:

ARI (-130)
COL (even)

1 unit each.
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JSmolls1 4
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