JUSTWINBABY61

53-45 -8.8

Eagles-4 x 3....This season, Jayden Daniels is 1-3 SU and 1-2-1 ATS vs. teams above .500 SU and 8-1 SU/7-2 ATS vs. teams below .500 SU – with his only loss coming vs. Cowboys.

A angle of the Commanders dropoff is their offensive coordinator, Kliff Kingsbury. Here is a history of his 2nd half collapses in his last few stops. At Texas Tech, the Cardinals and USC, he is 18-47 SU and 27-36-2 ATS in November on.

2023 USC: 3-5 SU, 2-6 ATS in Oct. on | 1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS in Nov. on.

2019-22 Cardinals: 10-25 SU, 13-20-2 ATS in Nov. on.

2013-18 Texas Tech: 17-33 SU, 22-27-1 ATS in Oct. on | 7-19 SU, 12-14 ATS in Nov. on.....I interpret that defenses late in the season have figured his offense out...

Jalen Hurts’ career, he is 26-24-1 ATS as a favorite, 14-6 ATS when his opponent is above .500 SU and 7-16-2 ATS when the team is below .500 SU.

The Eagles have dominated Washington lately. They are 12-3 SU in their last 15 meetings dating back to 2017, including 6-1 SU in their last seven trips to D.C.

This season, home underdogs are 35-48-3 ATS (42%). Over a full season, that would be the 2nd-least profitable mark for any season since 1990, behind just 2005.

On the other side, road favorites went 7-0 SU last week. They are now 14-1 SU over the last three weeks and 34-8 SU since Week 9.

Pittsburgh+7 x4.... This is a big motivation game for Pittsburgh, for starters being a 7.0 dog and leading the division is pretty humiliating, especially the fact that they owned the Ravens, Patrick Wayne who's the Ravens did not even offer a contract to is the linebacker for Pittsburgh that is having a great year and he is very motivated as well as the defense for him, so much that Tomlin is sending him out for the coin flip, Tomlin is a master motivator.... And he knows how to muddy up a game like this that is his forte....

1-2 -1.2

Ohio-6 -120 x2…I remember this bowl from years ago, the home team in this bowl faces directly into the blinding afternoon sun on the east side of the stadium, so Ohio players and coaches will be in the shade not facing the Sun ,Jacksonville State will be full sun right in their eyes...big disadvantage for J.S.

I agree,a 10-2 team in a shit bowl vs a 6-6 team, they think they deserve better...moral deflated.

48-39 +1.2

Dallas+4' x5.... I just don't get this, this spreads way off, the best team Cincinnati has won this year against is the Cleveland browns.... Dallas has beaten a good Washington team on the road , and beat Pittsburgh in Pennsylvania...The Cowboys lead the all-time series 10-4 and have one the last five(3 as underdog), and six of the last seven..... The Bengals have absolutely the worst defense I've seen this year.... They can load up points but Dallas has been running the ball and can eat up time and long drives, they average 5 yards of carry against the Giants and their last game against the Redskins the average 4.5 a carry... Bengals can't stop that, Dallas don't want to get into a shooting match here, now defense they've been getting after it, they suck the Giants 6 times, and pick them off once.... They sacked Daniels four times and I think we all know how evasive he is, and picked him off twice.... Cowboys are playing some defense, and they're going to run to ball tonight, there's a snowball chance in hell the Bengals are going to cover this game.... And I'm going money line too cuz I don't think they're going to win...

Dallas ML +201 x3....

@reg1979

 1st game back....

SF+6' x3... Michigan/Ohio state......This would not surprise me if the niners won this game..... I've been doing some reading in Buffalo and there's more talk about the storm and winning and locking the division then there is the 49ers, in other words I think they're overlooking them because of all the injury news..... Coming off the bye week, I think they might be fat and happy being so far up in the division....

49ers,one game out despite poor play, I think they bring it tonight,yes they have injuries BUT they still have Christian McCaffrey who I look for to play good tonight,also look for the team to rally around

Charvarius Ward who has been out weeks for losing his young daughter, I believe this will spark this team!

When SF is listed as an underdog in night games under Shanahan, they are 7-2 ATS. When the game is played in under 40

SF+6' x3... Michigan/Ohio state......This would not surprise me if the niners won this game..... I've been doing some reading in Buffalo and there's more talk about the storm and winning and locking the division then there is the 49ers, in other words I think they're overlooking them because of all the injury news..... Coming off the bye week, I think they might be fat and happy being so far up in the division....

49ers,one game out despite poor play, I think they bring it tonight,yes they have injuries BUT they still have Christian McCaffrey who I look for to play good tonight,also look for the team to rally around

Charvarius Ward who has been out weeks for losing his young daughter, I believe this will spark this team!

When SF is listed as an underdog in night games under Shanahan, they are 7-2 ATS. When the game is played in under 40

SF+6' x3... Michigan/Ohio state......This would not surprise me if the niners won this game..... I've been doing some reading in Buffalo and there's more talk about the storm and winning and locking the division then there is the 49ers, in other words I think they're overlooking them because of all the injury news..... Coming off the bye week, I think they might be fat and happy being so far up in the division....

49ers,one game out despite poor play, I think they bring it tonight,yes they have injuries BUT they still have Christian McCaffrey who I look for to play good tonight,also look for the team to rally around

Charvarius Ward who has been out weeks for losing his young daughter, I believe this will spark this team!

