PerfectRotation

excuse my breakdown for the cardinals lol commanders were a lean but didnt end up playing them

adding:

Dolphins -7 -119 x1.19u

tua and company have seem to hit a nice flow within the offense at home, was on them last week and find them as a good spot this week as well.

cardinals pk'em 103 x2.16u

teams coming off a bye havent been great this year but this year the cardinals seem a bit different with dan and kingsbury at the helm. i think this is a pure let down spot from seahawks coming off the W they just had.

YTD: 24-17-0 +7.95u

Steelers -3.5 -1.08u x1.08u

jesus christ do i hate laying the hook but with how shutdown steelers defense has been i feel like its steelers or nothing. these are the type of games they have to really get up for. everyone wants to call this a trap game but the browns have imploded and been fucking terrible all year. the better organization, the better QB, and defense should simply show up tonight. 

20-10 

Chargers -1 -117 x1.17u

what i said about the chargers last week still holds true. no team they have faced this season has scored over 20 points on this defense. im done giving the bengals the benefit of the doubt. their defense and secondary is a big liability. chargers defense is clamping shit up and herbert is playing good football. this feels like a dagger game and i think herbert and company get it done.

27-24 chargers

@CoverMyLosses

 yeah but also alot of disdain for the falcons. they arent playing like a potential 7 win team.

chiefs ML +121 x1u

im not jumping infront a bus. chiefs win.

dolphins -7 -119 x1.19u

i just dont see gardner minshew going toe to toe with tua when that offense gets rolling. i simply think dolphins outscore the shit out of the raiders.

27-16

broncos -2 -108 x1.08u

slowly but surely see bo coming into his own. watching him play now vs early in the season is a night and day difference. bo played well vs a stifling kansas city defense on the road. i think the factor will be bo nix play making out of the backfield. hes going to be able to evade the rush. if broncos defense is able to get to kirk in the backfield its gonna be a long day for the falcons.

24-20

YTD: 21-16-0 +5.95u

jets -1.5 -108 x1.08u

jets are playing for their season right here oddly enough. they lose this game and there chances at making the playoffs dwindles. aaron needs to turn it on NOW.

theres 1 more i like will be adding soon

chargers -7.5 -108 x2.16u

titans are going to struggle scoring in this game if the chargers D continue to clamp up like this. it is so strange but literally no team ALL SEASON LONG has scored over 20pts on this charger defense. teams are struggling to score FIFTEEN POINTS on this defense. with chargers D potentially forcing turnovers, herbert playing some good ball, i dont see how chargers doesnt win this game double digits.

24-13

Buffalo -4 -108 x1.08u

i hate being on such public plays but i think this is a different buffalo team. josh allen is taking over games w.o turning the ball over and not making dumb decisions. buffalo should win this game by a tuddy

YTD: 19-15-0 +4.03u

sunday we get our coin back AND some 

so much fluke shit happen in this game im not even mad. we'll get it back sunday no worries.

TNF

Bengals/Ravens u53 -114 x1.14u

ravens know they cant let another shootout happen vs burrow or they lose this game. its just not in their DNA. they need to slow this game and dominate possession and keep burrow on the sideline. there was 70 something points in the first meeting, i think in the spotlight on primetime both teams will take time to establish the run and a more calculated approach vs just airing it out.

27-20

YTD: 19-14-0 +5.17u 

YTD: 18-14-0 +4.17u

TNF

Jets -2.5 -113 x1.13u

houston coming in this game extremely hobbled. jets hit an all time low losing to the patriots & are now favorites vs a semi hot texans team? this is the perfect chance for the jets to take their head out of their ass and get a W. their season technically isnt over and i think they come out and play like it.

24-20

addition:

falcons -1 -112 x1.12u

i dont think people understand how big of a hit buccs took when godwin went down. i simply see baker having trouble passing the ball against these premium corners and interior without godwin OR mike evans. falcons win a close one. 

YTD: 17-13-0 +4.32u

Bengals -2.5 -115 x1.15u

this is around the time the bengals start kicking into gear. bengals always do this, they start out shitty then toward the 2H of the season they begin to wake up. these are very important games for them down the stretch.

no picks this week gentlemen, will be back active after this week  goodluck