PushersDelight

PushersDelight
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replied to ATP Cincinnati - 8/16 to 8/23
in Tennis
Adding Dimitrov +350 over Murray right before match.

Got a feeling about this one, Murray looked a bit "meh" against Fish and was feeling it a bit. Match means way more to Dimitrov.
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PushersDelight 9
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replied to Why should I not take US OPEN WINNER Bencic +1845???
in Tennis
Waste of money tbh. She may be hot now but these WTA streaks never last, and when they end most players crash and burn even worse than they were flying. But let's see if she beats the odds..
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Bleakhouse 15
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replied to ATP Cincinnati - 8/16 to 8/23
in Tennis
Trying something new since I don't have solid picks

Janowicz/Safarova +540 over Dolgopolov/Bencic - Bencic has played so much tennis, plus this match is right during peak sunshine. Safarova hasn't had the best resutls lately but is capable of it. I'd take the fresh, motivated to beat think upstart punk top player to finally end it. Dolgopolov, like Janowicz, is up and done. Jano is definitely good enough to take it to Dolgo and has beaten Monf, while Dolgo hasn't exactly had a murderer's row.

Also, Cilic +120 over Gasquet
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PushersDelight 9
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replied to ATP Cincinnati - 8/16 to 8/23
in Tennis
6-6-1 +4.75

to be honest, no idea what to play this time..

I think I'm going with Janowicz,  I may be a bit of a degen cause I like some moderate upsets on the WTA side. but that's also how you get in trouble when you don't particularly like anything... will sleep on it.
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PushersDelight 9
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replied to in tennis, is their any advantage in serving first?
in Tennis
Quote Originally Posted by Hawky:

real pro athletes warm up before the match

This is how I see it..

Some guys will receive first, but I'm guessing these are the guys who can break with no problems. Look at Murray's choice vs Fed at Wimbledon... he won the toss, and Federer was so strong on his serve it added tons of pressure on Murray every time it was *4-5 or *5-6 - IMO a massive backfire. It's one of those deals where people analyze it too much - if you're ahead, it's better.

And this goes for WTA matches too. Imaging one of those typical matches where there are 5 breaks in a row... and one player actually holds. That's usually the set. Way better to have your nose in front.
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paulgeorge10 7
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replied to question and some help
in Tennis
Djokovic has never won Cincy, and it's the last tournament he needs to win every Masters title during his career.

If you're talking about motivation, it's there 100%, one of the rare non-Slams where it'll hurt if he loses.
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shawnboskie 3
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replied to ATP Cincinnati - 8/16 to 8/23
in Tennis
Yep, Pospisil will always have a chance against slightly better guys on hardcourt as long as he's solid

3-4 +3.9

Lopez won in a repeat of last year, Kyrgios never had a chance and Pospisil lost in two TB.


Robredo over Querrey -105 - what happens when Sam actually has to play some tennis?
Verdasco over Goffin +150 - been fading Goffin lately thinking he'd fail on HC but it just hasn't worked. but.. verdasco is the toughest non-elite guy he's played on hc in about a year
Lopez over Seppi -115 - taking the more proven HC guy
Anderson/Sock over 25 -115 - obvious pick
Fish +5.5 -115 - Fish actually matches up well with Murray, look at their head to head! Oddly enough with the story and all, I don't think Murray kills him, though I don't think he could even if he wanted to
Janowicz -3 -120 - don't trust Janowicz enough to play him straight up, so HC it is
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PushersDelight 9
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replied to ATP Cincinnati - 8/16 to 8/23
in Tennis
2-2 +3.5

Lopez over Raonic +240
Kyrgios over Gasquet +140
Pospisil over Dimitrov +175
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PushersDelight 9
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replied to ATP Cincinnati - 8/16 to 8/23
in Tennis
Very topsy-turvy match

0-1 -1.05

Fish +470 over Troicki - why not? Plus Troicki hasn't been very good lately.

Bellucci -130
Sock/Bautista-Agut/Kohlschreiber -115
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PushersDelight 9
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created a topic ATP Cincinnati - 8/16 to 8/23
in Tennis
Washington: 8-6 +3.85 (Thread)
Montreal: 14-6 +9.95 (Thread)

Welcome to Cincinnati, which is exactly like Montreal except with Federer and everyone's favorite Applebee's.