When SF is listed as an underdog in night games under Shanahan, they are 7-2 ATS. When the game is played in under 40

SF+6' x3... Michigan/Ohio state......This would not surprise me if the niners won this game..... I've been doing some reading in Buffalo and there's more talk about the storm and winning and locking the division then there is the 49ers, in other words I think they're overlooking them because of all the injury news..... Coming off the bye week, I think they might be fat and happy being so far up in the division....

49ers,one game out despite poor play, I think they bring it tonight,yes they have injuries BUT they still have Christian McCaffrey who I look for to play good tonight,also look for the team to rally around

Charvarius Ward who has been out weeks for losing his young daughter, I believe this will spark this team!

When SF is listed as an underdog in night games under Shanahan, they are 7-2 ATS. When the game is played in under 40

SF+6' x3... Michigan/Ohio state......This would not surprise me if the niners won this game..... I've been doing some reading in Buffalo and there's more talk about the storm and winning and locking the division then there is the 49ers, in other words I think they're overlooking them because of all the injury news..... Coming off the bye week, I think they might be fat and happy being so far up in the division....

49ers,one game out despite poor play, I think they bring it tonight,yes they have injuries BUT they still have Christian McCaffrey who I look for to play good tonight,also look for the team to rally around

Charvarius Ward who has been out weeks for losing his young daughter, I believe this will spark this team!

When SF is listed as an underdog in night games under Shanahan, they are 7-2 ATS. When the game is played in under 40

43-37 -5.6

Steelers +3 x4..... The Steelers had something like a mini bi, and they coming off the Cleveland loss they also practiced in pads for this game , NFL team gets a certain amount of practices in pads during the year per the contract...(. A more typical practice is just shorts and tops(helmets).) so they're going to bring their A game(Physical) and it's pretty much well known that they all know that they're underdogs here and that probably don't sit too well with them.... I've been underdog four times this year in won all of those games...... Bengals are missing will be without their second best defensive player Logan Wilson.... So we're going to have motivation covered and the Bengals are missing a key player on defense, now here's some fun facts...

Tomlin is 23-11 (68%) against the spread (ATS) in his career against the Bengals. That’s a good start.

Now, for the underdog trends.

Tomlin is 25-9-2 (74%) as an underdog against AFC North opposition.

Also, Week 5 and later, Tomlin’s Steelers are 49-20-1 (71%) ATS as an underdog and 42-28 straight-up. If you filter that ATS trend to just include divisional play, Tomlin is 23-5-1 (82%) and 8-1 when coming off a loss.

@CRRECORDS I'm gonna bet this game today, but it will not be based on "Built for cold weather" That certainly didn't work out in Cleveland last game...matter of fact i think it hurts them and that moon ball thing they had going....good luck! I may or may not be with ya...

36-32 -2.6

Dallas+7 x3.....c'mon, Houston is not elite...7 seems crazy as long as Dallas has not quit on the year, I don't think they quit on the year...Here is why im going dallas..
The team that delivers the most qb hits is 64-19 {77%} Houston does not pass block well, is #30 giving up 3.5 sacks a game, the last three games,they are yielding 4.7 sacks a game!!

They received 5 interceptions last game out and still lost the game....Before that they lost to the JETS! I can't lay 7 with a team like this...

Texans are off a home loss on SNF last week and back in primetime again. Teams coming off a home loss in primetime are just 14-37 SU when playing in primetime the next week since 2010.

Historically, the Texans franchise have been terrible in night games. They're 1-2 ATS in night games this year and 13-30-1 ATS since 2003.
What’s becoming a clear angle for Stroud. He’s 8-4 ATS as an underdog and 5-10 ATS as a favorite in his pro career

35-28 +10.3

Rams-1 -120 x 4 ..... I don't know why Miami is getting so much respect here, they don't beat winning teams, I think beat one last year in the cowboys...

Tua has faced eight teams at 50% win pct or higher in night games, he is 2-6 SU/ATS, losing six consecutive games SU.

When Tua is on the road vs. teams with a win pct of 50% or higher, he is 4-11 SU, he’s lost 8 consecutive games in that spot.

Overall, Tua has struggled overall in night games. He’s 3-9 ATS in his career and has lost five consecutive starts ATS in night games, including going 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS as an underdog.

?It’s been a bit since Tua won and covered a game, you have to go back to the day before Christmas of last year. He’s 1-6 SU/ATS in that span.

How do you tap the same leg twice give a TD?

Cowboys+6 -115 x5...

Dak’s career, he has played 24 games on extended rest during the season, and he is 18-6 ATS in those games, covering the spread by 5.9 PPG.

Dak has covered the spread in 6 consecutive games on extended rest and is 12-3 ATS in the spot since 2019, best mark in the NFL.

?Since 2003, the most profitable coach ATS on extended rest? Mike McCarthy at 38-23-3 ATS (62.3%). He was 25-18-3 ATS with the Packers and is 13-5 ATS with the Cowboys.

Dating back to Christmas of last year, Purdy is just 1-6 ATS vs. teams above .500 SU on the season, with his lone cover coming against the Seahawks on TNF this year.

?The 49ers are now 4-6 SU in games where McCaffrey gets fewer than 10 carries or doesn’t play. His teams (Panthers, Niners) are 21-32 SU when he either doesn’t play or has fewer than 10 carries.

In games McCaffrey has started for the 49ers, they have gone 26-6 SU and 19-13 ATS.

@BobbyMi

 Leans... Bears,Bills

@tboon

 He is out, certainly I'd like him in there, but the Bengals are pretty much in a must win situation and I expect more effort out of them than the Eagles coming off the Giants blowout...