Proteus24

Losing Vic Fangio

Now, here comes another caveat: Bears lost DC Vic Fangio, and a lot of intelligent talking heads have speculated that the Bears are going to regress this year as a result. Fangio took a job to be the head coach of the Broncos. However, Chuck Pagano steps in as DC after serving as HC of the Colts 2012-17 (during that time he beat cancer) and earlier around 2011 was considered to be a top DC.

Backs: Aaron Jones and Jamal Williams - both talented but still unproven; they've been around. Packers just dont call run plays often. They arent going to have that big of an opportunity to rush against this Bears team, who gave up the least amount of rushing yards from any team last year.

TE: Jimmy Graham is still a decent big body, but pretty far from his prime. But expect him to be good for 2-5 catches and maybe even a TD.

O-Line: One of the things the Pack have going for them is they got a top of the line o-line, which might be better as a unit than Chicago’s. Although Rodgers is great outside the pocket, he needs the protection of Bakhtiari and Bulaga, who form one of the best duo tackles in the league.

Packers Defense

Packers defense looks to be improving. There's talent at all levels. However, just up and down compared to the Bears, Bears are a different class. The Pack do not match up well against Chicago. I'm even a bit iffy to start Rodgers against the Bears in fantasy if I have a decent alternative.

Packers O besides Rodgers

WR: Devante, Geronimo, and Valdes Scantling - lotta questions outside of devante, but to tell you the truth it's Rodgers. He can make something out of nothing with another year under each youngsters’ belt. Devante will get into those holes of the defense and has synchronous communication with Aaron. I wouldnt be surprised if there's a couple deep passes for him to keep the game close.

Public Numbers

This makes me shiver away from the spread, especially when we look at a lot of betting numbers: vegas insider, pregame, oddshark. There’s money on the Packers/Rodgers, and several had much more money/tickets behind the Pack. The numbers can be put into question. But as people (who watch ball) it’s pretty obvious it’s because of Rodger’s history of being a bad MFer. And Mitchell Trubisky is darn solid but not in the conversation of being one of the best QB’s we’ll see in our lifetime.

Contrarian View

Now, Imma pull my head out my asshole. Here’s some stats:

GB 8-2 last 10 vs CHI  -  Just 6-4 Against the Spread in that range, but outscored Chicago

            GB 12-5 last 17 vs CHI 

But GB 1-9 Against the Spread last 10 games on the road

Top Defense

Bears (at home) are just too much to handle as the league’s premier defense. They aren't going to maintain that +13 turnover differential, but I expect the defense to be as stout from top to bottom again. Akeim Hicks and Eddie Goldman are thicc run stuffers, and their DBs as a unit might be at the top of the league: Clinton-Dix (from packers to bears) replaces Amos (from bears to packers) in the off-season. Plus they still have elusive playmaker and end-zone conductor Eddie Jackson and solid corner Kyle Fuller. They also have one of the  sickest linebacker crew: Khalil Mack, Trevathan, Roquan.

Bears -3: 3 units

Bears ML: 2 units

The pac 12 has 4 teams that are ranked in the top 25 for a long time, with Utah, washingotn, standford, wahington state, and Oregon. There is no evidence of that you are right. This is just my insight from what I saw last year from Herbert. And yeah season just started, we don't know whats going to happen. LIke I said I see aburn winning by 3 or losing, which is why im taking the points to be safe.

yes I understand that I meant to say leading qb lol my words were wrong

Ive been looking at this play for over 2 months. Yes Oregon plays in the pac-12. Sec is way better with their defense. But Justin has something to prove in this game. Many people are declining on Justin not becoming a top qb. Auburn d line is great but they only got derrick brown. If their online can stop brown there is a chance Justin can make his throws. The only thing that worries me is oregons receivers. They have their returning running back. Bo NIXON IS A FREASHMEN QB WHO HAS A LOT TO PROVE. Aubrun has not started a freshmen qb sine 1946. There is going to be a lot of pressure on the kid. Don't get me wrong I can see auburn winning the game as well, which is why Im taking the points. I like this play a lot is the reason why Justin is coming back his senior year to prove a point. He would been an easily top 10 qb in this years draft maybe ahead of Daniel Jones. Oregon is the top pac 12 team this year to prove their point. If they lose this game I have nothing to say, my points are wrong.

