RLeith35

The Nuggets have a 33.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. Denver has a record of 4-2 when it is set as the underdog by +203 or more by sportsbooks this season. Denver is 13-7 SU in its last 20 games played on a Saturday. Dunkel's Pick: Denver (+6)

The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 63.9% .Boston has entered six games this season favored by -177 or more and is 4-2 in those contests. Seattle has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +148. Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against Boston. Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home. Dunkel's Pick: Boston (-172)

The Pistons have a 49.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. Detroit has a record of 16-22, a 42.1% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +101 or more by sportsbooks this season. Detroit is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Division. New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Detroit. Dunkel's Pick: Detroit (+1)

Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Clippers' implied win probability is 54.3%. Los Angeles has a record of 37-11 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -119 or shorter (winning 77.1%). Denver has a record of 9-9, a 50% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by -100 or more by bookmakers this season. LA is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road. Denver is 2-13 ATS in its last 15 games at home. Dunkel's Pick: LA Clippers (-1.5)

The Astros have a 58.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. Houston has a record of 3-3 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -139 on the moneyline. The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in 15 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (46.7%) in those games. Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston. Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home. Dunkel's Pick: Houston (-140)

Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Clippers' implied win probability is 54.3%. Los Angeles has a record of 37-11 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -119 or shorter (winning 77.1%). Denver has a record of 9-9, a 50% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by -100 or more by bookmakers this season. LA is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road. Denver is 2-13 ATS in its last 15 games at home. Dunkel's Pick: LA Clippers (-1.5)

I like the Warriors in this matchup. Golden State’s top two players are Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler III. Both players have a wealth of playoff experience to draw from, and both players excel at creating their own shot when everything breaks down. Curry and Butler combined to score 75 points in the Warriors’ 121-116 Play-In Tournament win over the Grizzlies last Tuesday. I could see Golden State’s dynamic duo putting on another show in Houston on Sunday night. This has all the makings of a potentially long series, and I think both teams will win on the other’s home court at some point. I truly believe the Warriors are good enough to open this series with a road win against the Rockets on Sunday night. The pick is Golden State +1 point over Houston at Bovada.lv.

The Celtics have a 90.9% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. Boston has a record of 13-3 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -1000 or shorter (winning 81.2%). This season, the Magic have been the underdog 36 times and won 10, or 27.8%, of those games. Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Division. Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games played on a Sunday. Dunkel's Pick: Boston (-13.5)

The Knicks have a 74.0% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. New York has a record of 24-10 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -285 or shorter (winning 70.6%). This season, Detroit has won four of its 14 games, or 28.6%, when it is the underdog by at least +231 on the moneyline. The Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. The Knicks are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference. Dunkel's Pick: New York (-7)

The Giants have a 56.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. This season San Francisco has won three of its five games when favored by at least -132 on the moneyline. San Francisco is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games against an opponent in the American League. The Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing as the underdog. Dunkel's Pick: San Francisco (-132)

BOSTON ML -203....TO THE BANK

The implied probability of a win from the Grizzlies, based on the moneyline, is 72.1%. The Grizzlies have a win-loss record of 18-2 when favored by -265 or better by bookmakers this year. When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +220 or longer, the Mavericks have a record of 5-13 (27.8%). The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 17-8 in their 25 games as a favorite of 6 points or more so far this season. The Mavericks have been underdogs by 6 points or more 23 times this year and are 10-13 ATS in those contests. Dunkel's Pick: Memphis (-6).

The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 50.7% chance of a victory for the Heat. The Heat have entered the game as underdogs 36 times this season and won 10, or 27.8%, of those games. Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road. The Heat are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games overall. Chicago is 18-23 SU at home this season. Dunkel's Pick: Miami (+1)

Based on this game’s moneyline, the Thunder’s implied win probability is 78.3%. Oklahoma City has gone 35-7 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -360 or shorter (winning 83.3%). The Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games at home. Oklahoma City is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games overall. Dunkel's Pick: Oklahoma City (-13.5).

Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 56.5% chance to win. Arizona has a record of 2-2 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -130 on the moneyline. Baltimore has played as an underdog of +110 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game. The Orioles are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Arizona. The Diamondbacks are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the American League. Dunkel's Pick: Arizona (-134).

Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Heat have an implied win probability of 91.3%. Philadelphia has not won as an underdog of +672 or more on the moneyline this season in three games with those odds or longer. The 76ers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference. The Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games at home. Dunkel's Pick: Miami (-15).

The Mets have a 57.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. This season New York has won three of its four games when favored by at least -135 on the moneyline. Toronto has played as an underdog of +115 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game. The Blue Jays are 5-11 SU in their last 16 games against an opponent in the National League East Division. The Mets are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games at home. Dunkel's Pick: NY Mets (-134).

The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Nuggets a 70.8% chance to win.Denver has gone 28-7 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -242 or shorter (winning 80%). The Pacers are 1-13 SU in their last 14 games when playing on the road against Denver. Indiana is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on the road. Dunkel's Pick: Denver (-6).

The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives Duke a 71.6% chance to win. The Blue Devils have a record of 32-1 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -267 or shorter (97% win percentage). The Cougars have not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +218. Duke has won 25 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 13 times. The Blue Devils are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games when playing as the favorite. Dunkel's Pick: Duke (-5).

The Timberwolves have an implied moneyline win probability of 92.2% in this game. Minnesota has played as a moneyline favorite of -1190 or shorter in just one game this season, and won. The 76ers have been underdogs in 49 games this season and won 10 (20.4%) of those contests. The Timberwolves are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games played in April. The 76ers are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games. Dunkel's Pick: Minnesota (-15).