One play for Sunday qualifying:

Youzhny -105 over Lu - why not continue the streak? Youzhny has been great.
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PushersDelight 9
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replied to ATP Montreal - 8/10 to 8/16
in Tennis
Total: 14-6 +9.95

Good week.
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PushersDelight 15
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replied to ATP Montreal - 8/10 to 8/16
in Tennis
Murray -140

Not a hard one to pick.
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PushersDelight 15
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replied to ATP Montreal - 8/10 to 8/16
in Tennis
KNEW ITTTTTTTT! 7 match points :)

13-6 +8.95
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PushersDelight 15
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replied to ATP Montreal - 8/10 to 8/16
in Tennis
13-5 +10.40

nice week don't you think?

Here is where the pickings are slim and I'm prone to betting against people I shouldn't bet again. I'm the guy who bets against Djokovic cause "it's time" let's say Murray, finally gets the win. He never does, obviously.



So...

Isner -145 against Chardy - Isner should win. SHOULD win. But he won't. This is the bet to make, but these are the matches he always loses. Let's see. For some reason he's 0-3 against Chardy.

no play for the rest, though Kei/Rafa is going to be awesome.
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PushersDelight 15
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replied to ATP Montreal - 8/10 to 8/16
in Tennis
Thank you sir.

Isner +105
Nishikori/Tsonga -105
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PushersDelight 15
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replied to ATP Montreal - 8/10 to 8/16
in Tennis
Oh boy, Nicky is gonna be in trouble. Refreshing twitter every 5 seconds.

Today: 5-1 +5.35
Total: 11-5 +8.35

This is where it gets "meh" - mostly very lopsided matches. Definitely on Kei in some parlay capacity, Isner to beat Kyrgios, Tsonga, and Young (maybe). We'll see what the lines are.
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PushersDelight 15
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replied to ATP Montreal - 8/10 to 8/16
in Tennis
"Have no time to post here in the morning so going to add Gulbis to beat Rosol if it's less than -150. If it's less than -150 consider it an official play. Why willing to go that far? I'm a Gulbis believer..Though I'm guessing it'll be more like -110 either way. How should I know... I don't use spreadsheets, I use intuition."

messed up the quote,had time anyway.

Adding Gulbis -135
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PushersDelight 15
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replied to ATP Montreal - 8/10 to 8/16
in Tennis
Have no time to post here in the morning so going to add Gulbis to beat Rosol if it's less than -150. If it's less than -150 consider it an official play. Why willing to go that far? I'm a Gulbis believer..Though I'm guessing it'll be more like -110 either way. How should I know... I don't use spreadsheets, I use intuition.

Quote Originally Posted by Flutiemaniac341:

Stan doesn't seem to care in certain tournaments before a slam.

Surprised Isner and Pospisil is scheduled for stadium court. Pospisil has been on fire on the grandstand his last two vists in MTL. The guy is undefeated there.

I think I'm gonna take a shot with Querrey and Chardy as well.

Poor Pospisil is all Canada has left, and with that minor pressure he's out tomorrow too

Like always in the 1000s the early rounds will probably be way better than the last 3 rounds

 
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PushersDelight 15
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replied to ATP Montreal - 8/10 to 8/16
in Tennis
6-4 +3 so far, not a bad day

Johnson and Dancevic were easily losses, but Gulbis squeaked through and Ivo won.


Sock +150 over Dimitrov - Similar situation to Johnson/Dimitrov last week except Sock is a bit worse. Hopefully he finds his game.

Kyrgios +185 over Wawrinka - really, Stan is that much of a favorite with his on/off results?

Chardy -115 over Mayer - Chardy undervalued here.

Querrey +165 over Goffin - Still in fade Goffin mode, he took advantage of a tired Johnson but let's see...

Tsonga -230 over RBA - If playing decently Jo should have no problem against a good player but ultimately a light hitter.
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PushersDelight 15
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replied to ATP Montreal - 8/10 to 8/16
in Tennis
always look on the bright side of life, clepto!

thanks for the comments all.

1-2 -1 pending Tsonga

Karlovic +180 over Raonic - first match in two months... against Karlovic? Ouch. I don't like this spot at all.. was he rushed to make the Canadian tournament?

Johnson +140 over Goffin - Goffin top 15.... results on hard court? (????) There are no historical results on hardcourt. Could've easily been Steve in there with Kei in the final if not for one brilliant point played by Isner. Johnson is playing as well as he ever has, and Goffin is no Nishikori.

Dancevic +160 against Andujar - Andujar 1-9 on hard court this year.. Dancevic is pretty "meh" but well worth a shot. Look at what Peliwo did today, and Canadians usually play better than usual. This is no Granby.

Gulbis +120 against Thiem - Thiem is gonna give him this one :) - after playing his three clay slams he's back on HC against a warmed up Gulbis. Not to mention Gulbis likes Canada, he's had some decent results all career.

Pospisil -170
Kyrgios -145

lots of plays tomorrow!



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PushersDelight 15
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