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@AnthonyStarks Good for you
what was the live line to buy that you took at that time? |
bran1093 | 6 |
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looks like we all happened to pick the most offensively challenged game of the entire playoffs to go over the total
what a disgusting display that I’m happy to now turn off
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bran1093 | 6 |
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Neither did NW in an effort against AJ storr get it back owo |
oldwiseone | 24 |
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the powers that be can’t let ANYONE get in the way of what’s going to be
you know…..
harbaugh brothers winning Natty and Super bowl |
snowman76 | 267 |
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replied to
To hedge or not to hedge, here is the math and why hedging is a bad idea....
in NFL Betting @Ed-Collins I get your point
I also don’t bet parlays, but just so happened to take a flyer for fun and am in position to hedge….. I will hedge because it GUARANTEES my bookie pays ME next week
thats also an angle to decision making.
To each their own
good luck |
vanzack | 735 |
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replied to
To hedge or not to hedge, here is the math and why hedging is a bad idea....
in NFL Betting @TRAIN69 Correct |
vanzack | 735 |
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replied to
To hedge or not to hedge, here is the math and why hedging is a bad idea....
in NFL Betting
It’s kind of fitting considering I have won the first 3 teams of my 4 game parlay….the last leg is CFP michigan ML
I think it’s like 175 to win around 1300 bucks i guess it’s personal decision, but I don’t know how your saying it’s a bad idea to hedge and not guarantee a win i won’t follow your advice, but rather probably bet 500 bucks or so on Washington ML to win 900
that way I’m guaranteed winning 800 or 725 regardless on a parlay I threw on the dart board
to each their own, but I’m finding it hard to see how betting to guarantee a profit is a bad idea
bol
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vanzack | 735 |
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What’s the clown play today? Lmao |
MITM | 56 |
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This whole thing is hilarious to watch progress. “My guys” got the pick emailed last night I’ll Post it here right before the game. Who doesn’t see through this thinly veiled “going tout” under the guise I’m not going toutbeen there done that. In the meantime to be “fair” to the “small group” you need to charge for “ONE MONTH” with no guarantees after that….we all know where this is going. can’t wait for your “promo bros” to be back here in a month elaborating on the full tout move. Gotta hope your system has a good full month so you can lure them in
good luck FalconTout |
MITM | 1772 |
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I was along for a decent run but have come to realize I’ve got to cap and can’t blind trust the math on these football games especially bowls love the college and nbd basketball though!
appreciate your offering the plays to the forum and merry Christmas to you and yours |
MITM | 1772 |
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I had to sit out the bowl games today after the Troy game. Too many variables at hand that skew any mathematical formula based off the numbers a team puts up with a full roster giving their all VS a depleted who gives a damn roster missing said players
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MITM | 1772 |
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Quote Originally Posted by MITM:
@kimberton Your exactly right, they are a crap shoot. But, ill speak just about the last two I've dealt with. UTSA Over 46.5 (Winner) My formula had this one at 52pts and it hit right on the nose. UCF Under 67. My formula had this one at 63, which was very very close to a play. It would have been a Winner. Let's look at the pending play and I do not handicap but u would have to be a fool not to see who was going to play. I know Riley Leonard isn't there but he missed significant action during the season. I also know the backup was responsible for much of the data that I'm using. I believe Troy's offense is pretty much intact for this game. I believe Duke has a few defensive starters out. I also think (44.5) is relatively low. But I don't want to bring handicapping into this. I have the Power Total in this one at (51) and I believe enough of the data that I use is relevant to use in this one. Perhaps to better answer your question, I guess u should take these bowls on a game by game basis. Perhaps a little homework is required to go along with the statistics that I use. But let me answer this question also like this. If the Chiefs were sitting Mahomes this week, I'd just throw that game out and not even run it. Best I can do for an answer. Falcon Sports
great answer friend, and what you stated was as I had assumed. You’re right on the opt outs and both teams with the exception of Leonard are pretty much in tact….defensive players only ones that will be missing otherwise (which is good for us)
thanks and good luck!! |
MITM | 1772 |
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@MITM
you probably won’t answer this but for those of us that “cap” these bowl games it’s a damn crapshoot with all the opt outs/transfers/coaching departures. I know you just follow the MATH, but unlike college basketball right now which is pretty consistent how do you come to a pick in these bowl games just following the math with all the variables bc as you’ve said you don’t know any of the players etc
just wanted your take on the math and these “bowl games”
much love |
MITM | 1772 |
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@icemantbi Thanks Mush |
MITM | 1772 |
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@Espn80000 It’s on EspnNews
will spare you the time- Marshall wants to be there will run away with this game. I imagine the air let out when Harris QUIT on his team |
Espn80000 | 4 |
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Quote Originally Posted by steponaduck:
him and many others are reportedly "quiet quitting" where they play the first few series or a quarter, and then shut it down and take off the pads.
so you’re saying Marshall is quiet quitting? doubt that but wtf knows these days |
gotime | 9 |
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@MITM I apologize I didn’t mean anything by it. More so the BONE HEAD plays and decisions that first half led to a difficult home to get back. I was on the play and seeing you on it solidified it. I make the decision and am solely responsible for our actions as bettors. this game what’s been a cluster of screwups and we should have been in a much better spot but it is the NFL after all
keep it up man?? |
MITM | 1772 |
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Basketball system is on point! Should have hit the titans game as well. SNF pending for all intensive purposes has been cooked before it started. Get the next one |
MITM | 1772 |
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@MITM
Quote Originally Posted by MITM:
I want to ask each of you one thing. If you truly had a Mathematical Formula that could win at a minimum of (57.14%) rate and u knew this for an absolute fact, with as much proof as u could possibly have Would u put these plays out on Covers or any public platform or would u just simply bet them yourself and worry about things like. 1. Not getting banned 2. And continually being able to get down larger amounts of money I'm looking at this as developing a team of guys to help get my money down and not by charging for plays. To get where I want to be, I am going to need to get down large wagers. I'm trying to get down between 2 and 3 Grand per play now. Do u guys really think that's easy. I only share a small fun wager in The Grand Challenge. I don't tell my real business here. I'm moving to a different level and this does not need to be on a public forum. I hope everyone understands that. Its not about developing an email list and selling plays, hell I've done that. Why do u think I sign (Falcon Sports). This is about me having something thats going to consistently beat the books and capitalizing on that. Falcon Sports
so these grand plays aren’t your top p ays? Or they are and you just bet more than you’re posting on here. Thanks for the plays regardless just trying to decipher. Sounds like you’re saying u have your top plays u keep to yourself so the line wouldn’t move on you before you could get your own bet in. Idk but your system is doing well |
MITM | 1772 |
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Wasn’t supposed to be a ?? Rather an emoji lol. I’m riding anyhow |
MITM | 1772 |
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