LOTM

The college game is worse. Mandatory under 16, under 12, under 8, under 4, combined with six timeouts per team and a halftime, makes it damn near impossible for me to watch the game.  I have no idea how one can watch that garbage. 

Basketball players are very hard to find.  It's a sport based on RYTHM.  Any big dumb ass that can block can play football.  But only a select few are good at basketball.  The league is garbage, but it's perfect for me to make money in it.  As a bettor, your worse enemy is PARITY.  We love bad teams.  Bad teams equal the homeless shelter.  Unless of course you bet them on totals. haha

Goodnite everyone!

For example

You have over 197 and the score is 90-68 going into the 4th.  So you need 40 points to hit your over.  Simple, right? Nope.  That's not what they're thinking.  It's a regular season game, and they just want to hit the mandatory under 9, 6, and finally 3 timeouts to go home and do some coke and strippers.  You just needed 40 points.  You say "WTF? they just scored 61 in the first! How can this happen!" Well, what happened was the game is over.  Motivation has changed.  The reason why I took Sac under tonight is because I had a feeling they weren't going to hit 100.  You need two to tango for an over 208.  Very rarely will you get one huge blowout for the over. 

It happens all the time.  The dreaded 33 point quarters, the 27 point quarters.  Very limited talent, combined with non-competitive games, equals unders.  There are only seven teams in the league worthy of an over bet.

People get very worked up over big quarters.  When you have a total, you have to understand that the next quarter has nothing to do with the previous one.  Sure, it makes life easier to have 65 points in a quarter if you have the over, but most of the time, it will either slow down, or pick back up.  I hate it when people come into my thread and say "we got it!" when we know that anything can happen.  That is why I need people to bet the same amount as well.  Anything can and will happen in basketball.

Ever played a pick up game? Basketball is a game of rythm.  The NBA and especialy college, is set up to break rythm's.  There are two mandatory timeouts per quarter at least.  It's also a very tiring sport.  If you let them play, it's easy to be down twenty to a stronger team in the blink of an eye.  The NBA knows this, and they know how weak their teams are, so the ref's job is to keep some games 'close".  But people confuse this with "fix" rather than "controlled league".

Just my 02 cents.

We are wating for ref assignments for that one sir.  Good seeing you!

SurePHo, good question.

I don't play NFL totals for one reason only; It's not an everyday sport.  Everyday sport leagues are easier to figure out for trends, refs, etc.  I was hitting lot's of nfl picks eary this year but NBA is where I kill them, so I do what I'm good at.  But, the game is once a week.  SOOOOO MANY things can happen in six days.  Very tough sport to capp.  But, I notice things.  I pick up on em.  St.Louis Sheep for instance, better qb, line climbing, but on the road.  Those smart guys know the better team.  They are pretty much saying Seattle Sucks.  NBA is much easier to capp. 

I agree with everything but your total my friend.  You are the only poster I look for side plays. You are solid on sides.  Don't let the early start fool you.  I think we have a shootout.  I hope you go 4-1 haha. 

Yeah buddy,

Why worry about something unnecessarily? Just take the assholes that have nothing to play for and hope for points.  I also like the Sheep over Seagulls but my side picks are no good lately. 

That's funny.  These guys have had plenty of rest and partied just fine.  Look for a shootout. 

It's gonna keep going up.  He made a mistake  and he knows it.

If you are betting on Seattle, you are betting on their crowd.  That's it.  St. Louis has a few things going for it, better qb, and the fact that NFL doesn't want to be embarrassed by putting a 7-9 team in there.  Bradford will play his heart out to prove that they made the right choice.

Seagulls are the worst football team in nfl right now.  They have no qb, no running game, and no heart.  The line says it all.  If your hard earned money is on Charlie Dickhurst, my condolences in advance.

Sheep -3

hey man,

I don't like it because you are talking about playoff teams and anything can happen.  The games I picked, those teams have nothing to play for.  Who knows what they are going to do with their players????

Hey man,

I'm terrible picking sides.  I have no idea.  I only play totals.  Sorry.

My previous thread got moved for some reason.  Here is my pick for Saturday with write up.

INDIANA YELLOW RACE CARS VS. NEW YORK KNICKERBOCKER WEARING DUTCH OVER 209.0 -110

I find it strange to see such a high total on an early game where the team participating has not hit 100 since 17 th of December.  This matchup has hit over 209 five out of the six past meetings.  When I saw this game I said to myself, no way he's gonna open it above 203.  When I saw 209.0 I had to focus and I understand why.  If both hit 100, it's going over. And both will.  Good luck and I will add one more once the Queens line comes out.  Hope we can get wins 12 and 13 on Sunday.

PS.  If you are interested in football I have MIN/Det over 42.5 SD/Den over 47 and Ari/SF over 38.5 on Sunday.  I will not count these towards NBA picks. 

Take it or leave it, you're coming with me.

Wow.  I see. I'll make another thread.

What??? Why is it there? Can people move threads here? How do you do that trick? I had a write up and everything........