I see oregon winning straight up with Justin Hurbert as their leading quarterback. It my eyes alwasy take the points to be safe. When it comes to pre-rankings. Oregon comining into the college season is ranked #12 Oregon vs Auburn who is ranked # 17. 

The battle to replace Jarrett Stidham is down to two players. In early May, coach Gus Malzahn indicated Gatewood and Bo Nix were ahead of Malik Willis and Cord Sandberg and would battle for the job in the fall. Both Gatewood and Nix are short on experience, but talent certainly isn’t an issue. Gatewood ranked as the No. 49 prospect in the 2018 signing class, while Nix checked in at No. 33 in the ’19 haul. Gatewood only played in one contest in his debut, attempting one pass and recording 28 rushing yards versus Purdue in the Music City Bowl. Nix accounted for over 12,000 total yards in his high school career and is regarded as the better passer. The battle between Gatewood and Nix could continue into the season. LOOKS LIKE THEY ARE GOING WITH FRESHMEN QB bo nix

12. Winning the offseason doesn’t always translate into on-field success, but not many teams had a better one than Oregon. The Ducks landed the Pac-12’s top recruiting class, and a couple of key veterans – Troy Dye, Herbert and three starters up front – decided to return to Eugene instead of pursing the NFL. After taking over the starting job midway through 2016 and missing time due to injury in ’17, Herbert played in all 13 games for the first time in his career last fall. The Oregon native posted a prolific junior season, passing for 3,151 yards and 29 touchdowns to eight picks, while adding 166 yards and two scores on the ground. Finding a No. 1 receiver to replace Dillon Mitchell is a priority this offseason, but all signs point to Herbert closing out his career with a huge 2019 season and a run at the Pac-12 title. 

Auburn plays in the SEC with elite defensese like LSU#6, ALABAMA#2, GEORGIA#3, FLORIDA#8, Texas AM#11. There are 5 SEC teams in the college football pre-rankings. ALl that is said auburn plays in a tough division. They have the experience to bet Oregon. Oregon plays in the pac-12 divsion which is up and coming at the moment. The pac 12 is getting more competitive and it is up and rising.

Oregon is ranked 12, where washington#10, Utah#15, Washington State#21, Standford #23. 4 pac 12 teams are in the pre-rankings, where the sec all teams are ranked in the top 10. Oregon has a top QB where auburn is still deciding which qb to play in the first week. Anthing can happen during the first weeek of college preseason. Every team can come up and Win!

Anthony Schwartz, sophomore* OR for AUburn is out for week 1: OREGON HAS RETURNING OLINE AS WELL AS AUBURN. THIS IS GOING TO BE THE BATTLES OF THE QUARTERBACK TO SEE WHICH ONE CAN LEAD THEM. IM GOING WITH HELBERT 

Record: 6-4. +0 units

Last Night: 3-0

WISCONSIN: -10 1/2, 1 UNIT W

RUTGERS, -17, 1 UNIT W

COLORADO, -13 1 UNIT W

WHALE PLAY OREGON: +3.5, 10 units

RECORD: 3-4 

Sorry I posted the loses and wins wrong.

RECORD: 3-7, -3 UNITS

Last Night Picks:

UCLA: +2, -3 units

Texas AM: -33 1/2, + 1 unit

Utah: -6.5, + 1 Unit

Correction the Arizona/ Hawaii game I choose under which is a lost. Thanks for pointing that out. 

Will update record later in Post!

PICKS:

Wisconsin: -10 1/2-  1 UNIT

Rutgers: - -17 - 1 UNIT

Colorado: - -13.5 1 UNIT

Record 1-4: -2 units

Last Week:

Arizona -10 L: -1 unit

OVer 70.5 L : -1 unit

Florida -7 L : - 1 unit

Under 46.5, : + 1 Unit

Thursday Picks:

UCLA +2:  3 unit

Texas AM -33.5: 1 unit

Utah -6.5: 1 unit 

Record 0-0

Pending: Florida -7, Under 46 1/2, 1 unit each

ARIZONA - 10 1/2, Under 71- 1 Unite each

Sorry 1 Unit bet for each 

New to Covers. I will be posting my picks and record through out the college football season with 1 to 5 units bets. Max wager would be 5 units.

Record 0-0

Picks: Miami-7, Under- 46 1/2

Good Luck Everyone