MassMinuteman

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replied to Teaser of the century in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Ed-Collins: Quote Originally Posted by MassMinuteman: Any thoughts people? My thoughts? Well, I wouldn't call it the teaser of the century.A team that is a 7.5 favorite wins 73% of the time. A team that is a 7 point favorite wins 72.7% of the time. (Source: https://wizardofodds.com/games/sports-betting/nfl/)Collectively, the odds of all five teams winning is .2048, or about 1 in 5. (.73 x .73 x .727 x .727 x.727 = .2048)The true odds of a 1 in 5 bet would return 4 to 1, or +400. So your +350 payout is a bit on the low side. The house edge on this bet is=(-1 * 0.7952) + (3.5 * 0.2048)or 7.84%. That, of course, is a higher house edge than the normal 11 to win 10.Those are my thoughts. Good luck with your bet. Appreciate the analysis, being a number guy. Different way to look at it. View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	9	October 06, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Teaser of the century in NFL Betting Just need a seattle win tonight, to hedge or not to hedge? that is the question View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	9	October 06, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Teaser of the century in NFL Betting Also liking CIN -2. Pats fan but they look BADDD DET -7. Totally different team at home, playing KYLE ORTON hahahaha. That smells like a BLOWOUT CLE +2. They can put up points and I don't think that TEN can match up Any thoughts people? View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	9	October 03, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Teaser of the century in NFL Betting about to go all in on this teaser and IMO, you should too 7 point teaser (+350) gets the spreads to SEA -0.5 DEN -0.5 SD PK PIT PK PHI PK Take the points, these teams all win 8 times out of 10 BOL View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	9	October 03, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Miami (OH) vs UMass in College Football Look for a repeat performance from last year. Two bad winless teams coming into the game and Massachusetts will win. I just think this time it will be a higher scoring game than 17-10. My only worry is that last weeks homecoming loss may have killed this teams morale, but with the points they have been scoring I don't think Miami will keep up. I think that they would be favorites if this game were at UMass which means that the books are giving Miami around 6 points for home field which to me is too much. I like UMass with the ML but if you don't like it, get them while you can at +3.5 before it hits 3 or less. Other leans: Miami over GT FL over TN Will be back with more BOL ladies and gents. View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	1	October 02, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Thursday Teaser in College Football loving 6 point teaser getting line/points to: App St. +25 Ov 54 @ -110 I think there is value here. I like App St. to keep it close (maybe even win) thinking about taking that line at +19 or ML. Thoughts? BOL ladies and gents View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	1	September 25, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to BGSU @ UMASS in College Football Quote Originally Posted by packers1992: Hey Mass did you see the annoucement of games going forward as UMASS will be an independent in 2016 and 2017?Also we need more guys like you at covers Mass And thank you sir! View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	6	September 25, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to BGSU @ UMASS in College Football Pack, I did see those schedules today, I'm liking what they are doing, setting themselves up to get a couple wins and play some better teams (respectively) in army, BYU and Tennessee (and maybe even get an upset or 2). Hopefully they will keep it going in the right direction. For now, go BGSU! View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	6	September 25, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to BGSU @ UMASS in College Football They are certainly not what I would call a good team. Neither team is particularly strong on the defensive side of the ball so it could turn into a shootout, in which case I trust the UMass offense will not hang. I like BGSU -4.5. View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	6	September 24, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic BGSU @ UMASS in College Football Going back to the old stomping grounds this weekend for homecoming and looking forward to be passed out in a corn field when I win or lose a bet. I think that this UMass team is hungry after 2 tough losses (and a blowout loss) but I still do not trust them and I am certainly not afraid to fade them now that they have played a couple good games and are getting some smaller spreads. I may take BGSU -4.5, and hedge it with the fact that if UMass wins it could turn into an epic night in little Amherst, MA. Anybody got thoughts? View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	6	September 24, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 1st halfs only in College Football Curry, any thoughts on A&M -21 ASU -8.5 View Post \| View Thread	Curry-Goat	33	September 13, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic ASU COL Ov. 36 1st half in College Football That Colorado defense couldn't stop umass last week. ASU will score but will Colorado be able to score twice and cover the over. Any thoughts? View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	1	September 13, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Public on PIT stay away in NFL Betting Thanks sports_network. Gotta love it. Looking real good on the bell bet, he's at 34 yards half way through the 4th View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	4	September 12, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Public on PIT stay away in NFL Betting And to add to it the line has not really budged. I would not be surprised to see smart money move it late in favor of Baltimore. View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	4	September 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Public on PIT stay away in NFL Betting That's all I am starting to think. And the more I see te more k lean towards Baltimore/coin flip which is why I am going to stay away from the lines and roll on a player prop. Leveon Bell over 30.5 yards receiving. Take it to the bank View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	4	September 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic PIT/BAL game and prop in NFL Betting Unless Tomlin decides that this is his "suspension" game, I see no reason that he should not blow this out with 40+ yards. Bell is coming off a good game last week and I think Big Ben is realizing that the he may be the key to this offense rushing and receiving. He is currently PITs leading receiver and I don't see that changing this week. Should be many opportunities for dump offs. I also like PIT to win and the over. 2 historically good defenses and that is keeping the over/under low. (44.5) PIT 30 BAL 21 Thoughts? View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	2	September 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Wednesday parlay in MLB Betting Killing it arosa. Nice work! View Post \| View Thread	Arosa	14	September 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Astros Mariners Ov 7 and Sea - 1.5 in MLB Betting Houston did their job already. Just need some from Seattle. View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	4	September 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Astros Mariners Ov 7 and Sea - 1.5 in MLB Betting I am liking this bet. While iwakuma seems to handle division foes he has not pitched too hot as of late with a >7 era in last 3. On the other side we have a AAA call up in Tropeano who could get lit up. Neither offense is overly powerful but I think this is going to be an on base game for Seattle who will be able to put up 5+. I'm liking a 6-2 win for Seattle. Any thoughts? View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	4	September 10, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Week 2....+$6260 in College Football Sox you got any late plays? En fuegooo baby! View Post \| View Thread	Red_Soxxxxxxxx	140	September 06, 2014 View Post \| View Thread

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
replied to Teaser of the century in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Ed-Collins: Quote Originally Posted by MassMinuteman: Any thoughts people? My thoughts? Well, I wouldn't call it the teaser of the century.A team that is a 7.5 favorite wins 73% of the time. A team that is a 7 point favorite wins 72.7% of the time. (Source: https://wizardofodds.com/games/sports-betting/nfl/)Collectively, the odds of all five teams winning is .2048, or about 1 in 5. (.73 x .73 x .727 x .727 x.727 = .2048)The true odds of a 1 in 5 bet would return 4 to 1, or +400. So your +350 payout is a bit on the low side. The house edge on this bet is=(-1 * 0.7952) + (3.5 * 0.2048)or 7.84%. That, of course, is a higher house edge than the normal 11 to win 10.Those are my thoughts. Good luck with your bet. Appreciate the analysis, being a number guy. Different way to look at it. View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	9	October 06, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Teaser of the century in NFL Betting Just need a seattle win tonight, to hedge or not to hedge? that is the question View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	9	October 06, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Teaser of the century in NFL Betting Also liking CIN -2. Pats fan but they look BADDD DET -7. Totally different team at home, playing KYLE ORTON hahahaha. That smells like a BLOWOUT CLE +2. They can put up points and I don't think that TEN can match up Any thoughts people? View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	9	October 03, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Teaser of the century in NFL Betting about to go all in on this teaser and IMO, you should too 7 point teaser (+350) gets the spreads to SEA -0.5 DEN -0.5 SD PK PIT PK PHI PK Take the points, these teams all win 8 times out of 10 BOL View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	9	October 03, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Miami (OH) vs UMass in College Football Look for a repeat performance from last year. Two bad winless teams coming into the game and Massachusetts will win. I just think this time it will be a higher scoring game than 17-10. My only worry is that last weeks homecoming loss may have killed this teams morale, but with the points they have been scoring I don't think Miami will keep up. I think that they would be favorites if this game were at UMass which means that the books are giving Miami around 6 points for home field which to me is too much. I like UMass with the ML but if you don't like it, get them while you can at +3.5 before it hits 3 or less. Other leans: Miami over GT FL over TN Will be back with more BOL ladies and gents. View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	