MrLahey

Prospect

Posts: 8

Member Since: April 2015

Last Activity: 27 November 2024

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
created a topic Draft Props in NFL Betting Does anyone know which books offer good draft props/higher limits? I see a lot of sites capped at $200 per wager. Thanks in advance. View Post \| View Thread	MrLahey	1	April 25, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 2016 Combine/Draft Props in NFL Betting HighScore. Do you mind sharing where you got these odds? Really like the Bosa and Tunsil plays. Thanks. View Post \| View Thread	HighScore	57	April 25, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Need Hedging Advice on Michigan St. at 100/1 in College Basketball Quote Originally Posted by bigvern1013: Hedge. Here is how: 100 @ 100/1 = 10,000. Two (2) Separate 2 team OPEN parlays. 2 team OPEN Parlay: $2500/3545$ a) Duke -5.5 (-110) b) Either UK or Wisky ML ( we will use -375 as a ML) 2 team OPEN Parlay: 2500$/3545$ a) Mich St +5.5 (-110) b) Either UK or Wisky ML (-375) You can screw around with the parlay wager amounts to optimize the payout given the above scenario, I did not. Very simple... you would stand to win 5k if MSU wins it all, and 3545$ if they don't. Obviously, you can't put a hard figure on the payout because of the potential moneyline fluctuation of game #2, but -375 is a conservative estimate. No matter what, you have to lay the same as you take in the Duke game with no possibility of a push. Again, hedge. Anyway you slice it you are looking at a minimum of a 35/1 return on your 100 bucks. To stay in is greedy. The heavy lifting is done...take the money. Thanks for the detailed explanation, much appreciated View Post \| View Thread	MrLahey	37	April 03, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Need Hedging Advice on Michigan St. at 100/1 in College Basketball Quote Originally Posted by Beningo88: I wouldn't consider hedging, until the final game. Most likely let it ride Thanks bud, appreciate he insight. Probably gonna roll with this and pray for a Badger vs Sparty final. View Post \| View Thread	MrLahey	37	April 02, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Need Hedging Advice on Michigan St. at 100/1 in College Basketball Quote Originally Posted by kobiedog: NEVER and I mean NEVER hedge. You were confident in the bet when you made it when the odds were totally against you. You were willing to lose it then. Now that your odds have substantially increased you want to buy out of part of it. THIS IS GAMBLING! Hedging is for life long losers IMHO. Good luck! Thanks for the advice. I'm 50/50 right now on what to do. I have never been in this spot before, I know there is no optimal way to hedge and different people use different methods. I just wanted to hear any creative ideas. Probably just end up closing my eyes and hope for the best View Post \| View Thread	MrLahey	37	April 02, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Need Hedging Advice on Michigan St. at 100/1 in College Basketball Quote Originally Posted by football_007: Leave it alone. Mich St will win it all. And it is only $100. Haha yes, only 100 bucks but still makes sense to try and guarantee myself some cash. View Post \| View Thread	MrLahey	37	April 02, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Need Hedging Advice on Michigan St. at 100/1 in College Basketball Quote Originally Posted by VegasVandal: Sure you did nucka Not sure why I would waste time to create a username and post that if I was lying? Westgate in Vegas on February 13th, I'm sure you can find the odds from that day if you go look. Nice input though squid. View Post \| View Thread	MrLahey	37	April 02, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Need Hedging Advice on Michigan St. at 100/1 in College Basketball Hi All, I was hoping some experienced futures bettors could help me out with how to approach hedging this. I got Mich State at 100/1 to win the National Championship back in mid February. $100 bet (1 Unit). What would you guys do to hedge here? Duke is anywhere from -235 to -250 on the moneyline this Saturday. Assuming they are -240 I was thinking something like $1,960 to win $800 (8 units) Then if Mich State wins I would need to take Kentucky on the moneyline, who knows I could get lucky and Wiscy could win, then I would re-evaluate from there. Any suggestions would be greatly appreciated. View Post \| View Thread	MrLahey	37	April 02, 2015 View Post \| View Thread

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