KeyElement

MLB Daily 2024 / ($1.00 is my unit, 100 units per play)

Record 26-32-10, -720.97, RoR -12.6%

7/12

As Admiral Farragut would have said “Damn the torpedoes, full speed ahead”

MY latest break has produced positive results. To track myself I have been playing King of Covers lately and if you check that I am at 12-4, +3700, and #319 of 3756 players, in the top 8.5%.

F5 Rockies +190, Gordon/Manaea

There are plenty of reasons to call this one a coin flip, regardless of how bad the Rockies (apparently) are and the Mets having a few advantages, none of them significant to the probability of winning a 5-inning matchup. Gordon’s loss to KC is not as bad as it would appear, on paper and to the naked eye, and Manaea’s career, as well as his current season, has definitely cooled. The righty/lefty matchup is to the Rockies favor.

 F5 Astros -155, Heaney/Brown

No secrets here, as the Astros hold all possible advantages that matter. An RoR of 64.5% is not luxurious but chances are better than 64.5% that the Astros win the first 5.

F5 Twins -145, Ryan/Harrison

Read prior analysis. Same day, same scenario, except that the Twins are the visitor. That is a much less important factor than bettors give it credit for, but it does keep the odds down a little, so we have an RoR of 69% instead of 64.5. OK by me.

BOL  

@PUSSYGALORE333

 More important yet is Return On Risk; that is why most guys on forums like this won't touch it. 

@IntenseOperator

"Detroit is cheating (I'm trying to fit in here)"

 Thanx, I needed that! 

I have lost 10 of my last 14 picks, fellas. BREAK TIME. 

I will be back, but don't know when. I have to prove myself to myself.

@JEG53, @IntenseOperator, 

@barronio

 The best bet is to not post the same damn thing seven times.

MLB Daily 2024 / ($1.00 is my unit, 100 units per play)

Record 26-31-10, -620.97, RoR -11.1%

7/05

F5 A’s +135, Suarez/Harris

If East Coast money has paid little or no attention to Harris and the A’s, well I guess that is up to them. That is where the bulk of the MLB wagering money comes from and there is a deep, deep respect for the A.L. East, often creating unsupportable odds. The matchup favors Harris, and bettors should also note the O’s are having some difficulties on offense lately. Automatic win at high odds? I don’t think so.

BOL  

Long story short, Tyler had a very good day, but Pivetta had one way over his head. 1-0 always hurts, but mom never said it would be easy.

@Ramanujan

 Me too! 

@IntenseOperator

 Nice day, and, btw, F5 is always listed pitchers whether the bettor likes it or not. Books insist (for their own protection of course).

@IntenseOperator

 Man, I don't know what part of the world you are in, but it is either way east of Arizona or you are an exceptionally early riser, like me,

MLB Daily 2024 / ($1.00 is my unit, 100 units per play)

Record 26-30-10, -520.97, RoR -9.5%

7/04 – Salute a Vet, and pray for those that gave the final measure. 

F5 Marlins +130, Pivetta/Tyler

Nick Pivetta has never been anything other than average and his career numbers indicate he could regress further. I wish I had more data on Kyle Tyler but thus far he shows promise. There is also the possibility that with a day game after a night game, and a trip to the Bronx on tap, the Sox could be a little disinterested or rest some starters. Tyler is an unfamiliar face to the Sox, and has a tendency to get hitters to pound the ball into the ground. I like my chances versus the 68% of the public backing Pivetta versus the 32% of us driving the line down. The RLM is a good indicator of who the money likes.

BOL   

MLB Daily 2024 / ($1.00 is my unit, 100 units per play)

Record 26-29-10, -420.97, RoR -7.8%

6/28

F5 Nationals +140, Parker/Eflin

There is a lot of “instinct” in my play tonight. Amen.

BOL  

@RebelTell2

 Probably so. Might feel better about the run line also.

It is probably an auto feed from a wire service. I think all the problems around here with the forums is Covers web host. They gotta kick some butt there.

You have a lot already. If you add two consider round robin x twos or threes. Much better chance of cashing!

@mdelvalle

 Good for you on that parlay last night 

MLB Daily 2024 / ($1.00 is my unit, 100 units per play)

Record 25-29-10, -516.21, RoR -9.7%

6/27

F5 Guardians -105, Lively/Wacha

One hot inning against the Marlins bullpen does not convince me the Royals offense is back. Wacha is a respectable starter, but not in a class with Lively, and the Guardians loss to the O’s and Rodriguez yesterday was “due” to say the least. If you have the guts play the run line at +$. I would love to, but the important thing for me right now is just to get back on track.

BOL  

The “play at your own risk” notice is deleted. If you can’t see that for yourself you are pretty dumb (no offense to those that are). 

@mdelvalle

 Now you cheer or cry depending on the outcome, but either way you can do it with a full pocket.

@Cranky_Hank

 Might be good advice. Pitching to Minny / D-bax better offense. 

Coin toss