Kaufee

@lik122 - Let's do it Lik

@Kapthat

@OO7CRUSHER

@Brooklyncapper - Good luck Robin

@sherriffics

@diondimucci - Appreciate it Dion

@FillyFlier16 - Yeah, looks to be steaming a bit. Best line I'm seeing now is -127. BOL to you too Filly

@JuiceCanseco - Thanks Juice! I didn't realize folks were looking for me. Hadn't logged on in two days. Let's get things moving again today

@Natty68

@Fuse

@CASHITNOW

Posted Record: 11-6 (+3.60 units)

What's happening friends!? I suffered a blown save and got walked off in my last play. Had to take a couple of days off after that. Hard losses are part of the game. It's important for me to not overreact to them. Now that I've flushed that one, I'll be backing the Detroit Tigers today. Below is a brief synopsis on why:

1) On paper, Nick Pivetta and Jack Flaherty look like comparable pitchers to start the year. However, 2025 is a small sample size. Dating back to last season, Flaherty's ability to limit hard contact, use a deep pitch mix, and consistently get ahead in the count, give him an advantage in overall effectiveness. While Pivetta's higher strikeout rate and lower walk rate are commendable, his susceptibility to hard contact and poor fluctuations in pitch effectiveness indicate he can be exploited. In addition, Flaherty's ground ball rate is right around league average at 45%. But, Pivetta is in the bottom 6th percentile, suggesting the warmer the weather gets, the more likely he is to give up the long ball. It's going to be almost 70 degrees at first pitch.

2) The injuries seem to finally be catching up with San Diego. Getting by without Jackson Merrill is one thing. However, they're now down Merrill, Cronenworth, Arraez, and a few other regulars. They're running out of next men up and the numbers are starting to prove it. On the season, they rank 4th in offensive efficiency. Although, in the last week (6 games), they sit at 17th. Conversely, the Tigers rank 13th on the season and 4th in the last week. The two offenses appear to be going in different directions.

3) It's also worth noting that the Padres are 12-1 when playing at Petco field. However, they're just 4-6 away from home. Detroit is also poor on the road at 5-7 and outstanding at home with a 9-2 record. 

In conclusion - Jack Flaherty's ability to limit hard contact and keep hitters off balance, combined with San Diego's injuries, give the Tigers a significant edge over Nick Pivetta and the Padres. San Diego's poor play on the road combined with Detroit's great play at home is icing on the cake.

I'm on the Tigers at -118. 

Cheers and bol

I thought about that exact thing Mr B. However, after looking at the numbers I think the momentum will carry over. I expect Sasaki to settle in and pitch well, and the offense still has more to prove without Ohtani

Posted Record: 11-5 (+4.60 units)

Yesterday didn't go as planned . What's ironic about my record is I've taken 3 favorites (-165, -133, and -158) and all 3 were L's. Other than that, I don't think I've laid more than -115. In fact, I don't believe I've lost on a dog at all. So, I'm gonna go back to the well today.

I'm on the Dodgers at +107.

I may play another game later. Will post in this thread if I do.

Cheers and BOL

The Reds aren’t supposed to be able to hit lefties. But looks like anyone can hit Povich. 

I might have to go back on vacation 

appreciate you all, thank you 

@garister - Thanks man, we were all over Southern California visiting friends and family. Had a great time  

Thanks guys, good to see you all 

Posted Record: 11-4 (+6.18)

Yo, what’s going down!? It’s time for Kaufee to get back in business. He was suffering from fomo on vacation.
Got one I really like tonight. 

I’m on Baltimore at -158. It’s also available at -1 (-129) for those that are price sensitive. 

Cheers and Bol to everyone

Thanks everyone  

See you soon 

Thank you KC. And thanks to everyone else for your comments too. I really do appreciate you all. 

Nothing jumping out at me on this small card, so gonna pass today. Also, I’m leaving town tomorrow for about a week, so won’t be posting till I return. You might want to tail KC, he looks to be heating up. Some others doing pretty well too. 

Whatever you play, I wish you the bol and I’ll see you in about a week. 

Cheers 

@lik122 

@lik122

@icemantbi

@kidd22

Appreciate it guys. You can literally hit 80% here and there’s always gonna be a bet lag douche bag to call you out on a loss

@bet-lag

Dude, what’s your problem? I went 17 for 19 in the playoffs last season and you were tailing the whole time. Also had a winning record in the regular season. What the fuck 

Man, that was a rough game. Like Drew said, you can’t come up empty that many times and expect to win. Onto the next one

@Kapthat

@lopez021130

@kidd22

@King-Muaj

@OO7CRUSHER

@Brooklyncapper

@wjf95

@chicubs09

@Jars

@FirefIy

@fer44

Appreciate you all, thank you!

@lik122  

@LAGameofInches - appreciate it LA

@JoeyLuda

@FelixFermin21

@Degenbeter

@Timealker - Well aware of the 90 suspension. But still think the market is more irrational than ever... and it's never been rational. Thanks Timealker. Cheers

Posted Record: 11-3 (+7.51 units)

How about the stock market today!? Holy shit, the Nasdaq is up almost 12%  Just insane! I love it, but it sure doesn't act like it used to. 

Anyway, what do you say we stack another W today. I've got Atlanta running their win streak to 2. 

I'm on the Braves at -133

Cheers and BOL

Wow!! Cheers all 

Thank you all for stopping by. Let’s get this