Kingu

Overall: + 14 units 

Rabbits 1-12 @3.10 (2.5 units) 

Teams that vs Storm always pullup rough, this one going to be the same. Rabbits have also been playing good footy. Latrel looks like hes finally settling in and hes a game changer. This is a play style i dont think Penrith will be successful against. 

Week 6 total: - 2.5 units 

Overall: + 14 units 

Went 7/8 in tipping aswell ????. Didn't bet on the other 4 games, mainly bc i was busy to do so but if I were to, I probs would have only done 1-12 Manly, but shoulda coulda woulda. Few take aways this week:

1. Broncos are terrible and knights are the real deal. 

2. Rabbits are back with cody walker. More importantly, latrell is finally warming up to fullback and looking better every week.

3. Storm look rattled, mainly because the new rule changes have completely forced a play style that is unnatural to them. 

4. ROOSTERS ARE THE REAL DEAL - 3 PEAT VERY VERY LIKELY. EELS ARE ALSO A GREAT DEFENSIVE TEAM (look at their first half vs roosters and vs manly, absolute monsters)

5. Turbo is unfortunately out for idk how long, manly were 9 wins and 1 loss with turbo last year. They will struggle without turbo, not against sharks next week though....

Adding:

Sharks 1-12 @2.88 (2.5 units)

adding Storm 1-12 @2.80 (2.5 units) 

Rabbits 1-12 (2.5 units)... Fusitua back 

Overall: +14.0 Units 

Knights to win by a margin 1-12 @2.88 (2.5 units) 

Broncos proved last week that they werent that bad of a team. They are almost back to full strength with Glenn and Pengai back tonight. I may have even tipped them for an upset if it wasnt for Staggs' injury. Nevertheless, I think Knights are on a roll and win in a tight one... thinking anywhere from 4-6 points. Also might decide to put abit on an anytime try scorer - thinking Ponga or Pengai. Not sure yet though.

Adding: 

Bulldogs +18.5 @1.77 (2.5 units)

Bulldogs are one of those teams that are really awkward and slow to play. The roosters have just come off 2 back to back great performances and theyre almost due for a slower, more sloppy game even with tedesco back. The line at 17.5 is a bit disrespectful... I don't even think the line was that bad for roosters vs titans...

Probably done for this round. Knew I would regret doing overs/under points for the raiders game... Raiders were surprisingly sluggish and dissapointing in their win. Tigers did not play overwhelmingly well either...

Round 5 P/L: +13.5 Units 

Overall: +16.5 Units 

Adding: Raiders -7.5, over 36.5 total points @3.0 (2.5 units) 

Hate betting the overs but I see the Raiders bouncing back big time and stacking on points against the Tigers. This is a Tigers squad that does leak a fair few points, so I see this as a high scoring affair.

Yeah Aussie - I would have to agree with you for both of last nights games. I was definitely more confident on the eels game, but their performance was a tiny bit disappointing especially after last week. 

In terms of today's and tomorrows games, don't know about south's at -12. As much as getting cody walker back should lift the team, they really haven't played like a team that should have a line of -12, especially after titans gutsy win last week. The roosters line is a coin flip aswell. Foran is a coin flip player and hasn't really been impacted for a while. Roosters on the other hand are on a tear and can put 40 against most teams outside the top 4. My play is for now 

Multi:

Rabbits -4.5, Storm -4.5 @2.50 (2.5 units)

At the end of Week 4 Total: +3 Units (Went even last week, thanks to Sunday upsets) 

Had: 

Eagles 1-12 @3.20 (2.5 units) 

Eagles to win @2.0 special (1 unit) 

Reasoning: BRONCOS ARE NOT THAT BAD OF A TEAM. Even though ive played the line or 13+ in the last 2 weeks, that was mainly because the forward pack, which carries this broncos team was out. With staggs back and manly with a short turn around after a super physical encounter last week with the eels, it was always going to be a close game. I thought the line and odds against the Broncos were awefully disrespectful of them as a team and their coach.... 

Tonight: 

Cowboys 1-12 @2.88 (2.5 units) 

Eels 1-12 @2.80 (2.5 units) 

Cowboys welcome back Taumalolo, whos been a huge difference maker for the team. Maybe one of the most influential players this year... Still no Morgan, so not that confident on the line. Penrith welcome back Cleary but Eels have been terrific this season. There were doubts that they havent had any stiff competition yet, but last week they showed that they could hang with the best. As disorganised as Manly were offensively, they threw the kitchen sink at them and it showed that Eels had a rock of a defence. Penrith's attack will be more organised and efficient but less crafty than Manly. Should be a close one, but cant put this past the Eels losing. Its a style they match up to well. 

11-20* 

Did not give Knights the respect they deserved.... 

Adding:

(tilt betting, not good) Tigers 11-12 @4.0 (2 units) 

Adding: 

Multi- Raiders to win and Tigers to win @1.8 (3 units)

WAS NOT A FORWARD PASS.... 

Adding: 

Sharks 1-12 @3.3 (1.5 units)

Adding 

Manly to win @2.18 (2.5 units)

Sharks to win @2.15 (3 units)

Raiders -7.5 @1.9 (2.5 units)

As good as I think eels are as a team, they've beaten 2 teams that could be comparable to the worst teams of the last 10 years. Manly on the other hand has had much stiffer opposition and Des always makes his teams competitive. I like Manly in this head to head. 

Without taumalalo and morgan, I heavily back the sharks. If they can't beat this team, they're in for a long season.... 

Ponga is back and make a huge difference on the offensive end. However, surprisingly Pearce is in the tewm but likely will not be at 100%, after getting knocked out last game. Raiders are in red-hot form and I see them winning 10+ here. Knighrs neither have the structure or defence to hold out the raiders. raiders have also been a good defensive side this year and if knighrs aren't throwing the kitchen sink at them, should win comfortably.

Amending... 

Also had 

Storm to win @2.0 (1 unit) - was a special 

Storm to win by margin 1-12 @3.0 (1 unit) - late bet but didn't hit anyways 

Almost went breakeven today... the warriors had an atrocious game, they back to their old form. Gave up a penalty everytime they were defending in the penrith half. Can't be doing that especially with the new 6 again rule.

Adding:

Warriors to Win @2.75 (2 Units)

Storm -7.5 @1.7 (2.5 Units) 

Warriors played like a completely different team last week (as terrible as the Dragons are) and Penrith seem to struggle without Cleary. I think its worth the risk that warriors just scrape this one out.

Storm to bounce back after a humiliating week 3. The bunnies are just not a great team right now, and understrengthed aswell, missing Cody Walker. The spine is also just all over the place with Latrell at fullback... Missed the -7.5 line last night at 1.9 :( 

Adding: 

Roosters to Win @1.52 (1 Unit) 

Got a 2x winnings promotion for the game so might aswell use that 

Left off at Week 2 Total: +3 Units 

Roosters -7.5 Line @1.9 (3.5 Units) 

Getting in here early before the line jumps to -9.5 or -10.5 closer to the game... This ones an easy one. Roosters were an absolute class against a weakened rabbits team without Roberts or Walker. On the other hand, Broncos were dominated by an excellent Parramatta side that a lot of people (including myself) had losing. Broncos looked gassed by the 20min mark and lacked execution. Without TPJ, Fafita or Glen and Radley being cleared to play, Roosters look almost certain to win and win big.