1	October 02, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Thursday Teaser in College Football loving 6 point teaser getting line/points to: App St. +25 Ov 54 @ -110 I think there is value here. I like App St. to keep it close (maybe even win) thinking about taking that line at +19 or ML. Thoughts? BOL ladies and gents View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	1	September 25, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to BGSU @ UMASS in College Football Quote Originally Posted by packers1992: Hey Mass did you see the annoucement of games going forward as UMASS will be an independent in 2016 and 2017?Also we need more guys like you at covers Mass And thank you sir! View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	6	September 25, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to BGSU @ UMASS in College Football Pack, I did see those schedules today, I'm liking what they are doing, setting themselves up to get a couple wins and play some better teams (respectively) in army, BYU and Tennessee (and maybe even get an upset or 2). Hopefully they will keep it going in the right direction. For now, go BGSU! View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	6	September 25, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to BGSU @ UMASS in College Football They are certainly not what I would call a good team. Neither team is particularly strong on the defensive side of the ball so it could turn into a shootout, in which case I trust the UMass offense will not hang. I like BGSU -4.5. View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	6	September 24, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic BGSU @ UMASS in College Football Going back to the old stomping grounds this weekend for homecoming and looking forward to be passed out in a corn field when I win or lose a bet. I think that this UMass team is hungry after 2 tough losses (and a blowout loss) but I still do not trust them and I am certainly not afraid to fade them now that they have played a couple good games and are getting some smaller spreads. I may take BGSU -4.5, and hedge it with the fact that if UMass wins it could turn into an epic night in little Amherst, MA. Anybody got thoughts? View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	6	September 24, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 1st halfs only in College Football Curry, any thoughts on A&M -21 ASU -8.5 View Post \| View Thread	Curry-Goat	33	September 13, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic ASU COL Ov. 36 1st half in College Football That Colorado defense couldn't stop umass last week. ASU will score but will Colorado be able to score twice and cover the over. Any thoughts? View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	1	September 13, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Public on PIT stay away in NFL Betting Thanks sports_network. Gotta love it. Looking real good on the bell bet, he's at 34 yards half way through the 4th View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	4	September 12, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Public on PIT stay away in NFL Betting And to add to it the line has not really budged. I would not be surprised to see smart money move it late in favor of Baltimore. View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	4	September 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Public on PIT stay away in NFL Betting That's all I am starting to think. And the more I see te more k lean towards Baltimore/coin flip which is why I am going to stay away from the lines and roll on a player prop. Leveon Bell over 30.5 yards receiving. Take it to the bank View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	4	September 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic PIT/BAL game and prop in NFL Betting Unless Tomlin decides that this is his "suspension" game, I see no reason that he should not blow this out with 40+ yards. Bell is coming off a good game last week and I think Big Ben is realizing that the he may be the key to this offense rushing and receiving. He is currently PITs leading receiver and I don't see that changing this week. Should be many opportunities for dump offs. I also like PIT to win and the over. 2 historically good defenses and that is keeping the over/under low. (44.5) PIT 30 BAL 21 Thoughts? View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	2	September 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Wednesday parlay in MLB Betting Killing it arosa. Nice work! View Post \| View Thread	Arosa	14	September 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Astros Mariners Ov 7 and Sea - 1.5 in MLB Betting Houston did their job already. Just need some from Seattle. View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	4	September 11, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Astros Mariners Ov 7 and Sea - 1.5 in MLB Betting I am liking this bet. While iwakuma seems to handle division foes he has not pitched too hot as of late with a >7 era in last 3. On the other side we have a AAA call up in Tropeano who could get lit up. Neither offense is overly powerful but I think this is going to be an on base game for Seattle who will be able to put up 5+. I'm liking a 6-2 win for Seattle. Any thoughts? View Post \| View Thread	MassMinuteman	4	September 10, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Week 2....+$6260 in College Football Sox you got any late plays? En fuegooo baby! View Post \| View Thread	Red_Soxxxxxxxx	140	September 06, 2014 View Post \| View Thread

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